Who Should I Draft?

Matt Carpenter or Justin Turner (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Justin Turner
3B - LAD
Justin Turner
Expert
Recommendation
70%
Recommended by
39 of 56 experts
30%
Recommended by
17 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 50# 56
Best Rank# 12# 36
Worst Rank# 100# 131
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 65# 88
Best Rank# 58# 83
Worst Rank# 72# 115
   
Projections 
   
Runs9778
Home Runs2820
RBI7678
Stolen Bases34
Batting Average.256.296
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 51# 62
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 35# 77
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 87
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 47# 49
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 39# 52
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 46# 52
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 65# 72
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 78# 84
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 50# 72
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 36# 38
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 12# 80
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 37# 52
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 26# 54
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 71# 80
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 100# 131
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 59# 63
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 48# 57
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 40# 56
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 37# 57
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 47# 56
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 33# 40
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 53# 72
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 47# 50
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 36# 53
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 47# 54
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 48# 58
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 37# 62
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 29# 52
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 56# 73
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 49# 62
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 62# 79
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 51# 60
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 54# 83
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 57# 63
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 64# 74
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 61# 63
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 39# 41
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 24# 59
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 38# 54
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 50# 44
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 50# 36
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 51# 43
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 55# 53
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 58# 53
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 64# 51
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 65# 54
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 66# 49
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 68# 58
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 70# 48
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 70# 56
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 72# 48
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 76# 67
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 78# 67
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 81# 48
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 83# 73
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 81
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Justin Turner
3B - LAD
Justin Turner
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats564365
   
Runs11162
   
Hits145114
   
Singles6768
   
Doubles4231
   
Triples01
   
Home Runs3614
   
RBI8152
   
Stolen Bases42
   
Caught Stealing11
   
Walks10247
   
Strikeouts15854
   
Batting Average.257.312
   
On Base Pct.374.406
   
Slugging Pct.523.518
   
On-base Plus Slugging.897.924
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Justin Turner
3B - LAD
Justin Turner
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats529504
   
Runs9778
   
Hits135149
   
Singles7195
   
Doubles3534
   
Triples21
   
Home Runs2820
   
RBI7678
   
Stolen Bases34
   
Caught Stealing21
   
Walks9557
   
Strikeouts14077
   
Batting Average.256.296
   
On Base Pct.369.368
   
Slugging Pct.486.490
   
On-base Plus Slugging.855.857
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Justin Turner
3B - LAD
Justin Turner
News 
 Matt Carpenter went 3-for-4 with a solo home run and three runs scored in the Cardinals' 5-0 win over the Marlins on Monday.
Elliott Baas
Mon, Jun 17th
Justin Turner went 3-for-5 with two doubles and a run scored in Thursday's 9-8 win over the Giants.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jun 21st
 Matt Carpenter went 1-for-3 with an RBI on Thursday against the Mets.
Dan Harris
Fri, Jun 14th
Justin Turner went 1-for-4 with a double, a walk, and an RBI as the Dodgers beat the Giants 9-0 on Tuesday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 19th
 Carpenter is not in the starting lineup for Friday's game against the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Jun 7th
Justin Turner went 1-for-3 with a solo homer and a walk in the Dodgers' 5-3 win over the Cubs on Friday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 15th
 Carpenter was pulled in the top of the eighth inning of Thursday's game against the Cincinnati Reds; he was replaced at third base by Jedd Gyorko.
James Bisson
Thu, Jun 6th
Justin Turner went 1-for-4 with a single and a run scored in Thursday's 7-3 win over the Cubs.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jun 14th
 Matt Carpenter went 1-for-1 with a pinch-hit, solo home run in the Cardinals' 5-3 win over the Phillies on Thursday.
Elliott Baas
Thu, May 30th
Justin Turner went 1-for-3 with a walk in the Dodgers' 1-0 win over the Giants on Sunday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 9th
Notes 
 Over the last five years, Carpenter has a remarkable 468 walks, which obviously has contributed to his 483 runs. In that time, his power has steadily improved, all the way to 36 homers last year, and while that total may not be repeatable, 30 homers with 100 runs makes him well worth a sixth round pick in 2019 fantasy leagues
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Turner has played more than 130 games just once in his eight-year career, but he's been consistently excellent when he's on the field. If you pro-rate his stats over a full season, you are typically looking at 25 home runs and 90 RBIs. Most importantly, with a batting average of at least .312 in three of the last five seasons, Turner is on the very short list of players who are capable of winning the batting title. His value gets a big boost in leagues with daily lineups and/or multiple DL spots -- he is highly underrated in those formats.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Carpenter blew away his previous career high by hitting 36 home runs in 2018, but that was fueled by a 19.1 percent HR/FB rate that was far higher than he's ever had before. To be fair, he did have the highest hard contact rate in MLB, so it's not like the home run spike was a total fluke, but fantasy owners should generally be cautious when a player has an outlier season this late in their career. The odds are against Carpenter hitting 35+ home runs again, and while he regularly produces an excellent OBP, he is a bit of a drag in batting average and has little speed to speak of. He's a much better pick in points leagues and leagues that reward OBP than he is in traditional 5x5 roto/categories leagues, where he could be overvalued.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
An underrated stud when healthy, Turner has touted a higher wRC+ (141) than Paul Goldschmidt, Giancarlo Stanton, Nolan Arenado, and Manny Machado in the past three seasons. He has hit .300/.383/.512 over that time frame, but the games played (150, 130, 103) keeps trending downward. A mere return to 130 would make him a steal beyond the top-100 picks, especially in a shallower league where investors have an easier time filling in the injury gaps on the waiver wire.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Despite entering the season with health woes and batting .155 in April, Carpenter then went scorched earth to hit .257/.374/.523 with a career-high 36 homers. It's dicey to bet on a 33-year-old coming off a career year, but he simply punishes baseball too severely to discredit. He led qualified hitters in hard-hit rate (49.0%) with the fifth-highest fly-ball rate (46.9%) and fourth-lowest popup rate (2.1%). Given his elite blend of hitting the ball hard, high, and far, Statcast's .535 XSLG and .386 xwOBA even offer room for growth. Expect more elite power in 2019.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Batting average is difficult to come by after the first four or five rounds, but then there is Turner, who over the last five seasons, has racked up a .305 batting average which beats out plays like Trout, Yelich and Freeman. There isn't a ton in the way of homers or steals, but he won't hurt you in any category unless he deals with yet another injury. For that reason, he is a bit risky.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros