Who Should I Draft?

Matt Carpenter or Matt Chapman (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Matt Chapman
3B - OAK
Matt Chapman
Expert
Recommendation
78%
Recommended by
46 of 59 experts
22%
Recommended by
13 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 49# 64
Best Rank# 12# 29
Worst Rank# 100# 117
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 65# 103
Best Rank# 58# 86
Worst Rank# 72# 111
   
Projections 
   
Runs9790
Home Runs2827
RBI7682
Stolen Bases33
Batting Average.256.257
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 51# 82
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 35# 65
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 57
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 47# 73
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 50# 53
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 46# 59
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 65# 103
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 50# 69
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 36# 73
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 12# 86
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 37# 77
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 26# 55
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 70# 77
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 59# 67
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 48# 68
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 40# 64
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 37# 65
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 78# 84
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 47# 65
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 33# 64
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 53# 65
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 47# 58
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 36# 73
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 48# 50
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 37# 44
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 29# 56
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 50# 71
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 56# 69
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 49# 61
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 51# 55
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 72# 73
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 62# 87
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 51# 59
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 54# 64
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 57# 65
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 61# 66
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 42# 69
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 55# 69
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 45# 77
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 64# 67
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 58# 64
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 38# 117
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 39# 55
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 70# 73
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 24# 48
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 38# 65
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 39# 29
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 58# 41
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 64# 63
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 65# 63
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 66# 60
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 68# 39
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 71# 68
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 76# 68
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 78# 74
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 81# 80
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 83# 62
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 100# 68
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 70
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Matt Chapman
3B - OAK
Matt Chapman
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats564547
   
Runs111100
   
Hits145152
   
Singles6780
   
Doubles4242
   
Triples06
   
Home Runs3624
   
RBI8168
   
Stolen Bases41
   
Caught Stealing12
   
Walks10258
   
Strikeouts158146
   
Batting Average.257.278
   
On Base Pct.374.356
   
Slugging Pct.523.508
   
On-base Plus Slugging.897.864
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Matt Chapman
3B - OAK
Matt Chapman
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats529558
   
Runs9790
   
Hits135144
   
Singles7175
   
Doubles3536
   
Triples25
   
Home Runs2827
   
RBI7682
   
Stolen Bases33
   
Caught Stealing23
   
Walks9559
   
Strikeouts140157
   
Batting Average.256.257
   
On Base Pct.369.328
   
Slugging Pct.486.487
   
On-base Plus Slugging.855.816
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Matt Chapman
3B - OAK
Matt Chapman
News 
 Matt Carpenter did not start Tuesday's game against the Nationals, and went 0-for-1 as a pinch hitter.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 18th
Matt Chapman went 1-for-5 with a solo home run in Sunday's 6-1 win over the Rangers.
Brad Camara
Mon, Sep 16th
 Matt Carpenter went 2-for-3 with two walks, two singles, an RBI, and a run scored in Thursday's win over the Giants.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Sep 5th
Matt Chapman went 1-for-4 with a three-run home run in Saturday's 8-6 win over the Rangers.
Brad Camara
Sun, Sep 15th
 Matt Carpenter went 3-for-4 with a home run, three runs scored, two RBI, and a walk in Sunday's win over the Rockies.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Aug 26th
Matt Chapman was not in the lineup for Friday's 14-9 win over the Rangers.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 14th
 Matt Carpenter went 1-for-3 with a walk as the Cardinals defeated the Royals 2-0.
Brandon Plutner
Tue, Aug 13th
Matt Chapman went 0-for-4 in Sunday's 3-1 win over the Tigers.
Brad Camara
Mon, Sep 9th
 Matt Carpenter (foot) was activated off the 10-day injured list Sunday.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Aug 4th
Matt Chapman went 1-for-3 with a three-home run and a walk in Tuesday's 7-5 win over the Angels.
Brad Camara
Wed, Sep 4th
Notes 
 Over the last five years, Carpenter has a remarkable 468 walks, which obviously has contributed to his 483 runs. In that time, his power has steadily improved, all the way to 36 homers last year, and while that total may not be repeatable, 30 homers with 100 runs makes him well worth a sixth round pick in 2019 fantasy leagues
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
While it may be appealing to draft incredible real-life players, there is a major difference between fringe AL MVP candidate and top 80 fantasy baseball player. Chapman's defensive prowess doesn't transfer over, unfortunately, so rather, we are looking at a mediocre power hitter with some batting average concerns.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Carpenter blew away his previous career high by hitting 36 home runs in 2018, but that was fueled by a 19.1 percent HR/FB rate that was far higher than he's ever had before. To be fair, he did have the highest hard contact rate in MLB, so it's not like the home run spike was a total fluke, but fantasy owners should generally be cautious when a player has an outlier season this late in their career. The odds are against Carpenter hitting 35+ home runs again, and while he regularly produces an excellent OBP, he is a bit of a drag in batting average and has little speed to speak of. He's a much better pick in points leagues and leagues that reward OBP than he is in traditional 5x5 roto/categories leagues, where he could be overvalued.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Chapman didn't hit quite as many homers in 2018 as fantasy owners may have hoped, after displaying 30-HR power in the minors. But he made up for it with much lower strikeout rate than he had in the minors, riding that and a .338 BABIP to a .278 batting average and even 100 runs scored. The high BABIP all but ensures that Chapman's batting average will fall in 2019, but if he's able to keep the strikeouts in check he could be more of a .260 hitter than a .240 one. He also still has clear 30 HR potential if he can just elevate the ball more -- his 40.3 percent ground ball rate last year was much higher than he ever had in the minors.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Despite entering the season with health woes and batting .155 in April, Carpenter then went scorched earth to hit .257/.374/.523 with a career-high 36 homers. It's dicey to bet on a 33-year-old coming off a career year, but he simply punishes baseball too severely to discredit. He led qualified hitters in hard-hit rate (49.0%) with the fifth-highest fly-ball rate (46.9%) and fourth-lowest popup rate (2.1%). Given his elite blend of hitting the ball hard, high, and far, Statcast's .535 XSLG and .386 xwOBA even offer room for growth. Expect more elite power in 2019.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Although he underwent offseason surgery, Chapman is expected to be ready by Oakland's season opener in Tokyo on March 20. Fantasy investors don't reap the rewards of his Gold Glove at third, and typical five-by-five gamers didn't fully benefit from his 42 doubles. Yet those strengths led to a steadfast starting role and 100 runs scored. Having towered as many as 36 homers in a minor league season, he could expand upon last season's 23. He also make quiet contact gains to support his .278 batting average, so even if Chapman doesn't take another step further, he also won't regress as much as most projections expect.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros