Who Should I Draft?

Matt Carpenter or Max Muncy (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Max Muncy
1B,2B,3B - LAD
Max Muncy
Expert
Recommendation
87%
Recommended by
48 of 55 experts
13%
Recommended by
7 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 50# 81
Best Rank# 12# 41
Worst Rank# 100# 156
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 65# 110
Best Rank# 58# 101
Worst Rank# 72# 146
   
Projections 
   
Runs9776
Home Runs2828
RBI7679
Stolen Bases33
Batting Average.256.248
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 51# 98
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 35# 80
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 65
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 47# 80
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 39# 41
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 50# 58
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 46# 74
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 68# 123
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 50# 84
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 36# 76
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 12# 54
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 65# 156
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 37# 69
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 26# 71
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 70# 76
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 71# 140
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 100# 147
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 59# 101
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 48# 81
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 40# 79
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 76# 149
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 37# 59
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 78# 127
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 47# 87
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 33# 86
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 53# 92
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 47# 62
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 58# 126
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 36# 82
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 47# 80
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 37# 61
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 29# 83
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 50# 95
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 56# 103
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 49# 82
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 51# 64
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 72# 91
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 62# 66
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 51# 80
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 54# 80
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 57# 61
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 61# 92
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 55# 79
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 64# 141
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 39# 64
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 70# 96
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 24# 69
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 38# 66
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 48# 46
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 64# 47
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 65# 55
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 66# 62
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 78# 52
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 81# 78
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 83# 70
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Max Muncy
1B,2B,3B - LAD
Max Muncy
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats564395
   
Runs11175
   
Hits145104
   
Singles6750
   
Doubles4217
   
Triples02
   
Home Runs3635
   
RBI8179
   
Stolen Bases43
   
Caught Stealing10
   
Walks10279
   
Strikeouts158131
   
Batting Average.257.263
   
On Base Pct.374.391
   
Slugging Pct.523.582
   
On-base Plus Slugging.897.973
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Max Muncy
1B,2B,3B - LAD
Max Muncy
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats529467
   
Runs9776
   
Hits135116
   
Singles7165
   
Doubles3521
   
Triples22
   
Home Runs2828
   
RBI7679
   
Stolen Bases33
   
Caught Stealing21
   
Walks9578
   
Strikeouts140142
   
Batting Average.256.248
   
On Base Pct.369.355
   
Slugging Pct.486.483
   
On-base Plus Slugging.855.838
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Max Muncy
1B,2B,3B - LAD
Max Muncy
News 
 Matt Carpenter went 3-for-4 with a solo home run and three runs scored in the Cardinals' 5-0 win over the Marlins on Monday.
Elliott Baas
Mon, Jun 17th
Max Muncy went 2-for-3 with a homer and a walk in the Dodgers' 3-2 loss to the Giants on Monday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 18th
 Matt Carpenter went 1-for-3 with an RBI on Thursday against the Mets.
Dan Harris
Fri, Jun 14th
Max Muncy went 1-for-3 with a walk and an RBI as the Dodgers beat the Cubs 3-2 on Sunday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jun 17th
 Carpenter is not in the starting lineup for Friday's game against the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Jun 7th
Max Muncy went 2-for-4 with two solo homers and a walk as the Dodgers fell to the Angels 5-3 on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 12th
 Carpenter was pulled in the top of the eighth inning of Thursday's game against the Cincinnati Reds; he was replaced at third base by Jedd Gyorko.
James Bisson
Thu, Jun 6th
Max Muncy went 2-for-3 with a homer and a walk in Sunday's 1-0 win over the Giants.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 9th
 Matt Carpenter went 1-for-1 with a pinch-hit, solo home run in the Cardinals' 5-3 win over the Phillies on Thursday.
Elliott Baas
Thu, May 30th
Max Muncy went 2-for-3 with a walk as the Dodges fell to the Giants 2-1 on Friday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 8th
Notes 
 Over the last five years, Carpenter has a remarkable 468 walks, which obviously has contributed to his 483 runs. In that time, his power has steadily improved, all the way to 36 homers last year, and while that total may not be repeatable, 30 homers with 100 runs makes him well worth a sixth round pick in 2019 fantasy leagues
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Muncy was 2nd in HR-rate among all MLB hitters last season. Granted, he slowed down toward the end of the year and his batting average wasn't ideal, but that type of power certainly warrants a top 100 pick. This is especially the case when he qualifies at second base and third base too.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Carpenter blew¬†away his previous career high by hitting 36 home runs in 2018, but that was fueled by a 19.1 percent HR/FB rate that was far higher than he's ever had before. To be fair, he did have the highest hard contact rate in MLB, so it's not like the home run spike was a total fluke, but fantasy owners should generally be cautious when a player has an outlier season this late in their career. The odds are against Carpenter hitting 35+ home runs again, and while he regularly produces an excellent OBP, he is a bit of a drag in batting average and has little speed to speak of. He's a much better pick in points leagues and leagues that reward OBP than he is in traditional 5x5 roto/categories leagues, where he could be overvalued.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Muncy was a late bloomer, bouncing around the Athletics' and Dodgers' farm systems for six years before breaking out in a big way at 27 years old. In his first extended opportunity in the Big Leagues, Muncy smacked 35 home runs in just 395 at-bats. That was due in part to a 29.4 percent HR/FB ratio that was one of the highest in baseball, but Muncy was also among the league leaders in hard contact rate. Even if his HR/FB rate drops off, he can make up for it with more games played, making him a decent bet to again top 30 home runs. He won't be an asset in batting average or stolen bases, but he is another example of a big-time power source you can acquire relatively cheaply.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Despite entering the season with health woes and batting .155 in April, Carpenter then went scorched earth to hit .257/.374/.523 with a career-high 36 homers. It's dicey to bet on a 33-year-old coming off a career year, but he simply punishes baseball too severely to discredit. He led qualified hitters in hard-hit rate (49.0%) with the fifth-highest fly-ball rate (46.9%) and fourth-lowest popup rate (2.1%). Given his elite blend of hitting the ball hard, high, and far, Statcast's .535 XSLG and .386 xwOBA even offer room for growth. Expect more elite power in 2019.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Muncy had batted .195 with five homers in 245 big league plate appearances prior to 2018, so he naturally towered 35 homers with a .407 wOBA. He endured some troubling strikeout woes late in the season and playoffs, but there are plenty of reasons not to anticipate the bottom falling out entirely. Along with a gorgeous 16.4% walk rate, the late bloomer notched a heavy dosage of fly balls (44.9%, only 5.9% popups) and hard hits (47.4%). Per Statcast, only Joey Gallo served up a higher rate of barrels per batted balls than Muncy's 16.9. He's a solid power pick-and tremendous OBP target-if the rest of the room sees an obvious regression candidate.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros