Who Should I Draft?

Matt Carpenter or Mitch Haniger (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Mitch Haniger
CF,RF - SEA
Mitch Haniger
Expert
Recommendation
54%
Recommended by
32 of 59 experts
46%
Recommended by
27 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 49# 52
Best Rank# 12# 38
Worst Rank# 100# 84
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 65# 83
Best Rank# 58# 60
Worst Rank# 72# 93
   
Projections 
   
Runs9787
Home Runs2825
RBI7685
Stolen Bases37
Batting Average.256.273
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL10
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 35# 56
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 63
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 47# 62
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 39# 62
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 46# 57
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 36# 68
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 12# 51
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 37# 59
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 26# 38
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 48# 52
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 40# 49
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 76# 81
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 37# 55
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 47# 58
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 33# 55
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 53# 55
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 58# 59
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 36# 52
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 66# 68
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 48# 67
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 37# 49
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 29# 41
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 56# 65
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 49# 55
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 51# 57
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 51# 84
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 54# 70
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 42# 50
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 38# 49
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 39# 47
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 24# 66
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 38# 47
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 45# 44
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 47# 45
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 50# 40
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 50# 48
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 50# 49
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 51# 42
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 55# 54
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 57# 48
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 58# 49
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 59# 52
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 61# 51
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 62# 58
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 64# 38
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 64# 53
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 65# 39
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 65# 64
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 68# 54
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 70# 63
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 70# 46
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 71# 52
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 72# 47
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 78# 64
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 78# 50
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 81# 53
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 83# 75
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 100# 44
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 50
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Mitch Haniger
CF,RF - SEA
Mitch Haniger
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats564596
   
Runs11190
   
Hits145170
   
Singles67102
   
Doubles4238
   
Triples04
   
Home Runs3626
   
RBI8193
   
Stolen Bases48
   
Caught Stealing12
   
Walks10270
   
Strikeouts158148
   
Batting Average.257.285
   
On Base Pct.374.366
   
Slugging Pct.523.493
   
On-base Plus Slugging.897.859
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Mitch Haniger
CF,RF - SEA
Mitch Haniger
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats529567
   
Runs9787
   
Hits135155
   
Singles7193
   
Doubles3534
   
Triples23
   
Home Runs2825
   
RBI7685
   
Stolen Bases37
   
Caught Stealing23
   
Walks9562
   
Strikeouts140140
   
Batting Average.256.273
   
On Base Pct.369.344
   
Slugging Pct.486.475
   
On-base Plus Slugging.855.819
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Mitch Haniger
CF,RF - SEA
Mitch Haniger
News 
 Matt Carpenter did not start Tuesday's game against the Nationals, and went 0-for-1 as a pinch hitter.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 18th
Mitch Haniger (back) hasn't been ruled out for the rest of the regular season yet.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 14th
 Matt Carpenter went 2-for-3 with two walks, two singles, an RBI, and a run scored in Thursday's win over the Giants.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Sep 5th
Mitch Haniger (groin/back) no longer has a timetable for return in the wake of his latest setback.
Brad Camara
Mon, Aug 26th
 Matt Carpenter went 3-for-4 with a home run, three runs scored, two RBI, and a walk in Sunday's win over the Rockies.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Aug 26th
Mitch Haniger has been temporarily shut down from his rehab assignment due to back discomfort.
Brad Camara
Sat, Aug 24th
 Matt Carpenter went 1-for-3 with a walk as the Cardinals defeated the Royals 2-0.
Brandon Plutner
Tue, Aug 13th
Mitch Haniger (groin) is dealing with some lower-back tightness and is day-to-day amid his rehab assignment with Triple-A Tacoma.
Brad Camara
Sat, Aug 17th
 Matt Carpenter (foot) was activated off the 10-day injured list Sunday.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Aug 4th
Mitch Haniger (groin) went 1-for-4 with an RBI double and two runs in High-A Modesto's loss to Rancho Cucamonga on Tuesday.
Brad Camara
Wed, Aug 14th
Notes 
 Over the last five years, Carpenter has a remarkable 468 walks, which obviously has contributed to his 483 runs. In that time, his power has steadily improved, all the way to 36 homers last year, and while that total may not be repeatable, 30 homers with 100 runs makes him well worth a sixth round pick in 2019 fantasy leagues
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Haniger built on his impressive 2017 debut with the Mariners in 2018, producing a .285/90/26/93/8 roto line that ranked 10th among outfielders. The power and speed numbers look completely sustainable for Haniger, but his batting average could be due for a bit of regression and it may be challenging to produce 90+ runs and RBIs again in a rebuilding Mariners lineup. Haniger is unlikely to be a bust, but last season's numbers are probably closer to his ceiling than his floor.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Carpenter blew away his previous career high by hitting 36 home runs in 2018, but that was fueled by a 19.1 percent HR/FB rate that was far higher than he's ever had before. To be fair, he did have the highest hard contact rate in MLB, so it's not like the home run spike was a total fluke, but fantasy owners should generally be cautious when a player has an outlier season this late in their career. The odds are against Carpenter hitting 35+ home runs again, and while he regularly produces an excellent OBP, he is a bit of a drag in batting average and has little speed to speak of. He's a much better pick in points leagues and leagues that reward OBP than he is in traditional 5x5 roto/categories leagues, where he could be overvalued.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Not much changed for Haniger from 2017 to 2018 besides his walk rate (10.2%) and playing time. Over a full season, the perennial sleeper translated his skills to 26 homers and eight steals with 90 runs and 93 RBI. Although his surface stats were similar, he earned last year's success with an xwOBA boost from .329 to .366. A ransacked Mariners lineup will cost him some scoring production, but the outfielder should otherwise sustain his breakout if healthy.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Despite entering the season with health woes and batting .155 in April, Carpenter then went scorched earth to hit .257/.374/.523 with a career-high 36 homers. It's dicey to bet on a 33-year-old coming off a career year, but he simply punishes baseball too severely to discredit. He led qualified hitters in hard-hit rate (49.0%) with the fifth-highest fly-ball rate (46.9%) and fourth-lowest popup rate (2.1%). Given his elite blend of hitting the ball hard, high, and far, Statcast's .535 XSLG and .386 xwOBA even offer room for growth. Expect more elite power in 2019.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Although Haniger hasn't done it for as long as someone like Nelson Cruz or Justin Upton, he was better than both last year thanks to a .285 batting average on top of his 90+ runs, 90+ RBIs and power. Projection models are fond of him once again this year, but there is a bit more risk than the aforementioned annual powerhouses.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros