Who Should I Draft?

Matt Carpenter or Rougned Odor (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Rougned Odor
2B,DH - TEX
Rougned Odor
Expert
Recommendation
73%
Recommended by
43 of 59 experts
27%
Recommended by
16 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 49# 69
Best Rank# 12# 40
Worst Rank# 100# 123
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 65# 133
Best Rank# 58# 108
Worst Rank# 72# 148
   
Projections 
   
Runs9783
Home Runs2827
RBI7680
Stolen Bases314
Batting Average.256.250
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 51# 58
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 35# 73
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 67
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 47# 84
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 39# 115
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 50# 74
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 46# 76
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 65# 123
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 50# 62
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 36# 46
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 12# 69
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 37# 87
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 26# 94
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 100# 106
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 48# 75
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 40# 75
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 37# 70
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 47# 64
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 33# 63
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 53# 63
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 47# 70
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 58# 66
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 36# 80
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 66# 69
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 48
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 37# 72
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 29# 79
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 50# 70
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 49# 65
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 51# 76
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 62# 81
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 51# 70
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 54# 97
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 57# 77
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 61# 68
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 42# 75
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 55# 73
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 45# 80
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 64# 76
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 38# 72
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 39# 86
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 24# 79
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 38# 74
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 56# 42
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 58# 55
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 59# 54
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 64# 57
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 65# 49
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 68# 55
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 70# 49
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 70# 67
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 71# 47
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 72# 63
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 76# 52
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 78# 69
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 78# 40
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 81# 56
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 83# 65
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 44
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Rougned Odor
2B,DH - TEX
Rougned Odor
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats564474
   
Runs11176
   
Hits145120
   
Singles6777
   
Doubles4223
   
Triples02
   
Home Runs3618
   
RBI8163
   
Stolen Bases412
   
Caught Stealing112
   
Walks10243
   
Strikeouts158127
   
Batting Average.257.253
   
On Base Pct.374.327
   
Slugging Pct.523.424
   
On-base Plus Slugging.897.751
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Rougned Odor
2B,DH - TEX
Rougned Odor
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats529567
   
Runs9783
   
Hits135142
   
Singles7185
   
Doubles3528
   
Triples23
   
Home Runs2827
   
RBI7680
   
Stolen Bases314
   
Caught Stealing29
   
Walks9542
   
Strikeouts140139
   
Batting Average.256.250
   
On Base Pct.369.302
   
Slugging Pct.486.451
   
On-base Plus Slugging.855.753
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Rougned Odor
2B,DH - TEX
Rougned Odor
News 
 Matt Carpenter went 2-for-3 with two walks, two singles, an RBI, and a run scored in Thursday's win over the Giants.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Sep 5th
Rougned Odor went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run, a pair of runs scored and a double in Saturday's 8-6 loss to the Athletics.
Brad Camara
Sun, Sep 15th
 Matt Carpenter went 3-for-4 with a home run, three runs scored, two RBI, and a walk in Sunday's win over the Rockies.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Aug 26th
Rougned Odor went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Thursday’s 6-4 win over the Rays.
Brad Camara
Fri, Sep 13th
 Matt Carpenter went 1-for-3 with a walk as the Cardinals defeated the Royals 2-0.
Brandon Plutner
Tue, Aug 13th
Rougned Odor went 1-for-4 with a three-run home run in Wednesday's 10-9 win over the Rays.
Brad Camara
Thu, Sep 12th
 Matt Carpenter (foot) was activated off the 10-day injured list Sunday.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Aug 4th
Rougned Odor went 0-for-2 with two walks and two stolen bases in Tuesday's 5-3 loss to to the Rays.
Brad Camara
Wed, Sep 11th
 Matt Carpenter was placed on the 10-day injured list with a right foot contusion Tuesday.
Brad Camara
Tue, Jul 16th
Rougned Odor went 2-for-5 with a solo home run, a walk, and an additional run scored in Sunday's 10-4 win over the Orioles.
Brad Camara
Mon, Sep 9th
Notes 
 Over the last five years, Carpenter has a remarkable 468 walks, which obviously has contributed to his 483 runs. In that time, his power has steadily improved, all the way to 36 homers last year, and while that total may not be repeatable, 30 homers with 100 runs makes him well worth a sixth round pick in 2019 fantasy leagues
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
After back-to-back 30 HR campaigns, Odor managed to hit just 18 in 129 games last year, but there is little in his batted ball profile to suggest the power drop-off will be permanent. Of greater concern is the fact that Odor's strikeout rate has increased significantly over the last two seasons, and his stolen base success rate plummeted last season. Odor is certainly capable of producing a .250-30-15 season, but that outcome feels a little closer to his ceiling than his floor at this point. Still, unless he gets the red light on the base paths, Odor is a solid bet to again finish among the top-12 second basemen in standard 5x5 leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Carpenter blew away his previous career high by hitting 36 home runs in 2018, but that was fueled by a 19.1 percent HR/FB rate that was far higher than he's ever had before. To be fair, he did have the highest hard contact rate in MLB, so it's not like the home run spike was a total fluke, but fantasy owners should generally be cautious when a player has an outlier season this late in their career. The odds are against Carpenter hitting 35+ home runs again, and while he regularly produces an excellent OBP, he is a bit of a drag in batting average and has little speed to speak of. He's a much better pick in points leagues and leagues that reward OBP than he is in traditional 5x5 roto/categories leagues, where he could be overvalued.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Despite fewer games over the last three years, Odor has 10 more homers than Javier Baez and is neck and neck with him in steals, runs and RBIs. There is a considerable difference in BA, but in terms of batted ball data, Baez was hardly above Odor in xBA last season so you may be getting a tremendous value in the 9th or 10th round of drafts this season.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Despite entering the season with health woes and batting .155 in April, Carpenter then went scorched earth to hit .257/.374/.523 with a career-high 36 homers. It's dicey to bet on a 33-year-old coming off a career year, but he simply punishes baseball too severely to discredit. He led qualified hitters in hard-hit rate (49.0%) with the fifth-highest fly-ball rate (46.9%) and fourth-lowest popup rate (2.1%). Given his elite blend of hitting the ball hard, high, and far, Statcast's .535 XSLG and .386 xwOBA even offer room for growth. Expect more elite power in 2019.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Odor settled for 18 homers in 129 games after offering 33 and 30 long balls in the last two seasons, respectively. Yet he made demonstrative improvements as an actual player, upping his wOBA from .272 to .325 and fWAR from -1.2 to 2.5. A more selective approach led to a career-high 8.0% walk rate and a respectable .253 batting average. He should at least rebound closer to 25 homers, but there's some concern that Texas throws up a red (or at least yellow) light after getting caught in half of his 24 steals attempts. He's still only 25, so it's worth the gamble beyond the top-100 picks if searching for a power-speed punch.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros