Who Should I Draft?

Matt Carpenter or Rougned Odor (2019)

Experts' Pick
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Rougned Odor
Rougned Odor
Recommended by
41 of 56 experts
Recommended by
15 of 56 experts
ECR# 50# 69
Best Rank# 12# 40
Worst Rank# 100# 123
Composite# 65# 133
Best Rank# 58# 108
Worst Rank# 72# 148
Home Runs2827
Stolen Bases314
Batting Average.256.250
Injury Alert--
Expert Ranks 
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 51# 58
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 35# 73
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 67
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 47# 84
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 39# 115
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 50# 74
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 46# 76
Site Projections
# 65# 123
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 50# 62
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 36# 46
Beast Dome
# 12# 69
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 37# 87
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 26# 94
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 100# 106
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 48# 75
Andrew Gould
# 40# 75
Wayne Bretsky
# 37# 70
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 47# 64
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 33# 63
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 53# 63
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 47# 70
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 58# 66
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 36# 80
Mario Mergola
# 66# 69
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 47# 69
Paul Sporer
# 48
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 37# 72
Bill Dubiel
# 29# 79
Nick Mariano
# 50# 70
Justin Mason
# 49# 65
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 51# 76
Donkey Teeth
# 62# 81
Dan Harris
# 51# 70
Pierre Camus
# 54# 97
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 57# 77
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 61# 68
Jacob Gibbs
# 55# 73
Mick Ciallela
# 64# 76
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 39# 86
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 24# 79
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 38# 74
Bobby Sylvester
# 56# 42
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 59# 54
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
# 64# 57
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 65# 49
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 68# 55
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 70# 49
Ariel Cohen
# 70# 67
Fantasy Team Advice
# 71# 47
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 72# 63
Rudy Gamble
# 76# 52
Grey Albright
# 78# 69
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 78# 40
Andrew Seifter
# 81# 56
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 83# 65
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 44
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Rougned Odor
Rougned Odor
2018 Stats 
At Bats564474
Home Runs3618
Stolen Bases412
Caught Stealing112
Batting Average.257.253
On Base Pct.374.327
Slugging Pct.523.424
On-base Plus Slugging.897.751
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Rougned Odor
Rougned Odor
2019 Projections 
At Bats529567
Home Runs2827
Stolen Bases314
Caught Stealing29
Batting Average.256.250
On Base Pct.369.302
Slugging Pct.486.451
On-base Plus Slugging.855.753
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Rougned Odor
Rougned Odor
 Matt Carpenter went 1-for-3 with an RBI on Thursday against the Mets.
Dan Harris
Fri, Jun 14th
Rougned Odor went 1-for-2 with three walks, a home run, four RBI, and one run scored.
Kamran Hoda
Sat, Jun 15th
 Carpenter is not in the starting lineup for Friday's game against the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Jun 7th
Rougned Odor went 1-for-4 with a walk, double, one RBI, and one run scored against the Red Sox on Tuesday.
Kamran Hoda
Wed, Jun 12th
 Carpenter was pulled in the top of the eighth inning of Thursday's game against the Cincinnati Reds; he was replaced at third base by Jedd Gyorko.
James Bisson
Thu, Jun 6th
Rougned Odor went 1-for-6 with two walks, a single, and one run scored on Saturday against Oakland.
Kamran Hoda
Sun, Jun 9th
 Matt Carpenter went 1-for-1 with a pinch-hit, solo home run in the Cardinals' 5-3 win over the Phillies on Thursday.
Elliott Baas
Thu, May 30th
Rougned Odor went 1-for-4 with a double and one RBI on Sunday against Kansas City.
Kamran Hoda
Mon, Jun 3rd
 Matt Carpenter went 2-for-4 with a solo home run in the Cardinals' 5-2 loss to the Braves on Friday.
Elliott Baas
Sat, May 25th
Rougned Odor 1-for-4 with a walk, single, one RBI, and one run scored on Wednesday against the Mariners.
Kamran Hoda
Thu, May 30th
 Over the last five years, Carpenter has a remarkable 468 walks, which obviously has contributed to his 483 runs. In that time, his power has steadily improved, all the way to 36 homers last year, and while that total may not be repeatable, 30 homers with 100 runs makes him well worth a sixth round pick in 2019 fantasy leagues
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
After back-to-back 30 HR campaigns, Odor managed to hit just 18 in 129 games last year, but there is little in his batted ball profile to suggest the power drop-off will be permanent. Of greater concern is the fact that Odor's strikeout rate has increased significantly over the last two seasons, and his stolen base success rate plummeted last season. Odor is certainly capable of producing a .250-30-15 season, but that outcome feels a little closer to his ceiling than his floor at this point. Still, unless he gets the red light on the base paths, Odor is a solid bet to again finish among the top-12 second basemen in standard 5x5 leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Carpenter blew¬†away his previous career high by hitting 36 home runs in 2018, but that was fueled by a 19.1 percent HR/FB rate that was far higher than he's ever had before. To be fair, he did have the highest hard contact rate in MLB, so it's not like the home run spike was a total fluke, but fantasy owners should generally be cautious when a player has an outlier season this late in their career. The odds are against Carpenter hitting 35+ home runs again, and while he regularly produces an excellent OBP, he is a bit of a drag in batting average and has little speed to speak of. He's a much better pick in points leagues and leagues that reward OBP than he is in traditional 5x5 roto/categories leagues, where he could be overvalued.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Despite fewer games over the last three years, Odor has 10 more homers than Javier Baez and is neck and neck with him in steals, runs and RBIs. There is a considerable difference in BA, but in terms of batted ball data, Baez was hardly above Odor in xBA last season so you may be getting a tremendous value in the 9th or 10th round of drafts this season.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Despite entering the season with health woes and batting .155 in April, Carpenter then went scorched earth to hit .257/.374/.523 with a career-high 36 homers. It's dicey to bet on a 33-year-old coming off a career year, but he simply punishes baseball too severely to discredit. He led qualified hitters in hard-hit rate (49.0%) with the fifth-highest fly-ball rate (46.9%) and fourth-lowest popup rate (2.1%). Given his elite blend of hitting the ball hard, high, and far, Statcast's .535 XSLG and .386 xwOBA even offer room for growth. Expect more elite power in 2019.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Odor settled for 18 homers in 129 games after offering 33 and 30 long balls in the last two seasons, respectively. Yet he made demonstrative improvements as an actual player, upping his wOBA from .272 to .325 and fWAR from -1.2 to 2.5. A more selective approach led to a career-high 8.0% walk rate and a respectable .253 batting average. He should at least rebound closer to 25 homers, but there's some concern that Texas throws up a red (or at least yellow) light after getting caught in half of his 24 steals attempts. He's still only 25, so it's worth the gamble beyond the top-100 picks if searching for a power-speed punch.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros