Who Should I Draft?

Matt Carpenter or Travis Shaw (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Travis Shaw
1B,3B,2B - MIL
Travis Shaw
Expert
Recommendation
75%
Recommended by
42 of 56 experts
25%
Recommended by
14 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 50# 64
Best Rank# 12# 44
Worst Rank# 100# 121
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 65# 97
Best Rank# 58# 86
Worst Rank# 72# 107
   
Projections 
   
Runs9777
Home Runs2829
RBI7689
Stolen Bases36
Batting Average.256.255
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 51# 77
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 35# 64
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 78
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 39# 60
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 50# 68
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 46# 70
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 65# 78
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 68# 72
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 50# 76
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 36# 66
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 12# 58
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 65# 67
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 37# 58
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 26# 44
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 70# 71
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 100# 121
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 59# 73
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 48# 69
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 40# 62
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 76# 88
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 37# 117
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 47# 62
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 33# 65
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 53# 78
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 36# 61
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 47# 70
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 48# 56
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 37# 60
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 29# 68
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 50# 76
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 49# 51
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 51# 69
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 62# 71
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 51# 52
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 54# 73
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 57# 58
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 61# 65
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 55# 60
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 64# 83
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 39# 73
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 24# 57
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 38# 59
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 47# 46
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 47# 46
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 56# 45
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 58# 50
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 64# 56
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 66# 56
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 70# 62
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 71# 65
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 72# 64
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 78# 50
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 78# 76
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 81# 69
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 83# 48
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 68
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Travis Shaw
1B,3B,2B - MIL
Travis Shaw
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats564498
   
Runs11173
   
Hits145120
   
Singles6765
   
Doubles4223
   
Triples00
   
Home Runs3632
   
RBI8186
   
Stolen Bases45
   
Caught Stealing12
   
Walks10278
   
Strikeouts158108
   
Batting Average.257.241
   
On Base Pct.374.345
   
Slugging Pct.523.480
   
On-base Plus Slugging.897.825
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Travis Shaw
1B,3B,2B - MIL
Travis Shaw
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats529519
   
Runs9777
   
Hits135132
   
Singles7175
   
Doubles3528
   
Triples21
   
Home Runs2829
   
RBI7689
   
Stolen Bases36
   
Caught Stealing22
   
Walks9565
   
Strikeouts140121
   
Batting Average.256.255
   
On Base Pct.369.338
   
Slugging Pct.486.479
   
On-base Plus Slugging.855.817
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Travis Shaw
1B,3B,2B - MIL
Travis Shaw
News 
 Matt Carpenter went 1-for-5 with a two-run triple and a run scored in the Cardinals' 7-3 loss to the Athletics on Tuesday.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Jun 26th
Travis Shaw went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in the Brewers' 7-5 win over the Reds on Sunday.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 23rd
 Matt Carpenter went 3-for-4 with a solo home run and three runs scored in the Cardinals' 5-0 win over the Marlins on Monday.
Elliott Baas
Mon, Jun 17th
Travis Shaw went 1-for-4 with a single in the Brewers' 7-1 loss to the Reds on Thursday.
Elliott Baas
Fri, Jun 21st
 Matt Carpenter went 1-for-3 with an RBI on Thursday against the Mets.
Dan Harris
Fri, Jun 14th
Travis Shaw went 1-for-3 with a two-run homer in the Brewers' 10-8 loss to the Astros on Tuesday.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Jun 12th
 Carpenter is not in the starting lineup for Friday's game against the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Jun 7th
Travis Shaw went 1-for-3 with an RBI, two walks, and two runs scored in the Brewers' 10-4 win over the Pirates on Friday.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 8th
 Carpenter was pulled in the top of the eighth inning of Thursday's game against the Cincinnati Reds; he was replaced at third base by Jedd Gyorko.
James Bisson
Thu, Jun 6th
The Brewers have activated Travis Shaw (wrist) from the 10-day IL.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jun 3rd
Notes 
 Over the last five years, Carpenter has a remarkable 468 walks, which obviously has contributed to his 483 runs. In that time, his power has steadily improved, all the way to 36 homers last year, and while that total may not be repeatable, 30 homers with 100 runs makes him well worth a sixth round pick in 2019 fantasy leagues
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Shaw has back to back seasons with 30 homers, and while his batting average may linger in the .240's again, that type of power is difficult to come by after pick 100, especially for someone who qualifies as a second basemen in most leagues.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Carpenter blew away his previous career high by hitting 36 home runs in 2018, but that was fueled by a 19.1 percent HR/FB rate that was far higher than he's ever had before. To be fair, he did have the highest hard contact rate in MLB, so it's not like the home run spike was a total fluke, but fantasy owners should generally be cautious when a player has an outlier season this late in their career. The odds are against Carpenter hitting 35+ home runs again, and while he regularly produces an excellent OBP, he is a bit of a drag in batting average and has little speed to speak of. He's a much better pick in points leagues and leagues that reward OBP than he is in traditional 5x5 roto/categories leagues, where he could be overvalued.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Shaw and Mike Moustakas are similar players who will now share an infield in Milwaukee, with Moustakas currently penciled in at second base after Shaw moved over there from third last year. Regardless of where they line up defensively, Shaw and Moustakas are both lefty sluggers who are good bets to deliver 30+ home runs and 90+ RBIs in the Miller Park bandbox. Neither is likely to be of much help in batting average or stolen bases, but they are useful players to own, especially considering they will have multi-position eligibility.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Despite entering the season with health woes and batting .155 in April, Carpenter then went scorched earth to hit .257/.374/.523 with a career-high 36 homers. It's dicey to bet on a 33-year-old coming off a career year, but he simply punishes baseball too severely to discredit. He led qualified hitters in hard-hit rate (49.0%) with the fifth-highest fly-ball rate (46.9%) and fourth-lowest popup rate (2.1%). Given his elite blend of hitting the ball hard, high, and far, Statcast's .535 XSLG and .386 xwOBA even offer room for growth. Expect more elite power in 2019.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Moustakas would slate right behind Shaw for me
Michael Florio - Fantrax
  Shaw followed 2017's 31-homer breakout with one more last year, but his 10 steals sliced in half while his average slithered from .273 to .241. That's a peculiar drop considering he also set career bests in walk (13.3%) and strikeout (18.4%) rates with a rise in barrels per batted balls (10.3%). Last year was the time to pass, but drafters should jump back in now that Shaw comes at a cheaper price with second-base eligibility.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros