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Who Should I Draft?

Matt Olson or Jeff McNeil (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Matt Olson
1B - OAK
Matt Olson
Jeff McNeil
2B,3B,LF,RF - NYM
Jeff McNeil
Expert
Recommendation
75%
Recommended by
15 of 20 experts
25%
Recommended by
5 of 20 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 55# 64
Best Rank# 32# 35
Worst Rank# 90# 94
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 84# 91
Best Rank# 76# 70
Worst Rank# 89# 106
   
Projections 
   
Runs8082
Home Runs3617
RBI9774
Stolen Bases26
Batting Average.240.295
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 57# 86
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 55# 64
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 47# 66
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 66# 78
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 59# 63
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 54# 65
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 55# 66
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 60# 62
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 32# 68
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 56# 67
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 61# 70
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 53# 73
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 54# 72
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 47# 94
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 55# 66
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 54# 53
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 57# 35
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 59# 57
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 60# 58
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 90# 39
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Matt Olson
1B - OAK
Matt Olson
Jeff McNeil
2B,3B,LF,RF - NYM
Jeff McNeil
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats210183
   
Runs2819
   
Hits4157
   
Singles2239
   
Doubles414
   
Triples10
   
Home Runs144
   
RBI4223
   
Stolen Bases10
   
Caught Stealing02
   
Walks3420
   
Strikeouts7724
   
Batting Average.195.312
   
On Base Pct.310.383
   
Slugging Pct.424.454
   
On-base Plus Slugging.734.836
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Matt Olson
1B - OAK
Matt Olson
Jeff McNeil
2B,3B,LF,RF - NYM
Jeff McNeil
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats533563
   
Runs8082
   
Hits126164
   
Singles65108
   
Doubles2336
   
Triples12
   
Home Runs3617
   
RBI9774
   
Stolen Bases26
   
Caught Stealing14
   
Walks7046
   
Strikeouts16783
   
Batting Average.240.295
   
On Base Pct.326.345
   
Slugging Pct.490.460
   
On-base Plus Slugging.815.806
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Matt Olson
1B - OAK
Matt Olson
Jeff McNeil
2B,3B,LF,RF - NYM
Jeff McNeil
News 
There are no recent news for these players
Notes 
 Olson again hit for a ton of power last year, and ranked in the top nine percent of the league in average exit velocity for the third straight season. But he struck out 31.4% of the time, which contributed to a massive average drop to just .195. Olson had a bit of bad luck, as his xBA was .224, but still, it was by far his worst career mark. Although he'll never be a high average hitter, it's a good bet that he'll return something this year closer to his .245 career mark. Combine that with his likely near-40 home run season, and he'll make a fine mid-round selection and starting first baseman for any fantasy team.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Much of McNeil's 2020 season looked similar to his year in 2019. He hit over .300, rarely struck out, and got on base plenty. But the power gains that we saw in 2019 vanished, as he hit just four home runs over 52 games. His barrel rate (2.5%) and hard-hit percentage (26.5%) were some of the worst in the league, and he didn't even offer the token stolen base that he had chipped in during previous seasons. This is a scenario where McNeil's value to any particular fantasy manager will depend on the weight he or she gives to the shortened 2020 season. Given that McNeil never hit the ball particularly hard anyway, though, a good bet is to assume he at least returns to the high teens in home runs, slightly below his 2019 pace. With his strong average and multi-position eligibility, that makes McNeil an asset in the middle rounds.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Olson's Statcast profile was a bit all over the place last year. However, the biggest reason to buy back in this season is the disastrous .227 BABIP he posted (compared to .292 and .300 marks from the previous two campaigns). Olson still managed to hit 14 homers in the shortened season, which means the power is still there. The expectation of some better luck means he might be my single biggest first base target in drafts this spring.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros