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Who Should I Draft?

Matt Olson or Max Muncy (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Matt Olson
1B - OAK
Matt Olson
Max Muncy
1B,2B,3B - LAD
Max Muncy
Expert
Recommendation
79%
Recommended by
19 of 24 experts
21%
Recommended by
5 of 24 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 60# 65
Best Rank# 33# 48
Worst Rank# 114# 81
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 84# 92
Best Rank# 76# 81
Worst Rank# 90# 96
   
Projections 
   
Runs8190
Home Runs3630
RBI9888
Stolen Bases23
Batting Average.243.243
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 57# 71
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 55# 65
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 47# 60
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 66# 77
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 59# 67
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 54# 59
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 73# 80
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 60# 67
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 53# 64
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 54# 64
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 55# 60
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 60# 64
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 33# 71
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 56# 60
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 61# 81
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 53# 61
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 55# 77
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 47# 66
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 55# 64
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 54# 49
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 59# 51
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 94# 48
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 102# 79
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 114# 79
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Matt Olson
1B - OAK
Matt Olson
Max Muncy
1B,2B,3B - LAD
Max Muncy
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats210203
   
Runs2836
   
Hits4139
   
Singles2223
   
Doubles44
   
Triples10
   
Home Runs1412
   
RBI4227
   
Stolen Bases11
   
Caught Stealing00
   
Walks3439
   
Strikeouts7760
   
Batting Average.195.192
   
On Base Pct.310.331
   
Slugging Pct.424.389
   
On-base Plus Slugging.734.720
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Matt Olson
1B - OAK
Matt Olson
Max Muncy
1B,2B,3B - LAD
Max Muncy
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats538493
   
Runs8190
   
Hits129118
   
Singles6866
   
Doubles2420
   
Triples11
   
Home Runs3630
   
RBI9888
   
Stolen Bases23
   
Caught Stealing11
   
Walks7190
   
Strikeouts169149
   
Batting Average.243.243
   
On Base Pct.328.356
   
Slugging Pct.489.469
   
On-base Plus Slugging.817.825
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Matt Olson
1B - OAK
Matt Olson
Max Muncy
1B,2B,3B - LAD
Max Muncy
News 
There are no recent news for these players
Notes 
 Olson again hit for a ton of power last year, and ranked in the top nine percent of the league in average exit velocity for the third straight season. But he struck out 31.4% of the time, which contributed to a massive average drop to just .195. Olson had a bit of bad luck, as his xBA was .224, but still, it was by far his worst career mark. Although he'll never be a high average hitter, it's a good bet that he'll return something this year closer to his .245 career mark. Combine that with his likely near-40 home run season, and he'll make a fine mid-round selection and starting first baseman for any fantasy team.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Muncy's batting average dropped to a ridiculously low .192 last year, and there were two culprits. The first is that his line drive rate plummeted from 23.5% to just 13.8%, leading to far more ground balls. The second was that he simply didn't hit the ball as hard. His hard hit rate and average exit velocity fell, and his HR/FB rate dropped seven points. Muncy dealt with finger and elbow injuries, so those may account for his poor season, but even then he was on pace to reach the 30-homer plateau for a third straight year. Muncy has position eligibility galore, and at the weak second base position, so continue to draft him in the middle rounds as a cheap source of power who adds value thanks to his ability to play all around the infield for your fantasy team.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 240 - 45 - 0
Jordan Eisen - Field of Vision Sports
255 - 35 - 3
Jordan Eisen - Field of Vision Sports
 Olson's Statcast profile was a bit all over the place last year. However, the biggest reason to buy back in this season is the disastrous .227 BABIP he posted (compared to .292 and .300 marks from the previous two campaigns). Olson still managed to hit 14 homers in the shortened season, which means the power is still there. The expectation of some better luck means he might be my single biggest first base target in drafts this spring.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Muncy's finger was hit by a pitch during summer camp. While he was able to play through it, the issue was a pain-tolerance one that bothered him all year long. The hard-hit rate and average exit velocity worsened, though his walk rate ranked in the 93rd percentile. This data backs up the idea that Muncy was simply playing through something. Adding to his bounce back case is a .203 BABIP from 2020, well below his career mark of .266.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros