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Who Should I Draft?

Matt Olson or Teoscar Hernandez (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Matt Olson
1B - OAK
Matt Olson
Teoscar Hernandez
LF,CF,RF - TOR
Teoscar Hernandez
Expert
Recommendation
56%
Recommended by
28 of 50 experts
44%
Recommended by
22 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 56# 57
Best Rank# 24# 33
Worst Rank# 94# 92
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 80# 79
Best Rank# 66# 76
Worst Rank# 91# 100
   
Projections 
   
Runs8179
Home Runs3632
RBI9885
Stolen Bases210
Batting Average.244.248
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL10
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 56# 59
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 47# 58
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 24# 69
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 52# 92
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 52# 61
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 57# 60
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 54# 55
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 70# 90
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 58# 60
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 52# 61
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 53# 61
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 47# 58
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 54# 62
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 55# 56
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 38# 60
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 53# 90
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 53# 60
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 53# 58
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 60# 64
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 55# 56
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 53# 75
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 57# 59
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 53# 76
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 55# 56
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 48# 67
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 45# 74
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 51# 61
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 46# 74
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 49# 42
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 51# 49
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 51# 33
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 53# 40
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 57# 53
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 57# 46
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 57# 56
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 58# 46
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 59# 42
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 60# 36
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 60# 39
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 60# 56
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 61# 45
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 62# 61
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 64# 42
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 64# 56
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 65# 58
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 75# 56
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 78# 76
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 89# 39
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 91# 50
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 94# 56
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Matt Olson
1B - OAK
Matt Olson
Teoscar Hernandez
LF,CF,RF - TOR
Teoscar Hernandez
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats210190
   
Runs2833
   
Hits4155
   
Singles2232
   
Doubles47
   
Triples10
   
Home Runs1416
   
RBI4234
   
Stolen Bases16
   
Caught Stealing01
   
Walks3414
   
Strikeouts7763
   
Batting Average.195.290
   
On Base Pct.310.340
   
Slugging Pct.424.579
   
On-base Plus Slugging.734.919
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Matt Olson
1B - OAK
Matt Olson
Teoscar Hernandez
LF,CF,RF - TOR
Teoscar Hernandez
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats538524
   
Runs8179
   
Hits130129
   
Singles6870
   
Doubles2425
   
Triples13
   
Home Runs3632
   
RBI9885
   
Stolen Bases210
   
Caught Stealing14
   
Walks7148
   
Strikeouts168178
   
Batting Average.244.248
   
On Base Pct.332.312
   
Slugging Pct.492.490
   
On-base Plus Slugging.825.802
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Matt Olson
1B - OAK
Matt Olson
Teoscar Hernandez
LF,CF,RF - TOR
Teoscar Hernandez
News 
 Matt Olson went 3-for-5 with three RBIs and two runs in the Athletics 13-12 extra-inning win Wednesday over the Twins.
Ari Koslow
Wed, Apr 21st
Blue Jays OF Teoscar Hernandez is no longer experiencing symptoms after testing positive for COVID-19 last Tuesday.
Brad Camara
Sat, Apr 17th
 Matt Olson went 1-for-4 with four RBIs and one run in the Athletics 7-0 win in game one of Tuesday's doubleheader against the Twins.
Ari Koslow
Wed, Apr 21st
Blue Jays outfielder Teoscar Hernandez tested positive for COVID-19, per Blue Jays manager Charlie Montoyo. He is showing symptoms but "doing better" and will now be out for at least 10 more days.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Tue, Apr 13th
 Matt Olson went 1-for-4 with one run and one strikeout in the Athletics 3-2 win Sunday over Detroit. It was the eighth straight win for Oakland.
Ari Koslow
Sun, Apr 18th
Blue Jays OF Teoscar Hernandez is expected to be sidelined until the team begins a series with the Royals next Thursday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Apr 10th
 Matt Olson went 2-for-3 with one RBI, two runs and one walk in the Athletics 7-0 win Saturday over Detroit.
Ari Koslow
Sat, Apr 17th
Blue Jays outfielder Teoscar Hernandez is out Friday due to COVID-19 protocols.
AJ Schullo
Fri, Apr 9th
 Matt Olson went 2-for-4 with one strikeout in the Athletics 3-0 win Friday over Detroit.
Ari Koslow
Sat, Apr 17th
Teoscar Hernandez went 0-for-4 at the plate with three strikeouts on Wednesday as the Blue Jays lost to the Rangers by a 2-1 score.
John Aubin
Thu, Apr 8th
Notes 
 Olson again hit for a ton of power last year, and ranked in the top nine percent of the league in average exit velocity for the third straight season. But he struck out 31.4% of the time, which contributed to a massive average drop to just .195. Olson had a bit of bad luck, as his xBA was .224, but still, it was by far his worst career mark. Although he'll never be a high average hitter, it's a good bet that he'll return something this year closer to his .245 career mark. Combine that with his likely near-40 home run season, and he'll make a fine mid-round selection and starting first baseman for any fantasy team.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Unlike some fellow 2020 breakouts like Corbin Burnes and Zach Plesac, it's tough to figure out what led to Hernandez's sudden production. The Statcast page is blood red, but there weren't any improvements in his overall plate discipline. Skeptics point to this as a reason to say that he simply got hot for two months last summer. Perhaps he simply got a lot better at recognizing pitches, but a 33% HR/FB rate and a .348 BABIP are further indications that this production won't last.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
 Olson's Statcast profile was a bit all over the place last year. However, the biggest reason to buy back in this season is the disastrous .227 BABIP he posted (compared to .292 and .300 marks from the previous two campaigns). Olson still managed to hit 14 homers in the shortened season, which means the power is still there. The expectation of some better luck means he might be my single biggest first base target in drafts this spring.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Hernandez missed 10 games due to injury and still put up an impressive 16 home runs in his mere 50 games. The statcast leaderboard is peppered with Hernandez's name, as he hit the ball hard consistently throughout the year. He also upped his line drive rate significantly, which his why the underlying statistics supported his massive jump in batting average. But it's hard to tell if Hernandez's 2020 season was real or just a very hot 50-game stretch. After all, he still struck out more than 30 percent of the time, and his walk rate dropped by about two points. In the end, given his home park and his supporting case, you can buy Hernandez as a 35-homer bat who will chip in steals and help with the remaining counting stats. But assume he hits closer to his .245 batting average, and don't count on the 50 homer pace you saw last year.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros