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Who Should I Draft?

Max Fried or Charlie Morton (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Max Fried
SP - ATL
Max Fried
Charlie Morton
SP - ATL
Charlie Morton
Expert
Recommendation
65%
Recommended by
33 of 51 experts
35%
Recommended by
18 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 27# 31
Best Rank# 17# 15
Worst Rank# 61# 64
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 64# 107
Best Rank# 55# 102
Worst Rank# 89# 122
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts159171
Wins1211
Saves00
ERA3.823.71
WHIP1.271.20
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 22# 35
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 28# 32
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 21# 64
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 25# 28
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 21# 33
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 23# 34
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 31# 40
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 28# 32
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 23# 33
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 29# 31
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 27# 40
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 30# 38
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 26# 41
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 22# 30
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 22# 47
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 25# 29
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 21# 34
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 29# 35
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 19# 32
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 28# 53
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 25# 50
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 17# 63
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 26# 31
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 23# 26
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 23# 42
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 22# 41
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 29# 37
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 31# 32
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 34# 40
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 21# 29
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 28# 31
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 27# 31
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 23# 40
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 29# 27
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 30# 24
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 30# 25
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 31# 30
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 31# 15
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 32# 29
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 33# 30
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 33# 26
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 33# 26
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 39# 34
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 39# 27
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 40# 36
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 40# 20
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 45# 30
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 46# 20
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 47# 31
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 52# 40
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 61# 24
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Max Fried
SP - ATL
Max Fried
Charlie Morton
SP - ATL
Charlie Morton
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played119
   
Games Started119
   
Innings Pitched56.238.2
   
Wins72
   
Losses02
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4243
   
Earned Runs1420
   
Home Runs Allowed24
   
Strikeouts5042
   
Walks1910
   
ERA2.254.74
   
WHIP1.091.39
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Max Fried
SP - ATL
Max Fried
Charlie Morton
SP - ATL
Charlie Morton
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2929
   
Games Started2929
   
Innings Pitched161.3154.7
   
Wins1211
   
Losses77
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed153138
   
Earned Runs6864
   
Home Runs Allowed1818
   
Strikeouts159171
   
Walks5247
   
ERA3.823.71
   
WHIP1.271.20
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Max Fried
SP - ATL
Max Fried
Charlie Morton
SP - ATL
Charlie Morton
News 
 Max Fried pitched six innings against the Marlins Sunday, allowing four hits, three runs (all earned), and one walk while striking out seven batters. He was not a factor in the decision, a 5-3 Braves victory, but did earn a quality start. Fried threw 89 pitches, 67 for strikes, and carries a 3.47 ERA.
Steve Painter
Sun, Sep 12th
Charlie Morton pitched five innings against the Giants Saturday, allowing four hits, two runs (both earned), and three walks while striking out three batters. The Braves offense was held scoreless, and Morton got the loss, his record is now 13-6 on the year. He threw 97 pitches, 51 for strikes, and carries a 3.49 ERA.
Steve Painter
Sun, Sep 19th
 Max Fried pitched six innings against the Nationals Tuesday, allowing six hits, one run (earned), and four walks while striking out five batters. He was not a factor in the decision but did earn a quality start. He threw 96 pitches, 56 for strikes, and carries a 3.42 ERA.
Steve Painter
Wed, Sep 8th
Charlie Morton pitched seven innings against the Marlins Friday, allowing six hits and three runs (all earned) while striking out seven batters. While he didn't get the win, he did earn another quality start. Morton threw 91 pitches, 64 for strikes, and carries a 3.49 ERA.
Steve Painter
Sat, Sep 11th
 Max Fried pitched six innings against the Dodgers Wednesday, allowing three hits, two runs (both earned), and one walk while striking out nine batters. He did not factor in the decision. Fried threw 99 pitches, 59 for strikes, and carries a 3.51 ERA.
Steve Painter
Thu, Sep 2nd
Charlie Morton and the Braves agreed to a one year, $20 million contract extension on Monday. The deal also includes a club option for 2023 with $20 million as well.
Chris Schommer
Mon, Sep 6th
 Max Fried pitched six innings against the Giants Friday, allowing five hits and four runs (three earned) while striking out five batters. He did not factor into the decision, a 6-5 Braves win. He threw 93 pitches, 65 for strikes, and carries a 3.54 ERA.
Steve Painter
Sat, Aug 28th
Charlie Morton pitched seven innings against the Rockies Sunday, allowing two hits, two runs (both earned), and two walks while striking four batters out. The Braves offense was loud in this one, and Morton's record improved to 13-5 on the year, and he also earned another start. He threw 89 pitches, 60 for strikes, and carries a 3.47 ERA.
Steve Painter
Sun, Sep 5th
 Max Fried pitched the first complete-game shutout of his career against the Orioles Friday, allowing four hits while striking out four batters. With the Braves 3-0 win, Fried's record improved to 11-7, and he also collected another quality start. He threw 90 pitches, 66 for strikes, and carries a 3.49 ERA.
Steve Painter
Fri, Aug 20th
Charlie Morton pitched six innings against the Dodgers Tuesday, allowing three hits, one run (earned), and two walks while striking out eight batters. Although he earned another quality start, it ended in a no-decision for him. He threw 106 pitches, 67 for strikes, and carries a 3.52 ERA.
Steve Painter
Wed, Sep 1st
Notes 
 In many ways, Fried regressed during his 2020 season. His strikeout rate dropped, his walk rate increased, and his xFIP and SIERA jumped significantly. Nevertheless, thanks to his ability to limit hard contact (his 83.4 MPH average exit velocity and 23.8% hard hit rate allowed were among the best in MLB) led to a massive drop in BABIP allowed, and kept both his ERA and WHIP in check. It's hard to buy a pitcher without an elite strikeout rate whose underlying numbers don't fully support his gains. Nevertheless, Fried was an elite prospect playing on an excellent team, and is just 27 years old. Don't pay for last year's numbers, but don't run away from him in drafts either.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Morton's 2020 numbers were poor, without question. He was limited to just 38 regular season innings because of a shoulder injury, and pitched to a 4.74 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. His velocity was way down early in the season (when he got hit hard) and trickled up after he returned, but he got back to his normal 95 MPH fastball in the postseason and totaled a 2.70 ERA. Now 37 and with the Braves, the question is whether fantasy managers can write off Morton's down 2020 season considering his sterling post-season, or whether his age and injury history means they should avoid him. In reality, the answer is neither. Morton should still have gas left in the tank considering his playoff run, but should only be drafted as a value, meaning no earlier than a low-end SP3. Grab him there, at which point the risk-reward balance should reach an equilibrium.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros