Skip to main content

Who Should I Draft?

Max Fried or Sonny Gray (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Sonny Gray
SP - CIN
Sonny Gray
Max Fried
SP - ATL
Max Fried
Expert
Recommendation
53%
Recommended by
27 of 51 experts
47%
Recommended by
24 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 28# 27
Best Rank# 16# 17
Worst Rank# 120# 61
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 90# 64
Best Rank# 80# 55
Worst Rank# 111# 89
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts179159
Wins1112
Saves00
ERA3.793.82
WHIP1.221.27
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 25# 40
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 20# 22
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 19# 21
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 23# 25
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 32# 33
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 16# 31
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 20# 31
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 35# 61
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 22# 23
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 22# 31
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 31# 40
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 25# 33
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 27# 28
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 21# 27
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 17# 28
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 35# 46
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 16# 25
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 19# 23
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 31# 39
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 50# 52
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 20# 23
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 23# 29
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 21# 34
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 27# 28
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 18# 23
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 22# 30
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 32# 39
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 17
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 28# 19
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 28# 21
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 26# 21
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 43# 21
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 31# 22
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 35# 22
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 23# 22
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 25# 23
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 31# 25
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 28# 26
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 31# 26
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 28# 27
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 41# 28
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 46# 29
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 44# 29
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 33# 29
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 43# 30
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 39# 30
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 49# 31
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 34# 32
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 49# 33
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 48# 45
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 120# 47
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Sonny Gray
SP - CIN
Sonny Gray
Max Fried
SP - ATL
Max Fried
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1111
   
Games Started1111
   
Innings Pitched56.256.2
   
Wins57
   
Losses30
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4242
   
Earned Runs2314
   
Home Runs Allowed42
   
Strikeouts7250
   
Walks2619
   
ERA3.702.25
   
WHIP1.211.09
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Sonny Gray
SP - CIN
Sonny Gray
Max Fried
SP - ATL
Max Fried
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2929
   
Games Started2929
   
Innings Pitched157.6161.3
   
Wins1112
   
Losses87
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed132153
   
Earned Runs6668
   
Home Runs Allowed1918
   
Strikeouts179159
   
Walks5952
   
ERA3.793.82
   
WHIP1.221.27
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Sonny Gray
SP - CIN
Sonny Gray
Max Fried
SP - ATL
Max Fried
News 
 Sonny Gray did not factor into the decision Friday against the Nationals, allowing four runs on five hits in four innings. He walked four and struck out three.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 25th
Max Fried pitched nine innings against the Padres Friday, allowing three hits and striking out four batters. With the win, his record is 13-7 on the year, and he earned another quality start. He threw 98 pitches, 66 for strikes, and carries a 3.12 ERA.
Steve Painter
Sat, Sep 25th
 Sonny Gray (7-8) was saddled with the loss Saturday against the Dodgers, allowing four runs (three earned) on four hits in six innings. He walked two and struck out five.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 18th
Max Fried pitched seven shutout innings against the Giants Sunday, allowing three hits and one walk while striking out five batters. The Braves bullpen completed the shutout, with Fried's record improving to 12-7 on the year. He threw 99 pitches, 67 for strikes, and carries a 3.31 ERA.
Steve Painter
Sun, Sep 19th
 Sonny Gray (7-7) took the loss Sunday against the Cardinals, allowing two runs on three hits and one walk in seven innings. He struck out six.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 12th
Max Fried pitched six innings against the Marlins Sunday, allowing four hits, three runs (all earned), and one walk while striking out seven batters. He was not a factor in the decision, a 5-3 Braves victory, but did earn a quality start. Fried threw 89 pitches, 67 for strikes, and carries a 3.47 ERA.
Steve Painter
Sun, Sep 12th
 Sonny Gray did not factor into the decision in Monday's loss to the Cubs, allowing three runs (two earned) on three hits in five innings. He struck out eight and walked none.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Sep 6th
Max Fried pitched six innings against the Nationals Tuesday, allowing six hits, one run (earned), and four walks while striking out five batters. He was not a factor in the decision but did earn a quality start. He threw 96 pitches, 56 for strikes, and carries a 3.42 ERA.
Steve Painter
Wed, Sep 8th
 Sonny Gray (7-6) picked up the win Wednesday against the Cardinals in Game 2 of the doubleheader. He allowed two runs on two hits across five innings. He walked none and struck out three.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 1st
Max Fried pitched six innings against the Dodgers Wednesday, allowing three hits, two runs (both earned), and one walk while striking out nine batters. He did not factor in the decision. Fried threw 99 pitches, 59 for strikes, and carries a 3.51 ERA.
Steve Painter
Thu, Sep 2nd
Notes 
 Two dreadful starts late in the season severely hurt what was otherwise a strong 2020 campaign for Gray, though it was a bizarre year. His strikeout rate surpassed 30% for the first time in his career, while his walk rate jumped to 11.1%. He was also far more hittable, particularly his slider and curveball, which had been dominant pitches in 2019. But even if Gray simply repeats his 2020 season, his strikeout rate and decent ERA and WHIP should be enough to make him a borderline SP2 for fantasy leagues. He will likely begin the year on the IL after experiencing back spasms in mid-March, but the injury doesn't sound like it will keep him out for long. Considering we've seen much more than that from him in 2019, fantasy managers should have little hesitation drafting him.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
In many ways, Fried regressed during his 2020 season. His strikeout rate dropped, his walk rate increased, and his xFIP and SIERA jumped significantly. Nevertheless, thanks to his ability to limit hard contact (his 83.4 MPH average exit velocity and 23.8% hard hit rate allowed were among the best in MLB) led to a massive drop in BABIP allowed, and kept both his ERA and WHIP in check. It's hard to buy a pitcher without an elite strikeout rate whose underlying numbers don't fully support his gains. Nevertheless, Fried was an elite prospect playing on an excellent team, and is just 27 years old. Don't pay for last year's numbers, but don't run away from him in drafts either.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros