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Who Should I Draft?

Max Fried or Zack Greinke (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Max Fried
SP - ATL
Max Fried
Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
Expert
Recommendation
57%
Recommended by
29 of 51 experts
43%
Recommended by
22 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 27# 29
Best Rank# 17# 10
Worst Rank# 61# 61
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 64# 93
Best Rank# 55# 65
Worst Rank# 89# 99
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts159171
Wins1212
Saves00
ERA3.823.85
WHIP1.271.14
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 22# 31
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 21# 59
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 25# 27
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 31# 61
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 21# 29
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 23# 29
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 28# 29
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 23# 34
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 27# 29
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 30# 35
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 22# 39
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 22# 34
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 25# 38
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 21# 22
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 29# 30
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 19# 30
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 28# 44
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 25# 33
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 17# 33
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 26# 29
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 23# 37
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 23# 30
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 22# 43
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 29# 32
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 34# 37
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 21# 31
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 28# 45
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 27# 30
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 23# 46
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 26# 18
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 28# 10
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 29# 28
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 29# 27
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 30# 25
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 30# 28
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 31# 22
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 31# 29
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 31# 25
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 32# 31
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 33# 27
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 33# 27
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 33# 23
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 39# 31
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 39# 23
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 40# 22
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 40# 35
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 45# 39
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 46# 31
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 47# 29
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 52# 36
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 61# 15
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Max Fried
SP - ATL
Max Fried
Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1112
   
Games Started1112
   
Innings Pitched56.267.1
   
Wins73
   
Losses03
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4267
   
Earned Runs1430
   
Home Runs Allowed26
   
Strikeouts5067
   
Walks199
   
ERA2.254.03
   
WHIP1.091.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Max Fried
SP - ATL
Max Fried
Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2931
   
Games Started2931
   
Innings Pitched161.3183.4
   
Wins1212
   
Losses78
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed153174
   
Earned Runs6878
   
Home Runs Allowed1828
   
Strikeouts159171
   
Walks5236
   
ERA3.823.85
   
WHIP1.271.14
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Max Fried
SP - ATL
Max Fried
Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
News 
 Braves starting pitcher Max Fried will start Game 1 of NLCS against the Dodgers today.
Chris Schommer
Sat, Oct 16th
Zack Greinke will start Game 4 of ALCS against the Astros on Tuesday at Fenway Park.
Chris Schommer
Tue, Oct 19th
 Max Fried pitched seven innings against the Phillies Wednesday, allowing four hits and two runs (one earned) while striking out six batters.
Steve Painter
Wed, Sep 29th
Houston Astros pitcher Zack Greinke (neck) is scheduled to make a rehab start with Triple-A Sugar Land on Thursday.
Brad Camara
Tue, Sep 28th
 Max Fried pitched nine innings against the Padres Friday, allowing three hits and striking out four batters. With the win, his record is 13-7 on the year, and he earned another quality start. He threw 98 pitches, 66 for strikes, and carries a 3.12 ERA.
Steve Painter
Sat, Sep 25th
Astros starter Zack Greinke allowed five runs over four innings of work against the Diamondbacks on Sunday. His final line included five hits, one walk, three strikeouts, one homer, and the no-decision. Houston ultimately defeated Arizona by a score of 7-6.
Andersen Pickard
Mon, Sep 20th
 Max Fried pitched seven shutout innings against the Giants Sunday, allowing three hits and one walk while striking out five batters. The Braves bullpen completed the shutout, with Fried's record improving to 12-7 on the year. He threw 99 pitches, 67 for strikes, and carries a 3.31 ERA.
Steve Painter
Sun, Sep 19th
Astros veteran starter Zack Greinke had a horrendous outing on Tuesday as he allowed eight runs (seven earned) over five innings of work against the Rangers. His final line included five hits, three walks, four strikeouts, three homers, and the loss. Houston ultimately fell to Texas by a score of 8-1.
Andersen Pickard
Tue, Sep 14th
 Max Fried pitched six innings against the Marlins Sunday, allowing four hits, three runs (all earned), and one walk while striking out seven batters. He was not a factor in the decision, a 5-3 Braves victory, but did earn a quality start. Fried threw 89 pitches, 67 for strikes, and carries a 3.47 ERA.
Steve Painter
Sun, Sep 12th
Astros starting pitcher Zack Greinke (COVID-19) will return to the mound on Tuesday against the Rangers.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Sep 11th
Notes 
 In many ways, Fried regressed during his 2020 season. His strikeout rate dropped, his walk rate increased, and his xFIP and SIERA jumped significantly. Nevertheless, thanks to his ability to limit hard contact (his 83.4 MPH average exit velocity and 23.8% hard hit rate allowed were among the best in MLB) led to a massive drop in BABIP allowed, and kept both his ERA and WHIP in check. It's hard to buy a pitcher without an elite strikeout rate whose underlying numbers don't fully support his gains. Nevertheless, Fried was an elite prospect playing on an excellent team, and is just 27 years old. Don't pay for last year's numbers, but don't run away from him in drafts either.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Greinke is entering his age-37 season, but still somehow keeps getting it done. His ERA of 4.03 last year was certainly higher than fantasy managers are used to seeing, but it came with a 2.80 FIP and 3.51 xFIP. His strikeout rate was his best since 2017 and his walk rate of 3.3% was the best of his entire career. But his velocity was down about two ticks, with his fastball clocking in at just 87.9 miles per hour. Greinke is as smart a pitcher as there is but it's going to be difficult to succeed over the course of a full 162-game season if his pure stuff continues to diminish. He's one of the few pitchers in the game who is probably capable of pitching 200 innings in 2021, but expect a continued downward trend in his performance.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros