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Who Should I Draft?

Max Fried or Zack Greinke (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Max Fried
SP - ATL
Max Fried
Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
Expert
Recommendation
56%
Recommended by
28 of 50 experts
44%
Recommended by
22 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 27# 29
Best Rank# 17# 10
Worst Rank# 61# 61
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 64# 93
Best Rank# 55# 65
Worst Rank# 89# 99
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts159171
Wins1212
Saves00
ERA3.823.85
WHIP1.271.14
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL10-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 22# 31
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 21# 59
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 25# 27
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 31# 61
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 21# 29
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 23# 29
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 28# 29
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 23# 34
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 27# 29
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 30# 35
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 22# 39
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 22# 34
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 25# 38
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 21# 22
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 29# 30
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 19# 30
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 28# 44
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 17# 33
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 26# 29
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 23# 37
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 23# 30
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 22# 43
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 29# 32
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 34# 37
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 21# 31
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 28# 45
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 27# 30
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 23# 46
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 26# 18
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 28# 10
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 29# 28
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 29# 27
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 30# 25
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 30# 28
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 31# 22
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 31# 29
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 31# 25
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 32# 31
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 33# 27
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 33# 27
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 33# 23
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 39# 31
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 39# 23
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 40# 22
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 40# 35
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 45# 39
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 46# 31
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 47# 29
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 52# 36
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 61# 15
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Max Fried
SP - ATL
Max Fried
Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1112
   
Games Started1112
   
Innings Pitched56.267.1
   
Wins73
   
Losses03
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4267
   
Earned Runs1430
   
Home Runs Allowed26
   
Strikeouts5067
   
Walks199
   
ERA2.254.03
   
WHIP1.091.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Max Fried
SP - ATL
Max Fried
Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2931
   
Games Started2931
   
Innings Pitched161.3183.4
   
Wins1212
   
Losses78
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed153174
   
Earned Runs6878
   
Home Runs Allowed1828
   
Strikeouts159171
   
Walks5236
   
ERA3.823.85
   
WHIP1.271.14
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Max Fried
SP - ATL
Max Fried
Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
News 
 Braves LHP Max Fried (hamstring) remains day-to-day, according to manager Brian Snitker.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Apr 21st
Astros starter Zack Greinke got back on track and returned to ace form on Saturday against the Mariners. Over eight innings, he allowed zero runs and just four hits. He also struck out six batters and did not walk anybody.
Andersen Pickard
Sun, Apr 18th
 The Braves placed LHP Max Fried on the 10-day injured list with a strained hamstring.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Apr 14th
Astros starter Zack Greinke had a poor outing on Monday, allowing six runs on 10 hits over just 4.2 innings. He allowed three walks, three homers, and two strikeouts.
Andersen Pickard
Tue, Apr 13th
 Max Fried pitched four innings against the Marlins Tuesday, allowing nine hits, eight runs (seven earned), and two walks while striking out three batters. He threw 86 pitches, 56 for strikes. It was his first loss of the year and he carries an 11.45 ERA thus far. It's worth noting that Fried is going to get an MRI on his right hamstring because he felt something while running from second to third in the fourth inning.
Steve Painter
Tue, Apr 13th
Astros starting pitcher Zack Greinke went the distance on Tuesday, allowing just two runs on five hits over seven innings. He walked one batter and struck out four. This was his second outing of the season after he threw a scoreless gem on Opening Day.
Andersen Pickard
Tue, Apr 6th
 Max Fried underwent a precautionary MRI on his right hamstring after his start against the Marlins on Tuesday. Fried felt something in his hamstring while running from second to third in his final at-bat.
Matt Flipi
Tue, Apr 13th
Astros starter Zack Greinke threw a brilliant game on Thursday as Houston defeated the Athletics, 8-1. Over six innings, the right-hander allowed zero runs, three hits, and zero walks. He struck out four batters in the process.
Andersen Pickard
Fri, Apr 2nd
 Max Fried pitched two innings Wednesday, shortened by a poor outing and taking a liner off of his lower right leg, allowed eight hits, five runs (all earned), and one walk while recording three strikeouts.
Steve Painter
Wed, Apr 7th
Zack Greinke has been named the Astros' Opening Day starter by manager Dusty Baker.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Mar 15th
Notes 
 In many ways, Fried regressed during his 2020 season. His strikeout rate dropped, his walk rate increased, and his xFIP and SIERA jumped significantly. Nevertheless, thanks to his ability to limit hard contact (his 83.4 MPH average exit velocity and 23.8% hard hit rate allowed were among the best in MLB) led to a massive drop in BABIP allowed, and kept both his ERA and WHIP in check. It's hard to buy a pitcher without an elite strikeout rate whose underlying numbers don't fully support his gains. Nevertheless, Fried was an elite prospect playing on an excellent team, and is just 27 years old. Don't pay for last year's numbers, but don't run away from him in drafts either.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Greinke is entering his age-37 season, but still somehow keeps getting it done. His ERA of 4.03 last year was certainly higher than fantasy managers are used to seeing, but it came with a 2.80 FIP and 3.51 xFIP. His strikeout rate was his best since 2017 and his walk rate of 3.3% was the best of his entire career. But his velocity was down about two ticks, with his fastball clocking in at just 87.9 miles per hour. Greinke is as smart a pitcher as there is but it's going to be difficult to succeed over the course of a full 162-game season if his pure stuff continues to diminish. He's one of the few pitchers in the game who is probably capable of pitching 200 innings in 2021, but expect a continued downward trend in his performance.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros