Skip to main content

Who Should I Draft?

Max Fried or Zack Wheeler (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Max Fried
SP - ATL
Max Fried
Zack Wheeler
SP - PHI
Zack Wheeler
Expert
Recommendation
71%
Recommended by
36 of 51 experts
29%
Recommended by
15 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 27# 30
Best Rank# 17# 19
Worst Rank# 61# 54
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 64# 87
Best Rank# 55# 79
Worst Rank# 89# 102
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts159172
Wins1212
Saves00
ERA3.823.89
WHIP1.271.23
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 22# 28
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 21# 47
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 25# 38
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 31# 54
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 31# 33
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 21# 27
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 23# 27
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 31# 32
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 30# 31
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 28# 30
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 23# 42
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 29# 32
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 27# 34
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 30# 44
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 26# 30
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 22# 26
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 25# 30
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 21# 29
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 29# 31
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 19# 26
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 28# 35
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 46# 47
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 32# 37
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 25# 32
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 17# 31
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 26# 30
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 23# 27
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 23# 27
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 22# 33
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 29# 31
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 31# 36
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 21# 30
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 27# 29
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 23# 35
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 30# 31
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 39# 47
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 22# 21
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 28# 19
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 28# 22
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 29# 22
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 33# 28
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 33# 21
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 33# 27
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 34# 30
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 39# 35
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 40# 28
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 40# 24
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 45# 33
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 47# 42
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 52# 35
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 61# 32
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Max Fried
SP - ATL
Max Fried
Zack Wheeler
SP - PHI
Zack Wheeler
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1111
   
Games Started1111
   
Innings Pitched56.271.2
   
Wins74
   
Losses02
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4266
   
Earned Runs1423
   
Home Runs Allowed23
   
Strikeouts5053
   
Walks1916
   
ERA2.252.92
   
WHIP1.091.15
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Max Fried
SP - ATL
Max Fried
Zack Wheeler
SP - PHI
Zack Wheeler
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2930
   
Games Started2930
   
Innings Pitched161.3182.0
   
Wins1212
   
Losses78
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed153177
   
Earned Runs6879
   
Home Runs Allowed1823
   
Strikeouts159172
   
Walks5247
   
ERA3.823.89
   
WHIP1.271.23
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Max Fried
SP - ATL
Max Fried
Zack Wheeler
SP - PHI
Zack Wheeler
News 
 Braves starting pitcher Max Fried will start Game 1 of NLCS against the Dodgers today.
Chris Schommer
Sat, Oct 16th
Phillies starter Zack Wheeler allowed two earned runs on four hits and one walk while striking out seven over seven innings in Tuesday's loss to the Braves.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Sep 29th
 Max Fried pitched seven innings against the Phillies Wednesday, allowing four hits and two runs (one earned) while striking out six batters.
Steve Painter
Wed, Sep 29th
Phillies starter Zack Wheeler allowed one earned run on four hits and two walks while striking out nine over six innings in a no-decision Wednesday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Sep 23rd
 Max Fried pitched nine innings against the Padres Friday, allowing three hits and striking out four batters. With the win, his record is 13-7 on the year, and he earned another quality start. He threw 98 pitches, 66 for strikes, and carries a 3.12 ERA.
Steve Painter
Sat, Sep 25th
Phillies starter Zack Wheeler allowed one earned run on four hits and one walk while striking out six over five innings in Friday's win over the Mets. The win brings him to 14-9 on the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sat, Sep 18th
 Max Fried pitched seven shutout innings against the Giants Sunday, allowing three hits and one walk while striking out five batters. The Braves bullpen completed the shutout, with Fried's record improving to 12-7 on the year. He threw 99 pitches, 67 for strikes, and carries a 3.31 ERA.
Steve Painter
Sun, Sep 19th
Phillies starter Zack Wheeler allowed four earned runs on five hits and four walks while striking out four over six innings in Monday's win over the Nationals. The win brings him to 11-9 on the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Tue, Aug 31st
 Max Fried pitched six innings against the Marlins Sunday, allowing four hits, three runs (all earned), and one walk while striking out seven batters. He was not a factor in the decision, a 5-3 Braves victory, but did earn a quality start. Fried threw 89 pitches, 67 for strikes, and carries a 3.47 ERA.
Steve Painter
Sun, Sep 12th
Phillies starter Zack Wheeler allowed seven runs (five earned) on 10 hits and no walks while striking out 10 over eight innings in Wednesday's loss to the Tampa Bay Rays. The loss drops him to 10-9 on the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Aug 26th
Notes 
 In many ways, Fried regressed during his 2020 season. His strikeout rate dropped, his walk rate increased, and his xFIP and SIERA jumped significantly. Nevertheless, thanks to his ability to limit hard contact (his 83.4 MPH average exit velocity and 23.8% hard hit rate allowed were among the best in MLB) led to a massive drop in BABIP allowed, and kept both his ERA and WHIP in check. It's hard to buy a pitcher without an elite strikeout rate whose underlying numbers don't fully support his gains. Nevertheless, Fried was an elite prospect playing on an excellent team, and is just 27 years old. Don't pay for last year's numbers, but don't run away from him in drafts either.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Wheeler's first season in Philadelphia was a success, in that he had the lowest ERA of his career (2.92) and a strong 1.17 WHIP. But his strikeout numbers plummeted, as he struck out just 18.4% of batters. The whiff rate on all of Wheeler's pitches, other than his "show me" curveball, dropped significantly, despite the fact that his velocity remained the same. If Wheeler can again excel at completely limiting hard contact like he did last season (his 85.7 MPH average exit velocity allowed ranked in the top 10% in baseball), then he can probably get away with the lack of strikeouts. Otherwise, he's unlikely to repeat his 2020 success. Given the shortened season, it's a good bet that Wheeler's strikeouts will bounce back, and you can slot him in as an SP3 without much worry.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros