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Who Should I Draft?

Max Scherzer or Blake Snell (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Max Scherzer
SP - LAD
Max Scherzer
Blake Snell
SP - SD
Blake Snell
Expert
Recommendation
96%
Recommended by
49 of 51 experts
4%
Recommended by
2 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 9# 14
Best Rank# 4# 8
Worst Rank# 14# 33
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 23# 43
Best Rank# 21# 36
Worst Rank# 25# 49
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts232188
Wins1311
Saves00
ERA3.363.43
WHIP1.111.16
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL10
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 14
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 14
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 10# 23
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 4# 26
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 10# 14
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 13# 15
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 8# 14
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 6# 10
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 11
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 6# 12
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 6# 14
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 8# 14
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 8# 14
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 7# 14
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 7# 13
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 4# 16
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 6# 11
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 8# 15
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 10# 15
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 9# 14
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 9# 14
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 11# 16
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 9# 12
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 9# 16
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 9# 13
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 10# 13
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 9# 17
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 9# 12
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 9# 14
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 11# 12
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 4# 14
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 13# 14
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 8# 13
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 16
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 9# 14
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 12# 18
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 11# 15
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 7# 13
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 8# 9
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 10# 16
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 8# 15
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 11# 33
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 7# 9
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 9# 18
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 12# 15
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 9# 14
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 11# 14
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 12# 16
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 7# 17
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 10# 8
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 14# 12
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Max Scherzer
SP - LAD
Max Scherzer
Blake Snell
SP - SD
Blake Snell
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1211
   
Games Started1211
   
Innings Pitched67.150.2
   
Wins54
   
Losses42
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed7042
   
Earned Runs2818
   
Home Runs Allowed1010
   
Strikeouts9263
   
Walks2318
   
ERA3.743.24
   
WHIP1.381.20
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Max Scherzer
SP - LAD
Max Scherzer
Blake Snell
SP - SD
Blake Snell
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3028
   
Games Started3028
   
Innings Pitched179.4151.4
   
Wins1311
   
Losses87
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed152123
   
Earned Runs6758
   
Home Runs Allowed2519
   
Strikeouts232188
   
Walks4753
   
ERA3.363.43
   
WHIP1.111.16
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Max Scherzer
SP - LAD
Max Scherzer
Blake Snell
SP - SD
Blake Snell
News 
 RHP Max Scherzer took a no-decision on Thursday when he allowed five runs on six hits with one walk and six strikeouts over five innings in the Dodgers' 7-5 win over the Rockies.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, Sep 23rd
Blake Snell was placed on the injured list with a left adductor strain.
Ari Koslow
Thu, Sep 16th
 RHP Max Scherzer blanked the Reds on Saturday when he allowed just two hits with two walks and seven strikeouts over seven scoreless innings in the Dodgers' 5-1 win.
Jon Mathisen
Sun, Sep 19th
Padres starting pitcher Blake Snell left Sunday's game with tightness in his left adductor. He left after 11 pitches with a clean 2/3 innings pitched
Corbin Young
Sun, Sep 12th
 Max Scherzer went eight innings on Sunday, seven of them being perfect before giving up a hit in the eighth inning. He also struck out nine batters on his way to the 3,000 strikeout milestone.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Mon, Sep 13th
Blake Snell pitched a masterful game, not allowing a single base runner for the first six innings. He then gave up a two walks and a hit in the seventh to lose not only the perfect game but also the no-hitter.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Wed, Sep 8th
 RHP Max Scherzer earned his 13th win of the season on Monday when he surrendered one unearned run on six hits with 13 strikeouts over eight innings as the Dodgers beat the Cardinals 5-1.
Jon Mathisen
Mon, Sep 6th
Blake Snell went seven innings on Tuesday, allowing just two walks while striking out 10 batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Wed, Sep 1st
 RHP Max Scherzer was dominant on Wednesday, allowing just three hits with zero walks and nine strikeouts over six innings as the Dodgers took out the Braves by a score of 4-3.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, Sep 2nd
Blake Snell finished the day pitching 7.2 innings, only allowing one earned run on three hits while tallying up 10 strikeouts.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Thu, Aug 26th
Notes 
 Scherzer had a decent season for a mortal, but for someone with his career track record, it was a major disappointment. His 3.74 ERA was his highest since 2012, his 1.38 WHIP the highest of his career, and his 7.8% walk percentage his worst in a decade. Scherzer still struck out plenty of batters but entering his age-37 season and with a ton of mileage on his arm, it's only fair to accept that the old Scherzer is gone for good. But though he may not be a consensus top-three starter anymore, he's still perfectly capable of being a fantasy ace. After all, Scherzer's velocity hasn't declined much, and his 31.2% strikeout rate was tied for 10th among starters. Scherzer likely won't reach 200 innings pitched again and his ERA seems destined to remain above 3.00 going forward, but he's far from someone to avoid in fantasy drafts.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Snell moves to the Padres fresh off a solid year, in which he pitched to a 3.24 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP, with a memorable early exit in the World Series. Snell has a checkered injury history and has pitched just 157 innings over the past two years, so don't expect him to be a big innings-eater in 2021. And, although he'll escape the dreaded AL East, he'll get a downgrade in park and defense, which largely makes the move a neutral one. All that said, Snell has plenty of talent as he's shown throughout his career, and should be able to pile up wins and strikeouts pitching for a strong Padres team. Draft him as an SP2 with upside.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Scherzer's 4.21 xERA from the 2020 season was the first time that he didn't rate out well since Statcast began tracking this data in 2015. His surface level numbers didn't suffer all that much, especially when it came to strikeouts, which makes this a dangerous profile to bet on. And that's before we mention the fact that Scherzer will turn 37 this summer. Can we trust him to stay healthy over the course of a full season? It never feels good betting against Scherzer, but there are some safer options going around his ADP right now.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Blake Snell made 16 starts in 2020, including the playoffs, and didn't finish six innings in any of them. In fact, the lefty hasn't completed six innings since July 21st, 2019. This is a killer for fantasy leagues that use quality starts as a category, but Snell still has the skills to be useful for fantasy purposes. If he had the innings to qualify then Snell would have the second-best swinging strike rate among starters since the beginning of '19. Perhaps the Padres will allow him to pitch deeper into starts. This could be a case of efficiency meeting added volume, which usually equates to fantasy goodness.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros