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Who Should I Draft?

Max Scherzer or Clayton Kershaw (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Max Scherzer
SP - LAD
Max Scherzer
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Expert
Recommendation
82%
Recommended by
42 of 51 experts
18%
Recommended by
9 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 9# 12
Best Rank# 4# 5
Worst Rank# 14# 17
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 23# 30
Best Rank# 21# 26
Worst Rank# 25# 33
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts232176
Wins1314
Saves00
ERA3.363.24
WHIP1.111.06
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 11
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 10
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 10# 11
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 4# 11
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 10# 17
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 8# 11
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 6# 9
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 14
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 6# 13
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 6# 9
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 8# 12
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 8# 12
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 7# 9
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 7# 14
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 4# 10
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 6# 14
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 8# 13
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 10# 12
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 9# 12
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 9# 10
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 11# 12
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 9# 11
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 9# 10
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 10# 12
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 9# 16
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 9# 14
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 9# 13
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 11# 16
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 4# 7
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 8# 12
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 12
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 9# 12
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 12# 15
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 7# 10
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 8# 14
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 10# 12
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 8# 10
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 7# 12
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 9# 10
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 9# 12
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 11# 12
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 7# 11
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 9# 6
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 10# 6
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 11# 5
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 11# 7
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 12# 9
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 12# 10
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 13# 12
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 13# 12
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 14# 10
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Max Scherzer
SP - LAD
Max Scherzer
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1210
   
Games Started1210
   
Innings Pitched67.158.1
   
Wins56
   
Losses42
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed7041
   
Earned Runs2814
   
Home Runs Allowed108
   
Strikeouts9262
   
Walks238
   
ERA3.742.16
   
WHIP1.380.84
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Max Scherzer
SP - LAD
Max Scherzer
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3028
   
Games Started3028
   
Innings Pitched179.4167.2
   
Wins1314
   
Losses87
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed152142
   
Earned Runs6760
   
Home Runs Allowed2523
   
Strikeouts232176
   
Walks4735
   
ERA3.363.24
   
WHIP1.111.06
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Max Scherzer
SP - LAD
Max Scherzer
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
News 
 RHP Max Scherzer blanked the Reds on Saturday when he allowed just two hits with two walks and seven strikeouts over seven scoreless innings in the Dodgers' 5-1 win.
Jon Mathisen
Sun, Sep 19th
Dodgers LHP Clayton Kershaw (forearm) threw a bullpen session on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 11th
 Max Scherzer went eight innings on Sunday, seven of them being perfect before giving up a hit in the eighth inning. He also struck out nine batters on his way to the 3,000 strikeout milestone.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Mon, Sep 13th
Clayton Kershaw allowed two runs on four hits over three innings with three strikeouts in his rehab stint on Tuesday for Triple-A Oklahoma City.
Ari Koslow
Wed, Sep 8th
 RHP Max Scherzer earned his 13th win of the season on Monday when he surrendered one unearned run on six hits with 13 strikeouts over eight innings as the Dodgers beat the Cardinals 5-1.
Jon Mathisen
Mon, Sep 6th
Dodgers manager Dave Roberts says that Clayton Kershaw (forearm) might need just one rehab start before rejoining the rotation.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Sep 6th
 RHP Max Scherzer was dominant on Wednesday, allowing just three hits with zero walks and nine strikeouts over six innings as the Dodgers took out the Braves by a score of 4-3.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, Sep 2nd
Dodgers' SP Clayton Kershaw (forearm) will make a rehab appearance in Triple-A Oklahoma City on Tuesday.
Jack Mannis
Sun, Sep 5th
 RHP Max Scherzer earned the win on Thursday when he allowed just two hits with one walk and 10 strikeouts over 7 2/3 innings as the Dodgers blanked the Padres 4-0.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Aug 27th
Dodgers' SP Clayton Kershaw threw a one inning simulated game on Monday.
Jack Mannis
Mon, Aug 30th
Notes 
 Scherzer had a decent season for a mortal, but for someone with his career track record, it was a major disappointment. His 3.74 ERA was his highest since 2012, his 1.38 WHIP the highest of his career, and his 7.8% walk percentage his worst in a decade. Scherzer still struck out plenty of batters but entering his age-37 season and with a ton of mileage on his arm, it's only fair to accept that the old Scherzer is gone for good. But though he may not be a consensus top-three starter anymore, he's still perfectly capable of being a fantasy ace. After all, Scherzer's velocity hasn't declined much, and his 31.2% strikeout rate was tied for 10th among starters. Scherzer likely won't reach 200 innings pitched again and his ERA seems destined to remain above 3.00 going forward, but he's far from someone to avoid in fantasy drafts.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Kershaw turned back the clock a bit in 2020, as the shortened season allowed him to let things go a bit more and add some of the velocity he had lost over the previous two seasons. The result was his best WHIP and ERA since 2016 and best strikeout rate since 2017. Kershaw isn't going to reach 200 innings pitched at this stage of his career, not with his injury history and the Dodgers' depth in their rotation and World Series aspirations. But even entering his age-33 season, he offers next to no downside. Consider this: Kershaw had probably the worst season of his career in 2019 and pitched to a 3.03 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP with more than a strikeout per inning. Draft him as a strong SP2 but bank on 160 innings. Anything more is gravy.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Scherzer's 4.21 xERA from the 2020 season was the first time that he didn't rate out well since Statcast began tracking this data in 2015. His surface level numbers didn't suffer all that much, especially when it came to strikeouts, which makes this a dangerous profile to bet on. And that's before we mention the fact that Scherzer will turn 37 this summer. Can we trust him to stay healthy over the course of a full season? It never feels good betting against Scherzer, but there are some safer options going around his ADP right now.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Fresh off his first ever World Series championship, Kershaw continues to graciously ride the aging curve. In fact, he has actually combated a decline in fastball velocity by adding 1 mph in 2020 (90.8 to 90.3 to 91.6 over the past three years). Fantasy managers should also find comfort in the fact that Kershaw has literally never been bad. His highest ERA since 2009 is 3.03 and his highest WHIP since 2011 is 1.04. If seeking safety in the early rounds, Kershaw is your guy.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros