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Who Should I Draft?

Max Scherzer or Fernando Tatis Jr. (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Max Scherzer
SP - WSH
Max Scherzer
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Expert
Recommendation
71%
Recommended by
39 of 55 experts
29%
Recommended by
16 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 15# 18
Best Rank# 6# 6
Worst Rank# 30# 33
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 14# 19
Best Rank# 12# 14
Worst Rank# 15# 34
   
Projections 
   
Runs34
Home Runs1010
RBI28
Stolen Bases8
Batting Avg.281
Strikeouts9262
Wins5
Saves0
ERA3.18
WHIP1.04
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 16# 22
   
Site Rankings
Sports Illustrated
# 11# 29
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 14# 21
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 15# 20
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 16# 25
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 14# 18
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 26# 27
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 16
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 6# 21
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 16# 23
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 18# 32
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 13# 20
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 13# 21
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 13# 18
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 14# 20
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 13# 15
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 16# 21
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 11# 20
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 17# 24
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 16# 18
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 26
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 20# 31
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 13# 18
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 16# 23
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 15# 29
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 13# 32
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 12# 15
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 15# 19
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 14# 22
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 6# 23
   
M. Starks Powell
New Life Fantasy
# 9# 23
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 15# 22
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 14# 21
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 12# 33
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 11# 25
   
George Kurtz
SportsGrid
# 16# 29
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 18# 25
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 18# 26
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 19# 22
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 9# 6
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 11
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 12
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 16# 10
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 16# 8
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 17# 10
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 18# 14
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 19# 16
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 21# 19
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 21# 14
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 22# 10
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 23# 19
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 23# 9
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 24# 17
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 26# 10
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 30# 10
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Max Scherzer
SP - WSH
Max Scherzer
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2019 Stats 
   
   
Runs61
   
Home Runs1822
   
RBI53
   
Stolen Bases16
   
Batting Avg.317
   
Strikeouts243110
   
Wins11
   
Saves0
   
ERA2.92
   
WHIP1.03
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Max Scherzer
SP - WSH
Max Scherzer
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2020 Projections 
   
   
Runs34
   
Home Runs1010
   
RBI28
   
Stolen Bases8
   
Batting Avg.281
   
Strikeouts9262
   
Wins5
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.18
   
WHIP1.04
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Max Scherzer
SP - WSH
Max Scherzer
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
News 
 Nationals ace Max Scherzer allowed three earned runs on six hits and two walks while striking out seven over six innings in Saturday's win over the New York Mets. The win brings his record to 5-4 to finish the season.
Mike Maher
Sun, Sep 27th
Padres GM AJ Preller says "it sounds like there's interest on both sides" regarding a Fernando Tatis Jr. contract extension.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Oct 15th
 Nationals ace Max Scherzer allowed two unearned runs on five hits and two walks while striking out six over 5 2/3 innings in Sunday's loss to the Miami Marlins.
Mike Maher
Mon, Sep 21st
Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-for-3 with a double and a walk in the Padres 12-3 loss to the Dodgers in Game 3 of the NLDS.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Oct 9th
 Nationals starter Max Scherzer allowed six earned runs on nine hits and two walks while striking out 10 over 5 1/3 innings in Sunday's loss to the Atlanta Braves.
Mike Maher
Mon, Sep 14th
Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-for-4 with a single, a stolen base, and three stikeouts as the Padres fell to the Dodgers 5-1 in Game 1 of the NLDS on Tuesday.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, Oct 7th
 Nationals starter Max Scherzer tossed seven scoreless innings in Monday's win over the Tampa Bay Rays, allowing six hits and one walk while striking out eight. The win brings him to 4-2 on the season.
Mike Maher
Tue, Sep 8th
Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-for-2 with a double, a run scored, and two walks in the Padres Game 3 Wild Card win over the Cardinals on Friday.
Jon Mathisen
Sat, Oct 3rd
 Nationals starter Max Scherzer allowed three earned runs on seven hits and three walks while striking out six over six innings in Wednesday's loss to the Phillies. The loss drops him to 3-2 on the season.
Mike Maher
Thu, Sep 3rd
Fernando Tatis Jr. was in full effect on Thursday when he went 3-for-5 with two home runs and five RBI as the Padres evened up the series with the Cardinals to force a Game 3 on Friday.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Oct 2nd
Notes 
 Elite pitching means more in 60 than 162. That's why Scherzer is ahead of elite sluggers like Bregman and Arenado. I expect a bounceback from 2019's relatively disappointing, but still very good year.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
Fernando Tatis Jr. is one of the more polarizing players for draft season. When we revisit this article next year, we'll either be looking at Tatis as a top-five pick or as a source of debate over how far he should fall after his disappointing second year in the bigs. We know the differential with his expected stats, but do we talk about his plate discipline enough? He had a 29.6 K% last year, with only an 8 BB%. The walk rate is passable, but if Tatis keeps striking out at that rate, it's going to hurt his overall game. Suddenly, you're looking at a guy with 180 strikeouts who's hitting .260. The power/speed combo that he brings is nice, but you can get similar production later in the draft waiting on someone like Bo Bichette, who has a much safer floor for batting average.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 The concerns with Scherzer aren't production-based, as he was still his normal, elite self in 2019 when he pitched. When, being the key word, as he dealt with injuries during the regular season and postseason that forced him to miss starts. Scherzer is similar to Verlander in the sense that you'll take him if you are comfortable taking on risk with an early pick.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
This is high for such a young player with so little track record, but dual-threat HR/SB guys are running out at this stage in drafts. 20/20/.280 is a lock, 25/25/310 is possible and he qualifies at SS. I can't justify drafting a Non-Base stealing bat ahead of Tatis when he should provide 15-20 bases falling out of bed even if he was to miss 20 or so games due to injury. The floor is too high.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
 Scherzer struggled a bit through the first month of the season, but went on a patented run in May and June that made him look like the Scherzer of old. Unfortunately, a back injury largely derailed his second half, as he was limited to just over 20 innings over July and August. Scherzer is entering his age-36 season and is a max effort pitcher, so the fact that we finally saw a bit of a breakdown (Scherzer has reached at least 200 innings in his six previous seasons) is concerning. But his numbers are still elite and he should be taken as one of the first pitchers off the board despite the back scare.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
.410 BABIP is unsustainable but Tatis went 22/16 in 84 games as a rookie. Immense upside
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
 Skipping at ADP due to age and first time injury concerns in 2019.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
 
 Was elite on a per game basis in 2019. Injury concerns starting to mount
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros