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Who Should I Draft?

Max Scherzer or Rafael Devers (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Max Scherzer
SP - LAD
Max Scherzer
Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
Expert
Recommendation
75%
Recommended by
42 of 56 experts
25%
Recommended by
14 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 25# 28
Best Rank# 15# 16
Worst Rank# 53# 84
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 23# 40
Best Rank# 21# 35
Worst Rank# 25# 45
   
Projections 
   
Runs95
Home Runs2531
RBI101
Stolen Bases5
Batting Avg.282
Strikeouts232138
Wins13
Saves0
ERA3.36
WHIP1.11
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 30# 38
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 25# 32
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 26# 32
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 22# 43
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 25# 28
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 24# 29
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 20# 84
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 22# 41
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 33
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 25# 30
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 26# 31
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 23# 28
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 17# 35
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 26# 31
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 23# 32
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 32# 35
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 28# 35
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 33# 36
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 27# 33
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 31# 35
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 29# 34
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 30# 42
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 32
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 24# 42
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 25# 26
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 22# 42
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 34# 39
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 18# 26
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 27# 41
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 23# 34
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 26# 31
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 28# 29
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 19# 45
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 23# 33
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 27# 36
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 26# 30
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 38# 43
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 21# 40
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 24# 34
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 37# 42
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 20# 28
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 21# 28
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 23# 22
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 23# 20
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 26# 24
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 29# 16
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 30# 26
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 33# 23
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 36# 31
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 36# 34
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 41# 19
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 41# 40
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 43# 28
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 43# 33
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 43# 19
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 53# 20
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Max Scherzer
SP - LAD
Max Scherzer
Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs32
   
Home Runs1011
   
RBI43
   
Stolen Bases0
   
Batting Avg.263
   
Strikeouts9267
   
Wins5
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.74
   
WHIP1.38
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Max Scherzer
SP - LAD
Max Scherzer
Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs95
   
Home Runs2531
   
RBI101
   
Stolen Bases5
   
Batting Avg.282
   
Strikeouts232138
   
Wins13
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.36
   
WHIP1.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Max Scherzer
SP - LAD
Max Scherzer
Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
News 
 Dodgers starting pitcher Max Scherzer will not start Game 6 of the National League Championship Series against the Braves.
Corbin Young
Sat, Oct 23rd
Red Sox chief baseball officer Chaim Bloom said there were no significant concerns about Rafael Devers' right elbow inflammation after he was sent for imaging and that rest should address the injury.
Ari Koslow
Mon, Oct 25th
 Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said Dodgers starting pitcher Max Scherzer will start Game 2 of the NLCS against the Braves on Sunday night.
Chris Schommer
Sat, Oct 16th
Rafael Devers went 4-for-5 with a home run, four RBIs, and three runs scored in their playoff clinching win on Sunday.
Liam Gibney
Mon, Oct 4th
 Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said that the plan is to start Max Scherzer for Game 1 of the NLCS. Scherzer threw 13 pitches on Thursday in the Dodgers' win at San Francisco.
Kamran Hoda
Fri, Oct 15th
Rafael Devers went 2-for-4 with with a double, and a run scored in Sunday's tough loss to the New York Yankees.
Liam Gibney
Mon, Sep 27th
 Dodgers pitcher Max Scherzer will start Game 3 of the NLDS against the Giants on Monday night.
Andersen Pickard
Mon, Oct 11th
Rafael Devers went 1-for-4 with a home run, and three RBIs. He was responsible for all three of the Red Sox runs in this contest against the Yankees on Friday.
Liam Gibney
Sat, Sep 25th
 RHP Max Scherzer took a no-decision on Wednesday when he allowed six runs (five earned) on 11 hits with four strikeouts over 5 1/3 innings in the Dodgers' 11-9 win over the Padres.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, Sep 30th
Rafael Devers went 3-for-5 with a double, an RBI, and three runs scored in Saturday's 9-3 win over Baltimore.
Liam Gibney
Sun, Sep 19th
Notes 
 Scherzer had a decent season for a mortal, but for someone with his career track record, it was a major disappointment. His 3.74 ERA was his highest since 2012, his 1.38 WHIP the highest of his career, and his 7.8% walk percentage his worst in a decade. Scherzer still struck out plenty of batters but entering his age-37 season and with a ton of mileage on his arm, it's only fair to accept that the old Scherzer is gone for good. But though he may not be a consensus top-three starter anymore, he's still perfectly capable of being a fantasy ace. After all, Scherzer's velocity hasn't declined much, and his 31.2% strikeout rate was tied for 10th among starters. Scherzer likely won't reach 200 innings pitched again and his ERA seems destined to remain above 3.00 going forward, but he's far from someone to avoid in fantasy drafts.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Devers' 2020 season was . . . fine. That's about the best you can say about it. He still hit the ball hard, ranking in the 96th percentile in average exit velocity, and he increased his barrel rate significantly. His counting stat paces from his breakout 2019 season went down, but not dramatically so (other than his batting average), and fantasy managers never felt like Devers was a drain on their teams. But, at the same time, his already poor walk rate declined, his strikeout rate jumped to a career worst, and he didn't even attempt a single stolen base. Devers is just 24 years old, so there is plenty of upside for him. The safest course of action is to build in some natural regression from Devers' strong 2019 season, and pencil him in for roughly 30 home runs and 200 combined runs and RBI. That still makes him an asset to any fantasy team.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Scherzer's 4.21 xERA from the 2020 season was the first time that he didn't rate out well since Statcast began tracking this data in 2015. His surface level numbers didn't suffer all that much, especially when it came to strikeouts, which makes this a dangerous profile to bet on. And that's before we mention the fact that Scherzer will turn 37 this summer. Can we trust him to stay healthy over the course of a full season? It never feels good betting against Scherzer, but there are some safer options going around his ADP right now.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Just like in 2019, Devers got off to a slow start last season. He posted a weak .543 OPS over his first 14 games before coming to life with an .868 mark over his final 43 contests. Devers' O-swing has increased every year that he has been in the league, up to 42.3% in 2020. His breakout 2019 saw him make contact on an unsustainable number of pitchers outside the zone. The young third baseman is able to do damage on anything he makes contact with, but he needs to decrease the amount of strikeout to become a consistently elite hitter.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
  Devers would be more appealing if he stole bases more often, but batting in the middle of the mediocre Red Sox lineup does not scream huge season. He is a fine pick, but not someone primed to break out.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy