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Who Should I Draft?

Mike Clevinger or Ketel Marte (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Mike Clevinger
SP - SD
Mike Clevinger
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Expert
Recommendation
56%
Recommended by
31 of 55 experts
44%
Recommended by
24 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 35# 37
Best Rank# 13# 24
Worst Rank# 104# 113
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 29# 39
Best Rank# 27# 32
Worst Rank# 48# 44
   
Projections 
   
Runs33
Home Runs99
RBI30
Stolen Bases3
Batting Avg.296
Strikeouts7733
Wins5
Saves0
ERA3.52
WHIP1.18
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 32# 46
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 52# 113
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 44# 50
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 21# 47
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 40# 44
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 24# 36
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 24# 40
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 32# 38
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 31# 33
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 13# 30
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 36# 44
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 26# 28
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 19# 38
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 31# 37
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 23# 27
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 28# 43
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 18# 45
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 20# 54
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 30# 55
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 23# 25
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 28# 46
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 22# 35
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 32# 46
   
M. Starks Powell
New Life Fantasy
# 35# 44
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 24# 51
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 23# 36
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 34# 68
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 18# 39
   
George Kurtz
SportsGrid
# 26# 44
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 69# 113
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 25# 36
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 25# 24
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 33# 32
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 35# 27
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 35# 29
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 37# 36
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 38# 31
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 39# 31
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 40# 33
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 42# 36
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 43# 41
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 44# 38
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 48# 35
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 48# 39
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 53# 34
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 54# 40
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 62# 44
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 64# 36
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 64# 47
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 67# 37
   
Site Rankings
Sports Illustrated
# 68# 53
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 81# 60
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 82# 40
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 88# 37
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 104# 55
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Mike Clevinger
SP - SD
Mike Clevinger
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
2019 Stats 
   
   
Runs97
   
Home Runs1032
   
RBI92
   
Stolen Bases10
   
Batting Avg.329
   
Strikeouts16986
   
Wins13
   
Saves0
   
ERA2.71
   
WHIP1.06
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Mike Clevinger
SP - SD
Mike Clevinger
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
2020 Projections 
   
   
Runs33
   
Home Runs99
   
RBI30
   
Stolen Bases3
   
Batting Avg.296
   
Strikeouts7733
   
Wins5
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.52
   
WHIP1.18
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Mike Clevinger
SP - SD
Mike Clevinger
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
News 
 Padres’ GM A.J. Preller said that he doesn’t expect Mike Clevinger (elbow) to require offseason surgery.
Brad Camara
Wed, Oct 14th
Ketel Marte went 2-for-3 with a double, two-run single, and a sacrifice fly in Sunday's win over Colorado.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Sep 28th
 The Padres removed Mike Clevinger (elbow) from their NLDS roster.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Oct 7th
The Diamondbacks activated Ketel Marte (wrist) off the 10-day IL.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Sep 22nd
 After being removed from Tuesday's NLDS start against the Dodgers, Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reports that Mike Clevinger's elbow inflammation will sideline him once more in the 2020 season.
Andy Zimmerman
Wed, Oct 7th
Ketel Marte (wrist) is scheduled to take batting practice on Saturday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 19th
 Padres ace Mike Clevinger was removed from Tuesday's NLDS start against the Dodgers.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Oct 6th
Ketel Marte went 4-for-5 with a double, a home run, and two RBI in Friday's win over the Giants.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 5th
 Mike Clevinger (elbow) is scheduled to start Game 1 of the NLDS against the Dodgers.
Brad Camara
Tue, Oct 6th
Diamondbacks manager Torey Lovullo says Ketel Marte will see time in center field moving forward.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 2nd
Notes 
 As Frank Stampfl pointed out on Twitter, in 16 starts from July 2 to September 24, Clevinger put up the following numbers: a 1.76 ERA, 2.98 xFIP, 1.02 WHIP, 11.82 K/9, 2.21 BB/9, 15.4% SwStr, 66.9% F-strike, and 32.2% O-swing. That's an ace, and that's what Clevinger was being drafted as ... until he got hurt ... again. It's up to you as a fantasy manager to decide if the high ceiling is worth the low floor (hurt) or not.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
With second base being as weak as it is, it's kind of shocking that Ketel Marte is going this low in drafts. Sure, the breakout was out of nowhere - despite being a popular breakout pick for three years in a row - but he actually was stronger down the stretch than he was in the first half, and there are very few concerns with his underlying numbers. A change to the baseball could see his home runs come down, but not enough so that he won't return draft-day value.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Clevinger sustained a partial medial meniscus tear in his left knee on February 14th and underwent surgery. Although his 6-8 week timetable made it highly unlikely that he'd be back for Opening Day, the postponement of the season means that Clevinger should be ready to go when the bell rings. That should make him a top-12 pitcher at worst.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Marte suddenly went from being a career .263 hitter with 22 home runs in 1,548 plate appearances to batting .329 with 32 home runs in 628 plate appearances. And while he made many overall gains, such as a massive increase in launch angle, his expected batting average was just .299 and that .030 difference was 10th-highest in MLB. He also upped his pull percentage by a significant amount, and pulled all but one of his home runs, which should be something that pitchers can exploit in 2020. Buy some of the gains, but consider Marte closer to a .290-25 type of hitter.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 One of my favorite pitchers in the league, but beginning the season hurt is never a good thing as you never know if and when he will be back healthy. Risky pick at ADP.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
In the Era of the Juiced ball (and I am sure some juiced bodies too) I am not buying Marte's 2019 power surge and he doesn't run as much as you might think he does. I am not paying for 30 home runs and 10 stolen bases when regression suggests 15-20 HRs and five SBs. Marte won't fall this far and I am fine with that. I will be owning ZERO shares of the 2019 shocker of the year in Fantasy baseball.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
 Injury concerns but has potential to be overall SP1 this year
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
Marte earned every bit of his 32 HRs last year. His average is almost certain to come down a bit, but his breakout was real, and similar numbers are certainly not out of reach. He is being discounted out of fear for massive regression. I am happy to take the discount.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
  Advanced stats back up last year's breakout
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros