Who Should I Draft?

Mike Clevinger or Luis Severino (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Mike Clevinger
SP - CLE
Mike Clevinger
Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Expert
Recommendation
59%
Recommended by
33 of 56 experts
41%
Recommended by
23 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 21# 26
Best Rank# 11# 7
Worst Rank# 62# 65
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 58# 68
Best Rank# 50# 55
Worst Rank# 78# 121
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts191178
Wins1313
Saves00
ERA3.693.32
WHIP1.251.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL60
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 21# 35
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 21# 27
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 25# 45
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 13# 16
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 11# 33
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 21# 39
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 17# 43
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 25# 34
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 17# 22
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 17# 27
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 22# 31
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 20# 24
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 19# 31
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 30# 65
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 18# 33
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 30# 31
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 24# 28
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 24# 41
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 13# 34
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 17# 50
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 13# 24
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 14# 34
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 22# 43
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 16# 19
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 25# 40
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 27# 37
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 15# 33
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 14# 27
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 15# 28
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 23# 26
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 21# 56
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 20# 29
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 19# 24
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 16# 13
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 16# 10
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 20# 19
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 20# 13
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 21# 7
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 22# 11
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 23# 19
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 23# 19
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 24# 8
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 24# 19
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 26# 11
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 26# 20
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 26# 12
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 30# 24
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 31# 18
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 31# 20
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 32# 23
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 33# 21
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 36# 25
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 42# 13
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 44# 12
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 45# 15
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 62# 18
   
  Mike Clevinger
SP - CLE
Mike Clevinger
Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3232
   
Games Started3232
   
Innings Pitched200.2191.2
   
Wins1319
   
Losses88
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed164173
   
Earned Runs6772
   
Home Runs Allowed2119
   
Strikeouts207220
   
Walks6746
   
ERA3.023.39
   
WHIP1.161.14
   
  Mike Clevinger
SP - CLE
Mike Clevinger
Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3027
   
Games Started3026
   
Innings Pitched180.1155.9
   
Wins1313
   
Losses96
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed157136
   
Earned Runs7458
   
Home Runs Allowed2219
   
Strikeouts191178
   
Walks6840
   
ERA3.693.32
   
WHIP1.251.13
   
  Mike Clevinger
SP - CLE
Mike Clevinger
Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
News 
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Mike Clevinger struggled in a 7-2 loss to the Rangers on Monday. He allowed five runs in 4 2/3 innings while striking out seven and walking three.
Matthew Terelle
Tue, Jun 18th
Luis Severino (shoulder) again threw from a distance of 60 feet on Tuesday according to Bryan Hoch of MLB.com.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 11th
 Clevinger (back) will start Monday's game against the Rangers.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Jun 12th
Luis Severino (lat) was throwing off flat ground again Friday, Coley Harvey of ESPN.com reports.
John Aubin
Fri, May 31st
 Mike Clevinger pitched well in a rehab start for Double-A Akron on Tuesday, tossing 5 1/3 shutout innings while striking out five.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 11th
Luis Severino (shoulder) is hoping to be cleared for throwing workouts after a checkup with a team doctor on Monday according to Lindsey Adler of the Athletic.
John Aubin
Mon, May 27th
 Mike Clevinger (back) will begin his rehab assignment in Triple-A on Thursday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 4th
Yankees GM Brian Cashman says Luis Severino (shoulder) won't pitch until after the All-Star break.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, May 5th
 Mike Clevinger (back) threw a 20-pitch bullpen session on Tuesday afternoon.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, May 14th
Luis Severino (lat) was transferred to the 60-day injured list by the Yankees on Thursday.
John Aubin
Thu, Apr 25th
Notes 
 After dominating in a smaller 2017 sample size, Clevinger took it up another notch in 2018, this time with 200 innings of proof. He might not win 16 games or strikeout 240 batters like some of the top tier aces, but his ratios and 200 Ks put him firmly in the 6th-8th rounds of this season's drafts
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
A Cy Young Award contender though June, Severino imploded with a 5.20 ERA over the final three months. That inconsistency is perilous for a staff headliner, but he still finished 2018 with a 3.39 ERA, 2.95 FIP, and 220 strikeouts. Despite his start-by-start inconsistency, he has delivered on a macro level in consecutive seasons. However, he will miss at least all of April with a shoulder injury, Previously a viable top-10 candidate, he's now too risky to draft as a top-25 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Clevinger took the gains he made in 2017 and translated them to a full season as a starter i 2018. The one difference was that he trimmed his walk rate from nearly 4.5 per nine to barely 3.0 per nine, thereby dropping his WHIP all the way down to 1.16. Clevinger was particularly dominant in the second half, posting a 2.31 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, and 10.27 K/9 rate after the All Star break. The projection systems expect a little bit of regression due to his low BABIP allowed and left-on-base percentage, but it's also possible Clevinger can further improve on his strikeout rate and WHIP.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
At first glance, Severino's 2018 numbers look just about as good as his excellent 2017 season, but the real story is that he was completely dominant in the first half and completely awful in the second half. That kind of inconsistency is a red flag, as is the rotator cuff inflammation that could cause him to miss the first month of the season or more. The sky is the limit for Severino in terms of long-term upside, but he's shaping up as a boom-or-bust pick for 2019.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Clevinger rose to the next level in the second half, posting a 2.31 ERA and 89 strikeouts in 78 innings. While he outperformed his overall 3.52 FIP and 3.86 SIERA with a 3.02 ERA, 2018 marked the second straight year he defied the peripherals. A high infield-fly rate (11.2%) and low barrel rate (5.8%) led him to a .280 xwOBA, so don't expect severe regression from the borderline top-20 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Over the past two seasons, only Scherzer, Sale, Verlander, deGrom and Kluber have a better ERA and more strikeouts than Severino, who is quickly becoming a true durable ace. He doesn't belong in that first tier, but may already lead the next group.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros