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Who Should I Draft?

Michael Conforto or Corbin Burnes (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Michael Conforto
CF,RF - NYM
Michael Conforto
Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Expert
Recommendation
59%
Recommended by
33 of 56 experts
41%
Recommended by
23 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 59# 64
Best Rank# 38# 39
Worst Rank# 94# 138
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 67# 56
Best Rank# 56# 51
Worst Rank# 79# 60
   
Projections 
   
Runs90
Home Runs2918
RBI90
Stolen Bases6
Batting Avg.264
Strikeouts153174
Wins9
Saves0
ERA3.63
WHIP1.20
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 54# 62
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 73# 120
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 38# 82
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 66# 78
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 56# 92
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 75# 128
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 43# 138
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 55# 109
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 56# 75
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 57# 70
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 58# 79
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 64# 90
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 46# 74
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 64# 78
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 62# 69
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 65# 68
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 68# 76
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 52# 93
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 60# 67
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 56# 63
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 72# 81
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 68# 112
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 69# 72
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 53# 61
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 66# 73
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 63# 71
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 54# 71
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 61# 62
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 46# 71
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 60# 64
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 57# 76
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 57# 81
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 52# 60
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 55# 44
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 57# 51
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 60# 59
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 60# 56
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 61# 59
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 62# 60
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 62# 51
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 63# 52
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 64# 41
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 65# 45
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 66# 59
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 66# 65
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 67# 47
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 68# 51
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 68# 57
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 72# 61
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 73# 59
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 74# 73
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 77# 66
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 78# 50
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 81# 54
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 81# 40
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 94# 39
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Michael Conforto
CF,RF - NYM
Michael Conforto
Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs40
   
Home Runs92
   
RBI31
   
Stolen Bases3
   
Batting Avg.322
   
Strikeouts5788
   
Wins4
   
Saves0
   
ERA2.11
   
WHIP1.02
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Michael Conforto
CF,RF - NYM
Michael Conforto
Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs90
   
Home Runs2918
   
RBI90
   
Stolen Bases6
   
Batting Avg.264
   
Strikeouts153174
   
Wins9
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.63
   
WHIP1.20
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Michael Conforto
CF,RF - NYM
Michael Conforto
Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
News 
 Michael Conforto went 0-for-3 with one walk on Sunday. The Mets won 3-2 over the Phillies.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Mon, Sep 20th
Corbin Burnes will not be starting Tuesday's Game 4 elimination game for Milwaukee.
Kamran Hoda
Mon, Oct 11th
 Michael Conforto went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run as the Mets won 11-9 on Saturday.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Tue, Sep 7th
The Brewers announced RHP Corbin Burnes will be the team's NLDS Game 1 starter against the Braves.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Oct 6th
 Michael Conforto went 1-for-3 with one single, one RBI, one run scored, one walk, and one stolen base. The Mets won 6-2 Friday in extra innings.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Tue, Sep 7th
Corbin Burnes (11-5) took the loss Saturday against the Dodgers, allowing three runs on two hits in two innings. He walked one and struck out four.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Oct 3rd
 Michael Conforto went a combined 2-for-6 with a solo home run, three RBIs, a walk, and a hit-by-pitch as the Mets won two games on Tuesday. They're 65-67 this season.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Wed, Sep 1st
Corbin Burnes (11-4) earned the win Saturday against the Mets, allowing one run on five hits in seven innings. He walked one and struck out nine.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 25th
 Michael Conforto went 1-for-1 with a pinch-hit three-run home run to give the Mets the lead in the seventh inning. It turned out to be the difference in the game as they won 5-3 on Saturday and are now five games under .500.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Tue, Aug 31st
Corbin Burnes did not factor into the decision Saturday against the Cubs, allowing three runs on six hits across six innings. He walked three and struck out 11.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 19th
Notes 
 Conforto built on his excellent 2019 season by trading off a bit of power for some batting average. Fed by a significant increase in line drive rate that led to a .412 BABIP, Conforto batted a career best .322 last year. His xBA was just .284, so don't think that he suddenly morphed into a high average bat, but he did hit above .300 against every type of pitch last year, so it was certainly more than luck. Expect some regression to closer to his .259 mark, but he should hit around 30 homers with plenty of runs and RBI and even toss in a few steals. That makes him a worthwhile OF2 in mixed leagues.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Burnes's raw stuff was apparent to anyone who saw him pitch in 2019, but he simply couldn't stop giving up home runs (17 in 49 innings). The culprit was largely his four-seam fastball, which he threw more than half of the time and against which batters hit .425 with an .823 slugging percentage. In 2020, however, Corbin cut his four-seam fastball usage from 52.5% to just 2.5%. In its place, he relied heavily on a sinker and cutter, both of which worked better for the natural action on his pitches and which were highly effective. Considering that his slider, changeup, and curveball are also huge swing and miss pitches, Burnes's 36.7% strikeout rate from last year shouldn't be considered fluky. Even coming off a Cy Young-caliber season, there's still upside for the 26-year-old, and you should ignore entirely his 2019 disaster.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Similar to Zach Plesac, Burnes completely altered his pitch mix en route to a breakout season. The right-hander ditched his four-seam/slider combo in exchange for a plethora of sinkers and cutters. The decision worked to perfection as Burnes' 2.11 ERA was backed up by a 2.99 xFIP and a 3.18 xERA. His HR/FB rate appears to be wildly unsustainable, but Burnes has always been talented and he now has the blueprint to excel with. He's an exciting SP2 entering draft season.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros