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Who Should I Draft?

Michael Conforto or Corbin Burnes (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Michael Conforto
CF,RF - NYM
Michael Conforto
Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Expert
Recommendation
58%
Recommended by
32 of 55 experts
42%
Recommended by
23 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 59# 64
Best Rank# 38# 39
Worst Rank# 94# 138
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 67# 56
Best Rank# 56# 51
Worst Rank# 79# 60
   
Projections 
   
Runs90
Home Runs2918
RBI90
Stolen Bases6
Batting Avg.264
Strikeouts153174
Wins9
Saves0
ERA3.63
WHIP1.20
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL10-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 54# 62
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 73# 120
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 38# 82
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 66# 78
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 56# 92
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 75# 128
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 43# 138
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 55# 109
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 56# 75
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 57# 70
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 58# 79
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 64# 90
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 46# 74
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 64# 78
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 62# 69
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 65# 68
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 68# 76
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 52# 93
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 60# 67
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 56# 63
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 72# 81
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 69# 72
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 53# 61
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 66# 73
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 63# 71
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 54# 71
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 61# 62
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 46# 71
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 60# 64
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 57# 76
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 57# 81
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 52# 60
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 55# 44
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 57# 51
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 60# 59
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 60# 56
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 61# 59
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 62# 60
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 62# 51
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 63# 52
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 64# 41
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 65# 45
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 66# 59
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 66# 65
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 67# 47
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 68# 51
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 68# 57
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 72# 61
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 73# 59
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 74# 73
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 77# 66
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 78# 50
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 81# 54
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 81# 40
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 94# 39
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Michael Conforto
CF,RF - NYM
Michael Conforto
Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs40
   
Home Runs92
   
RBI31
   
Stolen Bases3
   
Batting Avg.322
   
Strikeouts5788
   
Wins4
   
Saves0
   
ERA2.11
   
WHIP1.02
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Michael Conforto
CF,RF - NYM
Michael Conforto
Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs90
   
Home Runs2918
   
RBI90
   
Stolen Bases6
   
Batting Avg.264
   
Strikeouts153174
   
Wins9
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.63
   
WHIP1.20
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Michael Conforto
CF,RF - NYM
Michael Conforto
Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
News 
 Mets manager Luis Rojas said Monday it will be a "week to week" approach with Michael Conforto.
Ari Koslow
Mon, May 17th
Corbin Burnes (2-3) took the tough-luck loss Thursday against the Cardinals, allowing one run on five hits and one walk across five innings. He struck out nine.
Connor Rooney
Thu, May 13th
 Jon Morosi of MLB.com reports Mets OF Michael Conforto is likely headed to the 10-day injured list due to his hamstring injury.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, May 17th
The Brewers officially reinstated ace Corbin Burnes from the injured list Thursday.
Brad Camara
Thu, May 13th
 Michael Conforto was removed from Sunday's game against the Rays with a hamstring injury.
Dan Harris
Sun, May 16th
Corbin Burnes is expected to start on Thursday against the Cardinals, according to manager Craig Counsell.
Dan Harris
Tue, May 11th
 Michael Conforto went 2-4 with two singles, two strikeouts, and one RBI.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Mon, May 10th
Corbin Burnes will rejoin the team and throw a bullpen session on Monday, according to Brewers manager Craig Counsell.
Ari Koslow
Sat, May 8th
 Michael Conforto went 2-4 with one double and one home run, two runs scored, and three RBIs.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Sun, May 2nd
Corbin Burnes (COVID-19 IL) may have his return timeline specified by this weekend, according to manager Craig Counsell.
Connor Rooney
Thu, May 6th
Notes 
 Conforto built on his excellent 2019 season by trading off a bit of power for some batting average. Fed by a significant increase in line drive rate that led to a .412 BABIP, Conforto batted a career best .322 last year. His xBA was just .284, so don't think that he suddenly morphed into a high average bat, but he did hit above .300 against every type of pitch last year, so it was certainly more than luck. Expect some regression to closer to his .259 mark, but he should hit around 30 homers with plenty of runs and RBI and even toss in a few steals. That makes him a worthwhile OF2 in mixed leagues.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Burnes's raw stuff was apparent to anyone who saw him pitch in 2019, but he simply couldn't stop giving up home runs (17 in 49 innings). The culprit was largely his four-seam fastball, which he threw more than half of the time and against which batters hit .425 with an .823 slugging percentage. In 2020, however, Corbin cut his four-seam fastball usage from 52.5% to just 2.5%. In its place, he relied heavily on a sinker and cutter, both of which worked better for the natural action on his pitches and which were highly effective. Considering that his slider, changeup, and curveball are also huge swing and miss pitches, Burnes's 36.7% strikeout rate from last year shouldn't be considered fluky. Even coming off a Cy Young-caliber season, there's still upside for the 26-year-old, and you should ignore entirely his 2019 disaster.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Similar to Zach Plesac, Burnes completely altered his pitch mix en route to a breakout season. The right-hander ditched his four-seam/slider combo in exchange for a plethora of sinkers and cutters. The decision worked to perfection as Burnes' 2.11 ERA was backed up by a 2.99 xFIP and a 3.18 xERA. His HR/FB rate appears to be wildly unsustainable, but Burnes has always been talented and he now has the blueprint to excel with. He's an exciting SP2 entering draft season.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros