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Who Should I Draft?

Michael Conforto or J.D. Martinez (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Michael Conforto
CF,RF - NYM
Michael Conforto
J.D. Martinez
LF,RF,DH - BOS
J.D. Martinez
Expert
Recommendation
64%
Recommended by
32 of 50 experts
36%
Recommended by
18 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 42# 45
Best Rank# 29# 27
Worst Rank# 60# 86
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 67# 91
Best Rank# 56# 76
Worst Rank# 79# 101
   
Projections 
   
Runs9084
Home Runs2931
RBI9096
Stolen Bases63
Batting Average.264.274
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 41# 44
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 42# 55
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 29# 52
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 42# 43
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 60# 61
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 38# 47
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 38# 42
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 40# 41
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 34# 47
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 40# 44
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 47# 56
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 39# 52
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 54# 72
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 41# 45
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 41# 49
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 44# 52
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 44# 47
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 45# 51
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 47# 56
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 36# 40
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 47# 50
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 43# 44
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 45# 86
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 50# 51
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 45# 46
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 40# 48
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 43# 67
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 42# 55
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 33# 42
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 42# 44
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 41# 44
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 40# 66
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 36# 33
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 37# 31
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 40# 36
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 40# 37
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 43# 39
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 43# 42
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 44# 38
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 47# 43
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 47# 44
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 47# 31
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 49# 46
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 50# 33
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 51# 43
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 51# 27
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 52# 31
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 55# 37
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 55# 49
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 56# 40
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Michael Conforto
CF,RF - NYM
Michael Conforto
J.D. Martinez
LF,RF,DH - BOS
J.D. Martinez
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats202211
   
Runs4022
   
Hits6545
   
Singles4422
   
Doubles1216
   
Triples00
   
Home Runs97
   
RBI3127
   
Stolen Bases31
   
Caught Stealing30
   
Walks2422
   
Strikeouts5759
   
Batting Average.322.213
   
On Base Pct.412.291
   
Slugging Pct.515.389
   
On-base Plus Slugging.927.680
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Michael Conforto
CF,RF - NYM
Michael Conforto
J.D. Martinez
LF,RF,DH - BOS
J.D. Martinez
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats541550
   
Runs9084
   
Hits141149
   
Singles8284
   
Doubles2832
   
Triples12
   
Home Runs2931
   
RBI9096
   
Stolen Bases63
   
Caught Stealing31
   
Walks7764
   
Strikeouts153147
   
Batting Average.264.274
   
On Base Pct.357.350
   
Slugging Pct.481.505
   
On-base Plus Slugging.839.855
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Michael Conforto
CF,RF - NYM
Michael Conforto
J.D. Martinez
LF,RF,DH - BOS
J.D. Martinez
News 
 Michael Conforto went 2-4 with one double and one home run, two runs scored, and three RBIs.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Sun, May 2nd
J.D Martinez went 2-for-6 with two RBIs, and three runs in Friday's win versus Detroit.
Liam Gibney
Fri, May 7th
 Michael Conforto went 0-2 with one strikeout. The Mets lost 2-1 to the Phillies.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Sat, May 1st
J.D. Martinez went 2-for-5 with an RBI and three runs scored as the Red Sox beat the Tigers 11-7 on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, May 5th
 Michael Conforto went 1-4 with one run scored, one RBI, and one strikeout.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Sun, Apr 25th
J.D. Martinez had a monster day at the plate on Friday, going 3-for-4 with two home runs and four RBIs.
Liam Gibney
Sat, May 1st
 Michael Conforto went 2-3 with two singles, one walk, and one strikeout.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Sat, Apr 24th
J.D. Martinez left Thursday's game against the Texas Rangers due to migraine-like symptoms.
Ari Koslow
Thu, Apr 29th
 Michael Conforto went 2-4 with one double, one single, one run scored, and one strikeout.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Mon, Apr 19th
J.D. Martinez went 0-for-4 with three strikeouts in Boston's 1-0 win over the New York Mets on Wednesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Apr 29th
Notes 
 Conforto built on his excellent 2019 season by trading off a bit of power for some batting average. Fed by a significant increase in line drive rate that led to a .412 BABIP, Conforto batted a career best .322 last year. His xBA was just .284, so don't think that he suddenly morphed into a high average bat, but he did hit above .300 against every type of pitch last year, so it was certainly more than luck. Expect some regression to closer to his .259 mark, but he should hit around 30 homers with plenty of runs and RBI and even toss in a few steals. That makes him a worthwhile OF2 in mixed leagues.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Martinez had a disastrous 2020 season, during which he slashed just .213/.291/.389 and hit seven home runs. Martinez simply didn't hit the ball nearly as hard as he used to, and hit a ton of fly balls, the combination of which helped to drain his batting average significantly. There's a ton to dislike about last year, but given that Martinez has talked about how much he relies on watching video in-game, and his inability to do so last year because of COVID-19 protocols, it seems likely that you can write off last year to a slump that didn't have time to end. He'll be eligible at utility only, but there's a massive opportunity for profit if you are willing to largely look past 2020.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  2020 was a disaster for JDM. A cerebral hitter who relies heavily on in-game video analysis, Martinez admitted that it was tough to stay engaged last season. Aside from getting in-game video back, reasons for optimism include a barrel-rate that was similar to his 2019 mark as well as some solid plate discipline numbers. It would be more concerning if Martinez's discipline fell off as much as his batted-ball stats did. If you chalk it all up to "2020" then you can get JD at a big-time value this year.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros