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Who Should I Draft?

Michael Conforto or Nelson Cruz (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Nelson Cruz
DH - TB
Nelson Cruz
Michael Conforto
CF,RF - NYM
Michael Conforto
Expert
Recommendation
51%
Recommended by
26 of 51 experts
49%
Recommended by
25 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 43# 42
Best Rank# 25# 29
Worst Rank# 79# 60
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 85# 67
Best Rank# 64# 56
Worst Rank# 92# 79
   
Projections 
   
Runs7690
Home Runs3429
RBI8990
Stolen Bases16
Batting Average.269.264
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 35# 49
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 41
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 40# 42
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 41# 51
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 31# 40
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 41# 44
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 43# 47
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 37# 47
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 39# 41
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 31# 41
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 43# 44
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 43# 45
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 33# 52
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 42# 50
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 34# 48
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 38# 47
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 41# 47
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 44# 50
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 39# 55
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 42# 45
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 25# 40
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 31# 51
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 36# 43
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 30# 42
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 36# 41
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 35# 36
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 61# 29
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 47# 33
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 36# 34
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 45# 36
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 39# 37
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 57# 38
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 40# 38
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 43# 39
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 47# 40
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 52# 40
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 52# 40
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 79# 40
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 51# 42
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 43# 42
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 44# 43
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 60# 43
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 49# 43
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 45# 44
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 48# 45
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 52# 47
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 76# 47
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 56# 54
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 68# 55
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 65# 56
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 70# 60
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Nelson Cruz
DH - TB
Nelson Cruz
Michael Conforto
CF,RF - NYM
Michael Conforto
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats185202
   
Runs3340
   
Hits5665
   
Singles3444
   
Doubles612
   
Triples00
   
Home Runs169
   
RBI3331
   
Stolen Bases03
   
Caught Stealing03
   
Walks2524
   
Strikeouts5857
   
Batting Average.303.322
   
On Base Pct.397.412
   
Slugging Pct.595.515
   
On-base Plus Slugging.992.927
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Nelson Cruz
DH - TB
Nelson Cruz
Michael Conforto
CF,RF - NYM
Michael Conforto
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats495541
   
Runs7690
   
Hits132141
   
Singles7582
   
Doubles2228
   
Triples11
   
Home Runs3429
   
RBI8990
   
Stolen Bases16
   
Caught Stealing03
   
Walks5777
   
Strikeouts143153
   
Batting Average.269.264
   
On Base Pct.344.357
   
Slugging Pct.524.481
   
On-base Plus Slugging.868.839
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Nelson Cruz
DH - TB
Nelson Cruz
Michael Conforto
CF,RF - NYM
Michael Conforto
News 
 Nelson Cruz went 1-for-5 with a solo home run in Friday's 4-3 win over the Yankees.
John Aubin
Sat, Oct 2nd
Michael Conforto went 0-for-3 with one walk on Sunday. The Mets won 3-2 over the Phillies.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Mon, Sep 20th
 Nelson Cruz went 1-for-5 with three strikeouts and scored a run as the Rays beat the Marlins by an 8-0 score.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 25th
Michael Conforto went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run as the Mets won 11-9 on Saturday.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Tue, Sep 7th
 Nelson Cruz (forearm) was out of the lineup for Friday's game against the Tigers, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 18th
Michael Conforto went 1-for-3 with one single, one RBI, one run scored, one walk, and one stolen base. The Mets won 6-2 Friday in extra innings.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Tue, Sep 7th
 Nelson Cruz went 2-for-5 with a run scored on Saturday as the Rays beat the Tigers by a 7-2 score.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 12th
Michael Conforto went a combined 2-for-6 with a solo home run, three RBIs, a walk, and a hit-by-pitch as the Mets won two games on Tuesday. They're 65-67 this season.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Wed, Sep 1st
 Nelson Cruz went 4-for-5 with two home runs, a double, four RBI, and three total runs scored in Tuesday's 12-7 win over Boston.
John Aubin
Wed, Sep 8th
Michael Conforto went 1-for-1 with a pinch-hit three-run home run to give the Mets the lead in the seventh inning. It turned out to be the difference in the game as they won 5-3 on Saturday and are now five games under .500.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Tue, Aug 31st
Notes 
 If you ascribe to the "I'd rather jump off a year too early than too late" philosophy, then you probably haven't been drafting Cruz for the last several years. But if not, then you've not only drafted one of the most underrated fantasy bats in recent memory, but you're probably going to do so again this year. Cruz is back on a one-year deal with the Twins, and he's coming off another utterly dominant season. Fine, his strikeout rate rose again a bit, he didn't hit the ball quite as hard, and he's eligible at utility only. But other than the fact that he will be 41 years old this season, there's nothing in his profile that should cause you to expect significant decline. Prepare to be having the same debate next year, after Crus puts up another 35-homer season this year.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Conforto built on his excellent 2019 season by trading off a bit of power for some batting average. Fed by a significant increase in line drive rate that led to a .412 BABIP, Conforto batted a career best .322 last year. His xBA was just .284, so don't think that he suddenly morphed into a high average bat, but he did hit above .300 against every type of pitch last year, so it was certainly more than luck. Expect some regression to closer to his .259 mark, but he should hit around 30 homers with plenty of runs and RBI and even toss in a few steals. That makes him a worthwhile OF2 in mixed leagues.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros