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Who Should I Draft?

Michael Conforto or Nick Castellanos (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Michael Conforto
CF,RF - NYM
Michael Conforto
Nick Castellanos
LF,RF - CIN
Nick Castellanos
Expert
Recommendation
60%
Recommended by
30 of 50 experts
40%
Recommended by
20 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 42# 44
Best Rank# 29# 21
Worst Rank# 60# 64
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 67# 74
Best Rank# 56# 58
Worst Rank# 79# 86
   
Projections 
   
Runs9092
Home Runs2930
RBI9086
Stolen Bases62
Batting Average.264.269
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-SUS
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 41# 56
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 42# 61
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 55# 60
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 29# 31
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 42# 46
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 40# 46
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 38# 43
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 40# 46
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 40# 51
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 47# 52
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 34# 58
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 43# 44
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 44# 51
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 47# 56
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 39# 42
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 37# 42
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 41# 48
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 43# 45
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 41# 54
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 44# 49
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 45# 50
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 47# 58
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 36# 54
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 47# 49
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 45# 48
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 40# 61
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 42# 64
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 33# 41
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 42# 45
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 36# 48
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 38# 37
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 40# 30
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 40# 39
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 41# 40
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 43# 37
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 43# 39
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 44# 38
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 45# 26
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 47# 44
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 47# 39
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 49# 31
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 50# 30
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 50# 47
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 51# 30
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 51# 46
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 52# 48
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 54# 50
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 55# 47
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 56# 21
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 60# 52
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Michael Conforto
CF,RF - NYM
Michael Conforto
Nick Castellanos
LF,RF - CIN
Nick Castellanos
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats202218
   
Runs4037
   
Hits6549
   
Singles4422
   
Doubles1211
   
Triples02
   
Home Runs914
   
RBI3134
   
Stolen Bases30
   
Caught Stealing32
   
Walks2419
   
Strikeouts5769
   
Batting Average.322.225
   
On Base Pct.412.298
   
Slugging Pct.515.486
   
On-base Plus Slugging.927.784
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Michael Conforto
CF,RF - NYM
Michael Conforto
Nick Castellanos
LF,RF - CIN
Nick Castellanos
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats541585
   
Runs9092
   
Hits141156
   
Singles8282
   
Doubles2841
   
Triples14
   
Home Runs2930
   
RBI9086
   
Stolen Bases62
   
Caught Stealing32
   
Walks7747
   
Strikeouts153158
   
Batting Average.264.269
   
On Base Pct.357.324
   
Slugging Pct.481.503
   
On-base Plus Slugging.839.827
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Michael Conforto
CF,RF - NYM
Michael Conforto
Nick Castellanos
LF,RF - CIN
Nick Castellanos
News 
 Michael Conforto went 2-4 with one double, one single, one run scored, and one strikeout.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Mon, Apr 19th
Nick Castellanos' appeal of his two-game suspension was denied by Major League Baseball.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Apr 19th
 Michael Conforto (hand) is playing right field and hitting sixth in Wednesday's game against the Phillies.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Apr 14th
Nick Castellanos went 2-for-4 with a home run, two RBI, and two runs scored in Friday's win over Cleveland.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Apr 17th
 X-rays on Michael Conforto's wrist came back negative.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Apr 13th
Nick Castellanos went 1-for-4 with a solo home run and two runs scored in Wednesday's win over the Pirates.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Apr 7th
 Michael Conforto did his best Craig Biggio impersonation on Thursday, getting hit by two pitches, including one in the bottom of the ninth inning with the bases loaded during a tie game. Conforto finished 0-2 with two walks and one strikeout.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Fri, Apr 9th
Nick Castellanos went 2-for-4 with a solo home run in Monday's win over the Pirates.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Apr 6th
 Michael Conforto went 2-5 with two singles, one RBI, and one strikeout on Monday.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Tue, Apr 6th
Reds outfielder Nick Castellanos received a two-game suspension for his role in a benches-clearing incident against the St. Louis Cardinals that led to his ejection on Saturday, according to MLB insider Jon Heyman. Castellanos is reportedly appealing the suspension.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Mon, Apr 5th
Notes 
 Conforto built on his excellent 2019 season by trading off a bit of power for some batting average. Fed by a significant increase in line drive rate that led to a .412 BABIP, Conforto batted a career best .322 last year. His xBA was just .284, so don't think that he suddenly morphed into a high average bat, but he did hit above .300 against every type of pitch last year, so it was certainly more than luck. Expect some regression to closer to his .259 mark, but he should hit around 30 homers with plenty of runs and RBI and even toss in a few steals. That makes him a worthwhile OF2 in mixed leagues.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Castellanos hit for plenty of power last season with the Reds, but it was far from the full breakout season many expected. His strikeout rate jumped to 28.5%, his batting average cratered to a career-low .225, and his wOBA was his worst mark since 2015. But Castellanos was also the victim of some pretty terrible luck, given that he had an expected batting average of .273 and a strong 46.7% hard-hit rate. With a full year in Great American Ballpark, Castellanos should fully live up to the hype he had coming into the 2020 season if he can just have even normal luck. Draft him with confidence as a likely strong four-category contributor.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Castellanos posted a career-high ISO in 2020, but it hardly mattered due to a career-worst .257 BABIP. His previous career-low was .294 back in 2013. That number was above .300 in every other season of his career. We saw a glimpse of what he looked like when everything was clicking, and Castellanos appeared to be one of the best hitters in baseball early on in 2020. The expected stats still look great, which makes him someone to invest in come draft day.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros