Who Should I Draft?

Mike Trout or Bryce Harper (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Mike Trout
CF,DH - LAA
Mike Trout
Bryce Harper
CF,RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
Expert
Recommendation
100%
Recommended by
56 of 56 experts
0%
Recommended by
0 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 1# 9
Best Rank# 1# 2
Worst Rank# 2# 25
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 1# 16
Best Rank# 1# 11
Worst Rank# 1# 20
   
Projections 
   
Runs11499
Home Runs3835
RBI97101
Stolen Bases2311
Batting Average.308.269
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 1# 8
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 1# 6
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 1# 13
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 1# 10
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 1# 12
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 1# 8
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 1# 10
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 1# 8
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 1# 21
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 1# 10
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 1# 5
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 1# 10
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 2# 11
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 1# 9
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 1# 2
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 1# 7
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 1# 10
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 2# 8
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 1# 12
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 2# 11
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 1# 8
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 1# 9
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 1# 10
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 1# 10
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 1# 12
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 1# 10
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 1# 12
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 1# 12
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 1# 16
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 1# 10
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 1# 11
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 1# 14
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 1# 12
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 1# 21
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 1# 8
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 1# 25
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 1# 15
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 1# 12
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 1# 12
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 1# 21
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 1# 9
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 1# 12
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 1# 16
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 1# 13
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 1# 9
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 1# 10
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 1# 13
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 1# 14
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 1# 8
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 1# 8
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 1# 13
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 1# 12
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 1# 13
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 1# 15
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 1# 11
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 1# 12
   
  Mike Trout
CF,DH - LAA
Mike Trout
Bryce Harper
CF,RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats471550
   
Runs101103
   
Hits147137
   
Singles8069
   
Doubles2434
   
Triples40
   
Home Runs3934
   
RBI79100
   
Stolen Bases2413
   
Caught Stealing23
   
Walks122130
   
Strikeouts124169
   
Batting Average.312.249
   
On Base Pct.460.393
   
Slugging Pct.629.496
   
On-base Plus Slugging1.088.889
   
  Mike Trout
CF,DH - LAA
Mike Trout
Bryce Harper
CF,RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats509516
   
Runs11499
   
Hits157139
   
Singles8573
   
Doubles2929
   
Triples41
   
Home Runs3835
   
RBI97101
   
Stolen Bases2311
   
Caught Stealing54
   
Walks118111
   
Strikeouts126145
   
Batting Average.308.269
   
On Base Pct.438.398
   
Slugging Pct.609.533
   
On-base Plus Slugging1.048.931
   
  Mike Trout
CF,DH - LAA
Mike Trout
Bryce Harper
CF,RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
News 
 Mike Trout went 1-for-3 with two walks, a double, and one run scored on Friday against Tampa Bay.
Kamran Hoda
Sat, Jun 15th
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-5 with a two-run home run in Friday's loss to the Atlanta Braves. The homer was his 12th of the season.
Mike Maher
Sat, Jun 15th
 Mike Trout went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run on Monday against the Dodgers.
Kamran Hoda
Tue, Jun 11th
Phillies outfielder went 1-for-4 with a run scored and a stolen base in Sunday's loss to the Reds. The steal was his third of the season.
Mike Maher
Mon, Jun 10th
 Mike Trout went 2-for-3 with a walk, triple, home run, one RBI, and two runs scored on Saturday against the Mariners.
Kamran Hoda
Sun, Jun 9th
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-4 in the team's win over the Cincinnati Reds on Friday.
Mike Maher
Sat, Jun 8th
 Mike Trout went 1-for-4 with a walk and a two-run home run on Wednesday against the A's.
Kamran Hoda
Thu, Jun 6th
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run and two runs scored in Saturday's loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Mike Maher
Sun, Jun 2nd
 Mike Trout went 2-for-4 with a walk, single, home run, one RBI, and one run scored against the Mariners on Saturday.
Kamran Hoda
Sun, Jun 2nd
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 3-for-4 with two doubles and an RBI in Thursday's loss to the St. Louis Cardinals.
Mike Maher
Fri, May 31st
Notes 
 Congratulations on landing the first pick. Your reward is Trout, a super-duper-star who is somehow getting better. The Angels stud set career highs in walk rate (20.1%), OBP (.460), wOBA (.447), and wRC+ (191) during his seventh season. He has cleared a .300 batting average in each of the last three years and averaged 33.6 homers per season after popping 39 in 2018. The floor and ceiling remain sky-high despite missing time over the past two years.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Harper may have posted just a .249 batting average in 2018, but the rest of his fantasy production was tremendous, plus his underlying metrics indicate the average returning closer to the .270 mark in 2019. His fantasy value improved when he signed with Philly because their ballpark is great for lefties, but he is still just a 2nd round pick.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 As long as Mike Trout continues to put up 30+ homers, 20+ steals, 100+ runs and bat .300 every season, you can bet he will be worth the first overall pick. Chances are, we have another decade of this consistent dominance.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
After scaring fantasy owners with rumors that he could sign with the Giants, Harper ultimately stuck with the original plan and ended up in a great hitting environment in Philadelphia. The move is unquestionably a good one for his fantasy value, but there is still a lot of uncertainty about what kind of numbers to expect from Harper. Over the last four seasons, he has two years where he's hit over .315 and two where he's hit under .250. He's also hit as many as 42 HRs and as few as 24, and stolen as many as 21 bases and as few as four. Harper always contributes enough production to be a prized fantasy asset, but he only has one season on his resume where he's earned first round value. He could be a bit overrated now that he's signed with the Phillies.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Trout only played 140 games in 2018 due to a brief DL stint, but he still finished as the eighth-most valuable hitter in standard 5x5 leagues. It was the second straight season Trout missed time with injuries, but that is just about the only fault you can find in his fantasy game. Consistently excellent when he's on the field, expect him to once again approach 40 HRs with 20+ steals and a batting average over .300.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
A wide dissonance remains from what drafters want from Harper and what he typically delivers. With batting averages of .330, .243, .319, and .249 over the last four years, there's a steep range of outcomes for a perennial top pick averaging 32 homers and 11 steals in that stretch. His latest drop came with a career-low 70.8% contact rate, so count on a compromise to around .270 rather than a full rebound. Now that he has signed with the Phillies, he should belt closer to 35-40 long balls with the help of Citizens Bank Park. The ideal landing spot pushes him up to early second-round territory, and it wouldn't be surprising to see some drafters grab him late in the first.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros