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Who Should I Draft?

Mike Trout or Juan Soto (2021)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Mike Trout
CF - LAA
Mike Trout
Juan Soto
LF - WSH
Juan Soto
Expert
Recommendation
80%
Recommended by
8 of 10 experts
20%
Recommended by
2 of 10 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 4# 5
Best Rank# 1# 3
Worst Rank# 6# 9
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 4# 5
Best Rank# 3# 4
Worst Rank# 5# 6
   
Projections 
   
Runs110113
Home Runs4238
RBI108112
Stolen Bases1013
Batting Average.291.309
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 4# 5
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 4# 7
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 2# 3
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 4# 5
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 4# 5
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 1# 3
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 6# 9
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 3# 8
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 3
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 4
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Mike Trout
CF - LAA
Mike Trout
Juan Soto
LF - WSH
Juan Soto
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats199154
   
Runs4139
   
Hits5654
   
Singles2827
   
Doubles914
   
Triples20
   
Home Runs1713
   
RBI4637
   
Stolen Bases16
   
Caught Stealing12
   
Walks3541
   
Strikeouts5628
   
Batting Average.281.351
   
On Base Pct.390.490
   
Slugging Pct.603.695
   
On-base Plus Slugging.9931.185
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Mike Trout
CF - LAA
Mike Trout
Juan Soto
LF - WSH
Juan Soto
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats512524
   
Runs110113
   
Hits149162
   
Singles7688
   
Doubles2734
   
Triples42
   
Home Runs4238
   
RBI108112
   
Stolen Bases1013
   
Caught Stealing34
   
Walks110110
   
Strikeouts141117
   
Batting Average.291.309
   
On Base Pct.416.429
   
Slugging Pct.592.588
   
On-base Plus Slugging1.0081.017
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Mike Trout
CF - LAA
Mike Trout
Juan Soto
LF - WSH
Juan Soto
News 
  Juan Soto agreed to a one-year, $8.5 million deal with the Nationals to avoid arbitration.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Jan 15th
Notes 
 For one of the first times since he took the league by storm, Trout is not the consensus top pick this year. It's hardly his fault, though it's fair to point out some of the negatives with his 2020 season. He batted a career-low .281, and posted his worst walk- and strikeout-rates since 2015. He also stole only one base. But Trout's move down the overall baseball rankings is due more to his competition for the top spot, rather than his numbers. He was still among the league leaders in quality of contact and every expected statcast metric, and was on pace to hit 50 home runs over the course of a full season. Trout is entering his age-30 season, so although we've seen him rebound from poor stolen base years before, it now seems unlikely that he'll ever get back to much past low-double digits. That keeps him out of the top spot in rotisserie rankings, but his incredibly high floor makes him a top-five overall draft pick.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
There aren't enough superlatives in the English language to describe what Soto has done in his career given his young age. Had he merely repeated his incredible 2019 numbers last season, fantasy managers would have been ecstatic. Instead, he upped his walk rate from an elite 16.4% to a truly remarkable 20.9%, cut his strikeout rate down to just 14.3%, and batted .351. Soto does not have the speed or baserunning chops to steal 30 bases in a season, which is the only thing keeping him from being considered worthy of drafting first overall. But given what he's accomplished through his age-21 season, it's truly scary to think of how high his ceiling may be. Draft him as a top-five pick and enjoy the ridiculous production.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 You won't find a safer first-round investment in all of fantasy baseball. However, entering Trout's age-29 season, it's now fair to consider several others worthy of the No. 1 overall pick come draft day. The biggest argument against Trout is a lack of stolen base upside. Trout swiped just one bag during the abbreviated 2020 campaign. Still, the well-rounded power and on-base skills aren't going anywhere just yet.
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
There isn't a single negative thing to say about the second coming of Ted Williams. Soto get even better last year, his age-21 season, and wound up leading baseball in OBP. The fact that he was limited to 47 games wound up costing him NL MVP honors, as Soto was the best hitter in baseball on a per-game basis in 2020. The floor here is so high. Soto isn't a zero in stolen bases either. He swiped 12 in 2019 and six last summer.
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros