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Who Should I Draft?

Mike Trout or Trea Turner (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Mike Trout
CF - LAA
Mike Trout
Trea Turner
SS - WSH
Trea Turner
Expert
Recommendation
80%
Recommended by
40 of 50 experts
20%
Recommended by
10 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 5# 6
Best Rank# 1# 3
Worst Rank# 10# 19
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 5# 8
Best Rank# 3# 7
Worst Rank# 6# 9
   
Projections 
   
Runs111103
Home Runs4324
RBI10980
Stolen Bases1133
Batting Average.291.294
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 7
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 5# 6
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 2# 12
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 5# 7
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 5# 6
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 1# 19
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 7
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 5# 9
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 5# 6
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 5# 6
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 7# 8
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 3# 7
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 5# 6
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 5# 6
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 3# 6
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 5# 9
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 4# 6
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 5# 6
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 1# 8
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 4# 6
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 5# 6
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 6# 7
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 5# 6
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 5# 6
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 5# 6
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 5# 6
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 5# 6
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 5# 7
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 5# 6
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 3# 8
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 5# 6
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 2# 6
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 2# 6
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 2# 6
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 3# 6
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 5# 6
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 5# 6
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 5# 6
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 5# 6
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 5# 6
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 4# 3
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 4# 3
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 6# 5
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 5
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 6# 5
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 6# 5
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 6# 4
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 7# 5
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 8# 3
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 10# 6
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Mike Trout
CF - LAA
Mike Trout
Trea Turner
SS - WSH
Trea Turner
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats199233
   
Runs4146
   
Hits5678
   
Singles2847
   
Doubles915
   
Triples24
   
Home Runs1712
   
RBI4641
   
Stolen Bases112
   
Caught Stealing14
   
Walks3522
   
Strikeouts5636
   
Batting Average.281.335
   
On Base Pct.390.394
   
Slugging Pct.603.588
   
On-base Plus Slugging.993.982
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Mike Trout
CF - LAA
Mike Trout
Trea Turner
SS - WSH
Trea Turner
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats520597
   
Runs111103
   
Hits149174
   
Singles74110
   
Doubles2734
   
Triples47
   
Home Runs4324
   
RBI10980
   
Stolen Bases1133
   
Caught Stealing38
   
Walks11153
   
Strikeouts141118
   
Batting Average.291.294
   
On Base Pct.418.353
   
Slugging Pct.602.493
   
On-base Plus Slugging1.020.846
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Mike Trout
CF - LAA
Mike Trout
Trea Turner
SS - WSH
Trea Turner
News 
 Mike Trout is absent from Wednesday's lineup against the Astros.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, May 12th
Trea Turner went 3-for-4 with one home run, one run, and one RBI. He also walked and struck out once.
Corbin Young
Tue, May 11th
 Mike Trout went 2-for-4 with a single, a triple, one RBI, and one stolen base in Friday's 9-2 win over the Dodgers.
Jack Mannis
Sat, May 8th
Trea Turner went 3-for-4 on Sunday with two hard-hit batted balls. Turner raised his batting average to .308 on the season.
Corbin Young
Sun, May 9th
 Mike Trout went 1-for-3 with a solo homer, a walk, and two strikeouts on Tuesday.
Jack Mannis
Wed, May 5th
Trea Turner went 1-for-4 with one RBI. He also recorded four hard-hit batted balls against the Yankees.
Corbin Young
Sat, May 8th
 Mike Trout went 2-for-4 with a home run, a single, two RBIs, and one walk in a Halos' victory over the Mariners on Saturday.
Jack Mannis
Sun, May 2nd
Trea Turner went 1-for-5 with an RBI single and one run scored. He broke a 3-3 tie in the 8th inning.
Corbin Young
Fri, May 7th
 Mike Trout went 2-for-4 with a single, a double, and two runs scored in Friday's loss to the Mariners.
Jack Mannis
Sat, May 1st
Shortstop Trea Turner hit his seventh home run of the season. He went 1-for-5 with one run and two RBI.
Corbin Young
Wed, May 5th
Notes 
 For one of the first times since he took the league by storm, Trout is not the consensus top pick this year. It's hardly his fault, though it's fair to point out some of the negatives with his 2020 season. He batted a career-low .281, and posted his worst walk- and strikeout-rates since 2015. He also stole only one base. But Trout's move down the overall baseball rankings is due more to his competition for the top spot, rather than his numbers. He was still among the league leaders in quality of contact and every expected statcast metric, and was on pace to hit 50 home runs over the course of a full season. Trout is entering his age-30 season, so although we've seen him rebound from poor stolen base years before, it now seems unlikely that he'll ever get back to much past low-double digits. That keeps him out of the top spot in rotisserie rankings, but his incredibly high floor makes him a top-five overall draft pick.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Turner was the best version of himself in 2020, slashing his strikeout rate to below 14% and setting career bests in batting average, OBP, slugging percentage, wOBA, and wRC+. Above all, Turner locks down two incredibly scarce categories for fantasy managers, stolen bases and batting average, while offering production in the other three hitting categories. Still just entering his age-28 season, Turner is in the prime of his career, and should continue to put up stellar numbers. He's a top-eight pick in rotisserie leagues.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 You won't find a safer first-round investment in all of fantasy baseball. However, entering Trout's age-29 season, it's now fair to consider several others worthy of the No. 1 overall pick come draft day. The biggest argument against Trout is a lack of stolen base upside. Trout swiped just one bag during the abbreviated 2020 campaign. Still, the well-rounded power and on-base skills aren't going anywhere just yet.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
2020 was the culmination of everything we've ever wanted out of Turner. Both the barrel rate and the line-drive rate jumped en route to a .335 batting average. Turner famously went without a stolen base for several weeks before finishing tied for fourth in the majors with 12 for the season. Perhaps 2020 was a two-month hot streak with the bat, but Turner's stolen base upside combined with even 80% of last year's gains make him an essential part of any roto strategy come draft day.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros