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Who Should I Draft?

Mike Trout or Trevor Story (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Mike Trout
CF - LAA
Mike Trout
Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Expert
Recommendation
93%
Recommended by
42 of 45 experts
7%
Recommended by
3 of 45 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 2# 7
Best Rank# 1# 4
Worst Rank# 11# 14
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 1# 10
Best Rank# 1# 9
Worst Rank# 2# 16
   
Projections 
   
Runs4237
Home Runs1613
RBI3835
Stolen Bases57
Batting Average.311.286
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 2# 8
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 2# 6
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 3# 7
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 3# 8
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 2# 6
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 2# 6
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 2# 8
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 2# 11
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 2# 7
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 3# 7
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 2# 6
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 2# 9
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 1# 8
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 3# 7
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 1# 6
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 1# 13
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 1# 7
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 2# 7
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 2# 7
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 1# 6
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 1# 7
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 3# 6
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 3# 8
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 1# 10
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 3# 5
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 3# 4
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 2# 10
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 2# 8
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 3# 7
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 2# 7
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 1# 7
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 2# 7
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 3# 14
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 2# 8
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 3# 8
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 2# 7
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 3# 14
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 1# 6
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 1# 7
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 2# 6
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 1# 4
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 1# 7
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 6
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 9# 7
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 6
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Mike Trout
CF - LAA
Mike Trout
Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats470588
   
Runs110111
   
Hits138173
   
Singles6495
   
Doubles2738
   
Triples25
   
Home Runs4535
   
RBI10485
   
Stolen Bases1123
   
Caught Stealing28
   
Walks11058
   
Strikeouts120174
   
Batting Average.294.294
   
On Base Pct.440.363
   
Slugging Pct.647.554
   
On-base Plus Slugging1.087.917
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Mike Trout
CF - LAA
Mike Trout
Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats177212
   
Runs4237
   
Hits5561
   
Singles2832
   
Doubles1013
   
Triples12
   
Home Runs1613
   
RBI3835
   
Stolen Bases57
   
Caught Stealing22
   
Walks4320
   
Strikeouts4764
   
Batting Average.311.286
   
On Base Pct.446.348
   
Slugging Pct.630.544
   
On-base Plus Slugging1.076.891
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Mike Trout
CF - LAA
Mike Trout
Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
News 
 OF Mike Trout is considering opting out of the 2020 campaign. “Honestly I don’t feel comfortable about playing in 2020,” said Trout.
Brad Camara
Fri, Jul 3rd
Trevor Story went 0-for-3 with a strikeout as the Rockies tied the Diamondbacks 6-6 on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Mar 6th
  Jeff Passan of ESPN reports the Rockies and Trevotr Story have agreed to a two-year, $27.5 million contract.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jan 25th
Notes 
 Having Trout third feels weird, but there are concerns with his wife's due date in August for how much time Trout will miss. Even, on the low end, 45 games of Trout is better than the vast majority of the league. He could miss more time than anticipated, or not miss much at all. It's worth baking in the risk here, but moving him lower than third overall as the safest player to return value in the first round, is a mistake.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
You'd, of course, love 81 games in Coors Field for Story, but we'll take what we can get with him. He replicated his stolen base numbers from 2018 in 2019 enough that there's no reason to doubt his speed. He's a 15/15 candidate in the shortened season.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Trout may not be the clear-cut number one player in fantasy this year, but that's of no fault of his own, as he's coming off one of his best seasons ever, with a career-high 45 home runs in just 134 games. If you were desperate to find a knock on Trout, it's that he hasn't topped 140 games in any of his last three seasons, and his 11 stolen bases last year tied his low in a single season. But that's all window dressing on a truly special player who is obviously a top-three pick at worst.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
It's safe to say that Story's 2017 season was just an outlier, and he's established a fairly reliable 35-homer, 20-plus steal baseline. Pay no attention to Story's dramatically lower xBA - Coors Field will always inflate batting average and should keep Story's mark with roughly a .280 floor at worst. Even at a deep shortstop position, he's a unique five-category player, and is an easy first-round selection.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Although Mike Trout has missed some time, they've mostly been flukey injuries. Had he stayed healthy, we may have been talking about 55 homers with 15 steals and a .300 average. His consistency alone makes him the number one overall pick just ahead of Acuna.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
There are four first-round worthy shortstops this year and among them, Story may be the top bet. He now has 35+ homers 20+ steals and a batting average above .290 in two consecutive seasons. After Bellinger is off the board, you could make a case for Story at pick #6 overall.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Potential verse reliability is the question here. Acuna and Trout are likely to have comparable home run totals while Acuna should steal more bases. We know what we're getting fromTrout and with Rendon in the lineup, maybe 2020 is a career year. It wouldn't surprise me to see Acuna have the better statistical 2020, but Trout's reliability gets my pick at #1.1.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
30 HRs and 20 SBs feels reasonable.The upside of 40/20 is what intrigues me. Lindor and Betts don't have that HR ceiling.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData