Who Should I Draft?

Miles Mikolas or Charlie Morton (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Expert
Recommendation
59%
Recommended by
33 of 56 experts
41%
Recommended by
23 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 33# 34
Best Rank# 16# 19
Worst Rank# 88# 80
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 98# 114
Best Rank# 90# 97
Worst Rank# 105# 117
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts149176
Wins1312
Saves00
ERA3.603.41
WHIP1.201.21
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 32# 38
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 23# 37
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 30# 50
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 28# 42
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 34# 51
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 27# 36
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 27# 69
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 34# 43
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 26# 34
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 36
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 39# 46
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 44# 80
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 33# 36
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 32# 36
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 43# 46
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 20# 40
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 31# 40
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 35# 36
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 37# 40
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 36# 38
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 32# 34
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 26# 44
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 29# 58
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 27# 30
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 36# 37
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 16# 38
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 28# 43
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 17# 57
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 43# 46
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 32# 36
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 27# 38
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 22# 25
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 30# 44
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 26# 24
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 30# 28
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 31# 27
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 33# 28
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 34# 32
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 34# 24
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 35# 34
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 35# 28
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 38# 37
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 39# 23
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 40# 38
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 41# 29
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 41# 33
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 41# 30
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 43# 41
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 43# 29
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 46# 28
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 51# 32
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 53# 41
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 57# 19
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 59# 53
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 62# 40
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 88# 66
   
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3230
   
Games Started3230
   
Innings Pitched201.3167.2
   
Wins1815
   
Losses43
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed186130
   
Earned Runs6358
   
Home Runs Allowed1618
   
Strikeouts146201
   
Walks2964
   
ERA2.833.13
   
WHIP1.071.16
   
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3127
   
Games Started3127
   
Innings Pitched191.7157.3
   
Wins1312
   
Losses97
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed192132
   
Earned Runs7760
   
Home Runs Allowed2116
   
Strikeouts149176
   
Walks3758
   
ERA3.603.41
   
WHIP1.201.21
   
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
News 
 Miles Mikolas fired six scoreless innings and improved to 5-7 in the Cardinals' 5-0 win over the Marlins on Monday. He allowed six hits, walked none, and struck out four.
Elliott Baas
Mon, Jun 17th
Charlie Morton gave up four runs on five hits while walking two and striking out nine batters through six innings and was charged with a loss to the Angels on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sat, Jun 15th
 Miles Mikolas allowed five runs on eight hits and a walk over five innings on Wednesday against the Marlins. He struck out four and took the loss, falling to 4-7.
Dan Harris
Thu, Jun 13th
Charlie Morton allowed two hits and two walks while firing seven scoreless innings Monday, striking out seven batters and earning the win over the Athletics.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 11th
 Mikolas was forced from Friday's game against the Chicago Cubs after pitching just four innings.
James Bisson
Fri, Jun 7th
Charlie Morton picked up the win Wednesday, allowing five hits over seven scoreless innings while striking out eight as the Rays handed the Tigers a 4-0 defeat.
John Aubin
Thu, Jun 6th
 Miles Mikolas allowed one run on three hits over seven innings in the Cardinals' 2-1 win over the Cubs on Friday. He walked two and struck out three in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 1st
Charlie Morton (6-0) earned the win Thursday against the Twins by allowing two runs on four hits and no walks across seven innings. He struck out six.
John Aubin
Fri, May 31st
 Miles Mikolas allowed three runs on seven hits over seven innings in the Cardinals' 5-2 loss to the Braves on Friday. He walked none and struck out nine while falling to 4-5.
Elliott Baas
Sat, May 25th
Charlie Morton struck out 10 and allowed just one run on three hits over six innings in the Rays’ 6-2 victory over the Indians on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sun, May 26th
Notes 
 Mikolas had an incredible season in his first year back from pitching in Japan, posting a 2.83 ERA and 1.07 WHIP while winning 18 games for the Cardinals. His weak strikeout rate is a bit of a detriment in roto leagues with low innings caps, but it isn't too big a deal in points leagues. That said, he's due for a bit of a correction in his BABIP and HRs allowed, which should cause his ERA to rise at least into the mid-3.00s. He can still be a useful fantasy pitcher in most formats, but could be overvalued.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
After nearly a decade of mediocrity, the Astros turned Morton into a high-end starter in 2017, and he was even better in 2018. At this point, he feels relatively safe to pencil in for a mid-3.00s ERA, 10.0 K/9 rate, and WHIP in the 1.15-1.20 range. The concerns are his advancing age and durability -- he's never thrown more than 172 innings in a season. The move to Tampa Bay is also a mild concern, less so for the change of division than for the move away from a Houston team that seemingly knew how to get the best out of him.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 It's easy to dismiss Mikolas' breakout as a fluke. In his first season back from a three-year stint in Japan, the righty registered 18 wins and a 2.83 ERA in 200.2 innings despite collecting just 146 strikeouts. The ERA will at least rise to his 3.28 FIP, if not higher, but the 30-year-old isn't necessarily a full-blown bust waiting to happen. No qualified starter submitted a lower walk rate (3.6%) than Mikolas, who limited hard contact and induced a 49.3% ground-ball rate. Also, he's not some mid-80s junkballer pitching solely to contact. A 9.6% swinging-strike rate finished right above David Price on the leaderboard, so there's at least a path to 160 punchouts. He throws harder, but Mikolas' final line could resemble Kyle Hendricks in 2018 (199 IP, 3.44 ERA, 161 K).
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Morton followed an improbable late-career renaissance with an even better 2018. In his most innings pitched (167) since 2011, he etched out a 3.13 ERA and 201 strikeouts. Yet he wore down as the season transpired, as his K rate dropped seven points to 24.2% after the All-Star break. Given his durability concerns and struggles when facing a batting order for the third time, the Rays will likely keep limiting him to five innings per start (or even have him follow an opener). Morton will perform on a per-inning basis, but investors should probably expect results closer to 2017's 3.62 ERA and 163 strikeouts in 146.2 innings.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros