Who Should I Draft?

Miles Mikolas or Charlie Morton (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Expert
Recommendation
58%
Recommended by
34 of 59 experts
42%
Recommended by
25 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 33# 36
Best Rank# 16# 19
Worst Rank# 88# 80
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 98# 114
Best Rank# 90# 97
Worst Rank# 105# 117
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts149176
Wins1312
Saves00
ERA3.603.41
WHIP1.201.21
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 32# 38
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 23# 37
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 30# 50
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 28# 42
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 34# 51
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 27# 36
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 27# 69
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 34# 43
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 26# 34
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 36
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 39# 46
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 44# 80
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 33# 36
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 32# 36
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 43# 46
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 20# 40
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 31# 40
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 35# 36
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 37# 40
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 32# 34
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 26# 44
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 29# 58
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 27# 30
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 36# 37
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 16# 38
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 28# 43
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 17# 57
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 43# 46
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 32# 36
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 38# 40
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 30# 55
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 27# 38
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 22# 25
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 30# 44
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 26# 24
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 30# 28
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 31# 27
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 33# 28
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 34# 32
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 34# 24
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 35# 34
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 35# 28
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 38# 27
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 38# 37
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 39# 23
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 40# 38
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 41# 29
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 41# 33
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 41# 30
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 43# 41
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 43# 29
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 46# 28
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 48# 34
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 51# 32
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 53# 41
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 57# 19
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 59# 53
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 62# 40
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 88# 66
   
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3230
   
Games Started3230
   
Innings Pitched201.3167.2
   
Wins1815
   
Losses43
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed186130
   
Earned Runs6358
   
Home Runs Allowed1618
   
Strikeouts146201
   
Walks2964
   
ERA2.833.13
   
WHIP1.071.16
   
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3127
   
Games Started3127
   
Innings Pitched191.7157.3
   
Wins1312
   
Losses97
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed192132
   
Earned Runs7760
   
Home Runs Allowed2116
   
Strikeouts149176
   
Walks3758
   
ERA3.603.41
   
WHIP1.201.21
   
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
News 
 Miles Mikolas did not factor into the decision Sunday against the Cubs, allowing two runs (one earned) on eight hits and one walk in 7.2 innings. He struck out four.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 22nd
Charlie Morton allowed two runs on five hits and a walk while striking out eight over 6 1/3 innings Friday against the Red Sox. He didn't factor into the decision.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 21st
 Miles Mikolas (9-14) took the loss Tuesday against the Nationals, allowing three runs on eight hits and one walk across six innings. He struck out four.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 18th
Charlie Morton earned the win Friday, holding the Angels to three runs on six hits and a walk while striking out four across six innings.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 14th
 Miles Mikolas allowed one run on three hits with four walks across five innings in a no-decision against the Pirates on Friday. He struck out seven.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 7th
Charlie Morton struck out 10 while allowing three runs on five hits with two walks across six innings during a no-decision against the Blue Jays on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 8th
 Miles Mikolas did not factor into the decision in the first game of Sunday's double header, allowing three runs on four hits and no walks over six innings. He struck out five.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 1st
Charlie Morton gave up one earned run on four hits and three walks with eight strikeouts over 5 1/3 innings as he earned his 14th win of the year.
John Aubin
Mon, Sep 2nd
 Miles Mikolas (8-13) earned the win Tuesday against the Brewers, allowing one run on four hits and no walks over six innings. He struck out 10.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Aug 28th
Charlie Morton gave up six runs on seven hits with two walks and four strikeouts in four innings as the Rays lost to the Astros on Tuesday.
John Aubin
Wed, Aug 28th
Notes 
 Mikolas had an incredible season in his first year back from pitching in Japan, posting a 2.83 ERA and 1.07 WHIP while winning 18 games for the Cardinals. His weak strikeout rate is a bit of a detriment in roto leagues with low innings caps, but it isn't too big a deal in points leagues. That said, he's due for a bit of a correction in his BABIP and HRs allowed, which should cause his ERA to rise at least into the mid-3.00s. He can still be a useful fantasy pitcher in most formats, but could be overvalued.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
After nearly a decade of mediocrity, the Astros turned Morton into a high-end starter in 2017, and he was even better in 2018. At this point, he feels relatively safe to pencil in for a mid-3.00s ERA, 10.0 K/9 rate, and WHIP in the 1.15-1.20 range. The concerns are his advancing age and durability -- he's never thrown more than 172 innings in a season. The move to Tampa Bay is also a mild concern, less so for the change of division than for the move away from a Houston team that seemingly knew how to get the best out of him.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 It's easy to dismiss Mikolas' breakout as a fluke. In his first season back from a three-year stint in Japan, the righty registered 18 wins and a 2.83 ERA in 200.2 innings despite collecting just 146 strikeouts. The ERA will at least rise to his 3.28 FIP, if not higher, but the 30-year-old isn't necessarily a full-blown bust waiting to happen. No qualified starter submitted a lower walk rate (3.6%) than Mikolas, who limited hard contact and induced a 49.3% ground-ball rate. Also, he's not some mid-80s junkballer pitching solely to contact. A 9.6% swinging-strike rate finished right above David Price on the leaderboard, so there's at least a path to 160 punchouts. He throws harder, but Mikolas' final line could resemble Kyle Hendricks in 2018 (199 IP, 3.44 ERA, 161 K).
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Morton followed an improbable late-career renaissance with an even better 2018. In his most innings pitched (167) since 2011, he etched out a 3.13 ERA and 201 strikeouts. Yet he wore down as the season transpired, as his K rate dropped seven points to 24.2% after the All-Star break. Given his durability concerns and struggles when facing a batting order for the third time, the Rays will likely keep limiting him to five innings per start (or even have him follow an opener). Morton will perform on a per-inning basis, but investors should probably expect results closer to 2017's 3.62 ERA and 163 strikeouts in 146.2 innings.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros