Who Should I Draft?

Miles Mikolas or Craig Kimbrel (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
Expert
Recommendation
56%
Recommended by
33 of 59 experts
44%
Recommended by
26 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 33# 34
Best Rank# 16# 15
Worst Rank# 88# 110
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 98# 93
Best Rank# 90# 74
Worst Rank# 105# 102
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts14989
Wins134
Saves027
ERA3.602.69
WHIP1.201.04
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 41# 43
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 32# 37
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 23# 51
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 30# 37
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 34# 47
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 34# 44
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 30# 44
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 28# 70
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 27# 42
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 27# 49
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 34# 39
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 26# 29
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 63
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 39# 84
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 44# 46
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 35# 36
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 33# 34
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 32# 42
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 20# 30
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 33# 47
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 39# 41
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 31# 37
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 35# 40
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 32# 35
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 27# 42
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 26# 33
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 16# 33
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 28# 33
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 17# 60
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 32# 47
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 27# 110
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 22# 64
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 35# 45
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 26# 23
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 29# 15
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 30# 15
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 30# 29
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 31# 24
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 34# 19
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 36# 34
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 37# 31
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 38# 20
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 38# 35
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 38# 17
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 40# 30
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 41# 38
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 41# 25
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 43# 27
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 43# 27
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 43# 34
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 43# 31
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 46# 25
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 48# 46
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 51# 20
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 53# 49
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 57# 40
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 59# 45
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 62# 22
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 88# 45
   
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3263
   
Games Started320
   
Innings Pitched201.362.2
   
Wins185
   
Losses41
   
Saves042
   
Blown Saves05
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed18631
   
Earned Runs6319
   
Home Runs Allowed167
   
Strikeouts14696
   
Walks2931
   
ERA2.832.74
   
WHIP1.070.99
   
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3161
   
Games Started310
   
Innings Pitched191.759.1
   
Wins134
   
Losses92
   
Saves027
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed19236
   
Earned Runs7718
   
Home Runs Allowed216
   
Strikeouts14989
   
Walks3725
   
ERA3.602.69
   
WHIP1.201.04
   
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
News 
 Miles Mikolas did not factor into the decision Sunday against the Cubs, allowing two runs (one earned) on eight hits and one walk in 7.2 innings. He struck out four.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 22nd
Craig Kimbrel (0-4) allowed two runs on two hits and one walk in 0.2 innings Saturday against the Cardinals, blowing the save.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 21st
 Miles Mikolas (9-14) took the loss Tuesday against the Nationals, allowing three runs on eight hits and one walk across six innings. He struck out four.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 18th
Craig Kimbrel was saddled with the loss Thursday against the Cardinals, allowing one run on one hit in 0.2 innings. He struck out two.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Sep 20th
 Miles Mikolas allowed one run on three hits with four walks across five innings in a no-decision against the Pirates on Friday. He struck out seven.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 7th
Craig Kimbrel (elbow) will throw a simulated game Tuesday, and is eyeing a return to the Cubs for their weekend series against the Cardinals.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Sep 17th
 Miles Mikolas did not factor into the decision in the first game of Sunday's double header, allowing three runs on four hits and no walks over six innings. He struck out five.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 1st
Craig Kimbrel will be placed on the injured list Thursday with elbow inflammation.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Sep 5th
 Miles Mikolas (8-13) earned the win Tuesday against the Brewers, allowing one run on four hits and no walks over six innings. He struck out 10.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Aug 28th
Craig Kimbrel allowed three runs on two hits and one walk over 0.2 innings Sunday, striking out one.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 1st
Notes 
 Mikolas had an incredible season in his first year back from pitching in Japan, posting a 2.83 ERA and 1.07 WHIP while winning 18 games for the Cardinals. His weak strikeout rate is a bit of a detriment in roto leagues with low innings caps, but it isn't too big a deal in points leagues. That said, he's due for a bit of a correction in his BABIP and HRs allowed, which should cause his ERA to rise at least into the mid-3.00s. He can still be a useful fantasy pitcher in most formats, but could be overvalued.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Although still unsigned, it's safe to assume Kimbrel won't settle for a setup role. After all, no reliever in MLB history holsters a lower career FIP than his 1.96. Despite a concerning walk uptick (4.48 BB/9), he posted a 2.74 ERA with 96 strikeouts and 42 saves in 2018. Somewhat surprisingly, his ADP hasn't suffered from a disastrous postseason and drawn-out free agency. That should change now that he remains a free agent in mid-March. Drafters must now consider the higher the likelihood of a delayed or rusty start to the season. Or worse, maybe he actually follows through on his threat to sit out 2019.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 It's easy to dismiss Mikolas' breakout as a fluke. In his first season back from a three-year stint in Japan, the righty registered 18 wins and a 2.83 ERA in 200.2 innings despite collecting just 146 strikeouts. The ERA will at least rise to his 3.28 FIP, if not higher, but the 30-year-old isn't necessarily a full-blown bust waiting to happen. No qualified starter submitted a lower walk rate (3.6%) than Mikolas, who limited hard contact and induced a 49.3% ground-ball rate. Also, he's not some mid-80s junkballer pitching solely to contact. A 9.6% swinging-strike rate finished right above David Price on the leaderboard, so there's at least a path to 160 punchouts. He throws harder, but Mikolas' final line could resemble Kyle Hendricks in 2018 (199 IP, 3.44 ERA, 161 K).
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Kimbrel still hasn't signed so wherever he plays will obviously impact his fantasy upside. Boston would offer plenty more save opportunities, of course, than somewhere like San Diego. You can bank on excellent ratios with nearly 100 Ks regardless, however, so don't hesitate to grab him toward the end of the top tier of closers once again.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros