Who Should I Draft?

Miles Mikolas or Craig Kimbrel (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
Expert
Recommendation
59%
Recommended by
33 of 56 experts
41%
Recommended by
23 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 33# 36
Best Rank# 16# 15
Worst Rank# 88# 110
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 98# 93
Best Rank# 90# 74
Worst Rank# 105# 102
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts14989
Wins134
Saves027
ERA3.602.69
WHIP1.201.04
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 41# 43
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 32# 37
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 23# 51
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 30# 37
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 34# 47
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 34# 44
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 30# 44
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 28# 70
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 27# 42
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 27# 49
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 34# 39
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 26# 29
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 63
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 39# 84
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 44# 46
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 35# 36
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 33# 34
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 32# 42
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 20# 30
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 33# 47
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 39# 41
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 31# 37
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 35# 40
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 32# 35
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 27# 42
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 26# 33
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 16# 33
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 28# 33
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 17# 60
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 32# 47
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 27# 110
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 22# 64
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 35# 45
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 26# 23
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 29# 15
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 30# 15
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 31# 24
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 34# 19
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 36# 34
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 36# 26
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 37# 31
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 38# 17
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 40# 30
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 41# 38
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 41# 25
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 43# 27
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 43# 27
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 43# 34
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 43# 31
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 46# 25
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 51# 20
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 53# 49
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 57# 40
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 59# 45
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 62# 22
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 88# 45
   
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3263
   
Games Started320
   
Innings Pitched201.362.2
   
Wins185
   
Losses41
   
Saves042
   
Blown Saves05
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed18631
   
Earned Runs6319
   
Home Runs Allowed167
   
Strikeouts14696
   
Walks2931
   
ERA2.832.74
   
WHIP1.070.99
   
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3161
   
Games Started310
   
Innings Pitched191.759.1
   
Wins134
   
Losses92
   
Saves027
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed19236
   
Earned Runs7718
   
Home Runs Allowed216
   
Strikeouts14989
   
Walks3725
   
ERA3.602.69
   
WHIP1.201.04
   
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
News 
 Miles Mikolas fired six scoreless innings and improved to 5-7 in the Cardinals' 5-0 win over the Marlins on Monday. He allowed six hits, walked none, and struck out four.
Elliott Baas
Mon, Jun 17th
Craig Kimbrel will make his first appearance with Triple-A Iowa on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 16th
 Miles Mikolas allowed five runs on eight hits and a walk over five innings on Wednesday against the Marlins. He struck out four and took the loss, falling to 4-7.
Dan Harris
Thu, Jun 13th
Jon Heyman of MLB Network reports Craig Kimbrel and the Cubs have agreed to a three-year, $43 million contract.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 5th
 Mikolas was forced from Friday's game against the Chicago Cubs after pitching just four innings.
James Bisson
Fri, Jun 7th
Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reports the Cubs and Craig Kimbrel have come to terms, pending a physical.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 5th
 Miles Mikolas allowed one run on three hits over seven innings in the Cardinals' 2-1 win over the Cubs on Friday. He walked two and struck out three in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 1st
Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reports the Cubs are "pushing hard" for Craig Kimbrel.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 5th
 Miles Mikolas allowed three runs on seven hits over seven innings in the Cardinals' 5-2 loss to the Braves on Friday. He walked none and struck out nine while falling to 4-5.
Elliott Baas
Sat, May 25th
Craig Kimbrel rumors begin to swirl again after the Brewers lost their closer, Corey Knebel, this week. The standoff between the two is likely money. The Brewers are unable to currently pay the asking price of Kimbrel.
Garett Thomas
Sun, Mar 31st
Notes 
 Mikolas had an incredible season in his first year back from pitching in Japan, posting a 2.83 ERA and 1.07 WHIP while winning 18 games for the Cardinals. His weak strikeout rate is a bit of a detriment in roto leagues with low innings caps, but it isn't too big a deal in points leagues. That said, he's due for a bit of a correction in his BABIP and HRs allowed, which should cause his ERA to rise at least into the mid-3.00s. He can still be a useful fantasy pitcher in most formats, but could be overvalued.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Although still unsigned, it's safe to assume Kimbrel won't settle for a setup role. After all, no reliever in MLB history holsters a lower career FIP than his 1.96. Despite a concerning walk uptick (4.48 BB/9), he posted a 2.74 ERA with 96 strikeouts and 42 saves in 2018. Somewhat surprisingly, his ADP hasn't suffered from a disastrous postseason and drawn-out free agency. That should change now that he remains a free agent in mid-March. Drafters must now consider the higher the likelihood of a delayed or rusty start to the season. Or worse, maybe he actually follows through on his threat to sit out 2019.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 It's easy to dismiss Mikolas' breakout as a fluke. In his first season back from a three-year stint in Japan, the righty registered 18 wins and a 2.83 ERA in 200.2 innings despite collecting just 146 strikeouts. The ERA will at least rise to his 3.28 FIP, if not higher, but the 30-year-old isn't necessarily a full-blown bust waiting to happen. No qualified starter submitted a lower walk rate (3.6%) than Mikolas, who limited hard contact and induced a 49.3% ground-ball rate. Also, he's not some mid-80s junkballer pitching solely to contact. A 9.6% swinging-strike rate finished right above David Price on the leaderboard, so there's at least a path to 160 punchouts. He throws harder, but Mikolas' final line could resemble Kyle Hendricks in 2018 (199 IP, 3.44 ERA, 161 K).
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Kimbrel still hasn't signed so wherever he plays will obviously impact his fantasy upside. Boston would offer plenty more save opportunities, of course, than somewhere like San Diego. You can bank on excellent ratios with nearly 100 Ks regardless, however, so don't hesitate to grab him toward the end of the top tier of closers once again.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros