Who Should I Draft?

Miles Mikolas or Madison Bumgarner (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Madison Bumgarner
SP - SF
Madison Bumgarner
Expert
Recommendation
66%
Recommended by
39 of 59 experts
34%
Recommended by
20 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 33# 38
Best Rank# 16# 18
Worst Rank# 88# 67
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 98# 96
Best Rank# 90# 67
Worst Rank# 105# 108
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts149164
Wins1310
Saves00
ERA3.603.70
WHIP1.201.22
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 32# 39
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 23# 32
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 30# 33
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 34# 35
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 34# 36
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 30# 54
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 43# 48
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 34# 42
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 27# 46
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 31# 35
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 26# 47
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 43
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 39# 56
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 35# 56
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 33# 37
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 43# 49
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 20# 37
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 33# 58
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 39# 43
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 31# 47
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 35# 63
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 37# 48
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 32# 33
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 26# 36
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 29# 47
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 27# 67
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 26# 43
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 36# 44
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 16# 37
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 17# 41
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 38# 54
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 32# 40
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 30# 37
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 27# 43
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 38# 41
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 43# 48
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 22# 45
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 30# 34
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 35# 43
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 27# 18
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 28# 26
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 28# 25
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 32# 28
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 34# 32
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 38# 28
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 40# 31
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 41# 34
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 41# 34
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 41# 36
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 43# 29
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 44# 21
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 46# 39
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 48# 33
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 51# 21
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 53# 42
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 57# 52
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 59# 39
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 62# 52
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 88# 22
   
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Madison Bumgarner
SP - SF
Madison Bumgarner
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3221
   
Games Started3221
   
Innings Pitched201.3130.1
   
Wins186
   
Losses47
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed186118
   
Earned Runs6347
   
Home Runs Allowed1614
   
Strikeouts146109
   
Walks2943
   
ERA2.833.26
   
WHIP1.071.24
   
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Madison Bumgarner
SP - SF
Madison Bumgarner
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3129
   
Games Started3129
   
Innings Pitched191.7181.9
   
Wins1310
   
Losses911
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed192170
   
Earned Runs7775
   
Home Runs Allowed2124
   
Strikeouts149164
   
Walks3751
   
ERA3.603.70
   
WHIP1.201.22
   
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Madison Bumgarner
SP - SF
Madison Bumgarner
News 
 Miles Mikolas (9-14) took the loss Tuesday against the Nationals, allowing three runs on eight hits and one walk across six innings. He struck out four.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 18th
Madison Bumgarner received a no-decision on Saturday against Miami, tossing seven innings of two-run ball while giving up four hits.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Sep 15th
 Miles Mikolas allowed one run on three hits with four walks across five innings in a no-decision against the Pirates on Friday. He struck out seven.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 7th
Madison Bumgarner earned the win on Friday versus the Padres, striking out nine while allowing just one run over seven innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Aug 31st
 Miles Mikolas did not factor into the decision in the first game of Sunday's double header, allowing three runs on four hits and no walks over six innings. He struck out five.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 1st
Madison Bumgarner was handed a no-decision on Saturday, giving up two earned runs over five innings, while recording five strikeouts in the Giants' win over the Athletics.
Mike Falconieri
Mon, Aug 26th
 Miles Mikolas (8-13) earned the win Tuesday against the Brewers, allowing one run on four hits and no walks over six innings. He struck out 10.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Aug 28th
Madison Bumgarner fell to 8-8 on Sunday in Arizona, giving up four runs on six hits over six innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Aug 19th
 Miles Mikolas allowed five runs on eight hits and no walks while striking out five across six innings Thursday against the Rockies. He did not factor into the decision.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Aug 23rd
Madison Bumgarner earned the win on Tuesday versus the A's, striking out nine while spinning seven innings of one-run ball.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Aug 14th
Notes 
 Mikolas had an incredible season in his first year back from pitching in Japan, posting a 2.83 ERA and 1.07 WHIP while winning 18 games for the Cardinals. His weak strikeout rate is a bit of a detriment in roto leagues with low innings caps, but it isn't too big a deal in points leagues. That said, he's due for a bit of a correction in his BABIP and HRs allowed, which should cause his ERA to rise at least into the mid-3.00s. He can still be a useful fantasy pitcher in most formats, but could be overvalued.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Bumgarner was one of the best fantasy starters out there until a couple of years ago, but he hasn't been quite the same since his 2017 dirt bike accident. He has remained a help in ERA thanks to his ability to limit base hits, but his strikeout rate has plummeted and last year his walk rate rose as well. Bumgarner's peripherals suggest he is playing with fire, even in a very pitcher-friendly environment in San Francisco. Still just 29 years old, a big bounce back season cannot be completely discounted, but there is no question that Bumgarner is a risk-reward choice on draft day.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 It's easy to dismiss Mikolas' breakout as a fluke. In his first season back from a three-year stint in Japan, the righty registered 18 wins and a 2.83 ERA in 200.2 innings despite collecting just 146 strikeouts. The ERA will at least rise to his 3.28 FIP, if not higher, but the 30-year-old isn't necessarily a full-blown bust waiting to happen. No qualified starter submitted a lower walk rate (3.6%) than Mikolas, who limited hard contact and induced a 49.3% ground-ball rate. Also, he's not some mid-80s junkballer pitching solely to contact. A 9.6% swinging-strike rate finished right above David Price on the leaderboard, so there's at least a path to 160 punchouts. He throws harder, but Mikolas' final line could resemble Kyle Hendricks in 2018 (199 IP, 3.44 ERA, 161 K).
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
A dirt-bike accident in 2017 and broken hand suffered last spring limited Bumgarner to 240.2 combined innings in the past two seasons. He had previously exceeded 200 in each of the last six seasons. While he could regain his workhorse label in 2019, the 29-year-old must combat declines in velocity, swinging strikes (9.2%), and strikeouts (19.8%). Don't pay for past success, but take him as a stable, high-floor SP3 if everyone else is fading the owner of a career 3.03 ERA.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros