Who Should I Draft?

Miles Mikolas or Madison Bumgarner (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Madison Bumgarner
SP - SF
Madison Bumgarner
Expert
Recommendation
66%
Recommended by
37 of 56 experts
34%
Recommended by
19 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 33# 38
Best Rank# 16# 18
Worst Rank# 88# 67
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 98# 96
Best Rank# 90# 67
Worst Rank# 105# 108
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts149164
Wins1310
Saves00
ERA3.603.70
WHIP1.201.22
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 32# 39
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 23# 32
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 30# 33
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 34# 35
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 34# 36
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 30# 54
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 43# 48
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 34# 42
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 27# 46
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 31# 35
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 26# 47
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 43
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 39# 56
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 35# 56
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 33# 37
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 43# 49
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 20# 37
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 33# 58
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 39# 43
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 31# 47
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 35# 63
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 37# 48
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 32# 33
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 26# 36
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 29# 47
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 27# 67
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 26# 43
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 36# 44
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 16# 37
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 17# 41
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 38# 54
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 32# 40
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 27# 43
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 43# 48
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 22# 45
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 30# 34
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 35# 43
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 27# 18
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 28# 26
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 28# 25
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 32# 28
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 34# 32
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 36# 34
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 40# 31
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 41# 34
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 41# 34
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 41# 36
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 43# 29
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 44# 21
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 46# 39
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 51# 21
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 53# 42
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 57# 52
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 59# 39
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 62# 52
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 88# 22
   
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Madison Bumgarner
SP - SF
Madison Bumgarner
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3221
   
Games Started3221
   
Innings Pitched201.3130.1
   
Wins186
   
Losses47
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed186118
   
Earned Runs6347
   
Home Runs Allowed1614
   
Strikeouts146109
   
Walks2943
   
ERA2.833.26
   
WHIP1.071.24
   
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Madison Bumgarner
SP - SF
Madison Bumgarner
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3129
   
Games Started3129
   
Innings Pitched191.7181.9
   
Wins1310
   
Losses911
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed192170
   
Earned Runs7775
   
Home Runs Allowed2124
   
Strikeouts149164
   
Walks3751
   
ERA3.603.70
   
WHIP1.201.22
   
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Madison Bumgarner
SP - SF
Madison Bumgarner
News 
 Miles Mikolas allowed five runs on eight hits and a walk over five innings on Wednesday against the Marlins. He struck out four and took the loss, falling to 4-7.
Dan Harris
Thu, Jun 13th
Madison Bumgarner fell to 3-6 on Sunday versus the Dodgers, spinning seven innings of one-run ball while striking out five.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 9th
 Mikolas was forced from Friday's game against the Chicago Cubs after pitching just four innings.
James Bisson
Fri, Jun 7th
Madison Bumgarner received a no-decision on Tuesday versus the Mets, throwing six innings of three-run ball while striking out five.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 4th
 Miles Mikolas allowed one run on three hits over seven innings in the Cardinals' 2-1 win over the Cubs on Friday. He walked two and struck out three in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 1st
Madison Bumgarner fell to 3-5 on Wednesday in Miami, giving up two runs on six hits over six innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, May 30th
 Miles Mikolas allowed three runs on seven hits over seven innings in the Cardinals' 5-2 loss to the Braves on Friday. He walked none and struck out nine while falling to 4-5.
Elliott Baas
Sat, May 25th
Madison Bumgarner received a no-decision on Thursday versus Atlanta, allowing two runs on six hits over six solid innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, May 23rd
 Miles Mikolas allowed seven runs on nine hits over 1.1 innings in the Cardinals' 7-3 loss to the Rangers on Friday. He walked none and struck out two while falling to 4-4.
Elliott Baas
Sat, May 18th
Madison Bumgarner improved to 3-4 on Saturday in Arizona, allowing four runs on five hits over 6 1/3 innings, striking out six and walking three along the way.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, May 19th
Notes 
 Mikolas had an incredible season in his first year back from pitching in Japan, posting a 2.83 ERA and 1.07 WHIP while winning 18 games for the Cardinals. His weak strikeout rate is a bit of a detriment in roto leagues with low innings caps, but it isn't too big a deal in points leagues. That said, he's due for a bit of a correction in his BABIP and HRs allowed, which should cause his ERA to rise at least into the mid-3.00s. He can still be a useful fantasy pitcher in most formats, but could be overvalued.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Bumgarner was one of the best fantasy starters out there until a couple of years ago, but he hasn't been quite the same since his 2017 dirt bike accident. He has remained a help in ERA thanks to his ability to limit base hits, but his strikeout rate has plummeted and last year his walk rate rose as well. Bumgarner's peripherals suggest he is playing with fire, even in a very pitcher-friendly environment in San Francisco. Still just 29 years old, a big bounce back season cannot be completely discounted, but there is no question that Bumgarner is a risk-reward choice on draft day.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 It's easy to dismiss Mikolas' breakout as a fluke. In his first season back from a three-year stint in Japan, the righty registered 18 wins and a 2.83 ERA in 200.2 innings despite collecting just 146 strikeouts. The ERA will at least rise to his 3.28 FIP, if not higher, but the 30-year-old isn't necessarily a full-blown bust waiting to happen. No qualified starter submitted a lower walk rate (3.6%) than Mikolas, who limited hard contact and induced a 49.3% ground-ball rate. Also, he's not some mid-80s junkballer pitching solely to contact. A 9.6% swinging-strike rate finished right above David Price on the leaderboard, so there's at least a path to 160 punchouts. He throws harder, but Mikolas' final line could resemble Kyle Hendricks in 2018 (199 IP, 3.44 ERA, 161 K).
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
A dirt-bike accident in 2017 and broken hand suffered last spring limited Bumgarner to 240.2 combined innings in the past two seasons. He had previously exceeded 200 in each of the last six seasons. While he could regain his workhorse label in 2019, the 29-year-old must combat declines in velocity, swinging strikes (9.2%), and strikeouts (19.8%). Don't pay for past success, but take him as a stable, high-floor SP3 if everyone else is fading the owner of a career 3.03 ERA.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros