Who Should I Draft?

Miles Mikolas or Masahiro Tanaka (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
Expert
Recommendation
64%
Recommended by
36 of 56 experts
36%
Recommended by
20 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 33# 35
Best Rank# 16# 20
Worst Rank# 88# 60
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 98# 120
Best Rank# 90# 97
Worst Rank# 105# 129
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts149166
Wins1312
Saves00
ERA3.603.80
WHIP1.201.17
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 23# 27
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 30# 43
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 34# 37
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 30# 32
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 28# 38
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 43# 51
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 27# 39
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 31# 40
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 34# 41
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 26# 44
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 39# 41
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 33# 35
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 32# 37
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 20# 43
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 33# 53
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 41# 60
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 31# 34
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 35# 39
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 37# 41
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 36# 39
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 32# 36
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 26# 40
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 27# 35
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 26# 29
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 36# 39
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 16# 44
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 28# 41
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 40# 50
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 17# 30
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 38# 42
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 43# 45
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 32# 39
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 27# 35
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 22# 31
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 30# 37
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 35# 38
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 23
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 27# 20
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 29# 27
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 32# 31
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 34# 29
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 34# 32
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 35# 27
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 39# 36
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 41# 37
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 41# 38
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 43# 35
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 43# 30
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 44# 43
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 46# 42
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 51# 31
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 53# 48
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 57# 51
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 59# 42
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 62# 54
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 88# 48
   
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3227
   
Games Started3227
   
Innings Pitched201.3156.0
   
Wins1812
   
Losses46
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed186141
   
Earned Runs6365
   
Home Runs Allowed1625
   
Strikeouts146159
   
Walks2935
   
ERA2.833.75
   
WHIP1.071.13
   
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3128
   
Games Started3128
   
Innings Pitched191.7165.0
   
Wins1312
   
Losses98
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed192156
   
Earned Runs7770
   
Home Runs Allowed2124
   
Strikeouts149166
   
Walks3738
   
ERA3.603.80
   
WHIP1.201.17
   
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
News 
 Miles Mikolas allowed one run on seven hits over five innings in the Cardinals' 6-4 loss to the Angels on Sunday. He walked two and struck out four while falling to 5-8.
Elliott Baas
Mon, Jun 24th
Masahiro Tanaka didn't factor into the decision in Saturday's 7-5 win over the Astros, giving up two runs on eight hits and a walk over six innings while striking out one.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 23rd
 Miles Mikolas fired six scoreless innings and improved to 5-7 in the Cardinals' 5-0 win over the Marlins on Monday. He allowed six hits, walked none, and struck out four.
Elliott Baas
Mon, Jun 17th
Masahiro Tanaka picked up the win Monday in a 3-0 victory over the Rays, giving up two hits and a walk over nine shutout innings while striking out a season-high 10.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 18th
 Miles Mikolas allowed five runs on eight hits and a walk over five innings on Wednesday against the Marlins. He struck out four and took the loss, falling to 4-7.
Dan Harris
Thu, Jun 13th
Masahiro Tanaka gave up five runs (four earned) on seven hits while striking out seven and not walking a batter over 6 2/3 innings in a win over the Mets on Tuesday.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 11th
 Mikolas was forced from Friday's game against the Chicago Cubs after pitching just four innings.
James Bisson
Fri, Jun 7th
Monday’s game between the Mets and Yankees has been postponed due to rain.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jun 10th
 Miles Mikolas allowed one run on three hits over seven innings in the Cardinals' 2-1 win over the Cubs on Friday. He walked two and struck out three in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 1st
Tanaka will return from the paternity list to start Monday against the Mets.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Jun 8th
Notes 
 Mikolas had an incredible season in his first year back from pitching in Japan, posting a 2.83 ERA and 1.07 WHIP while winning 18 games for the Cardinals. His weak strikeout rate is a bit of a detriment in roto leagues with low innings caps, but it isn't too big a deal in points leagues. That said, he's due for a bit of a correction in his BABIP and HRs allowed, which should cause his ERA to rise at least into the mid-3.00s. He can still be a useful fantasy pitcher in most formats, but could be overvalued.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Tanaka was basically the same pitcher last year as he was in 2017, but he shaved a run off of his ERA thanks to slight improvements in BABIP allowed, home runs allowed, and left-on-base percentage. Still, home runs remain an issue for Tanaka, which explains why his ERA generally lags behind his WHIP. He's also never made it to 200 innings, so he's not exactly a workhorse. At this point we should just accept Tanaka for what he is: a solid third or fourth fantasy starter.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 It's easy to dismiss Mikolas' breakout as a fluke. In his first season back from a three-year stint in Japan, the righty registered 18 wins and a 2.83 ERA in 200.2 innings despite collecting just 146 strikeouts. The ERA will at least rise to his 3.28 FIP, if not higher, but the 30-year-old isn't necessarily a full-blown bust waiting to happen. No qualified starter submitted a lower walk rate (3.6%) than Mikolas, who limited hard contact and induced a 49.3% ground-ball rate. Also, he's not some mid-80s junkballer pitching solely to contact. A 9.6% swinging-strike rate finished right above David Price on the leaderboard, so there's at least a path to 160 punchouts. He throws harder, but Mikolas' final line could resemble Kyle Hendricks in 2018 (199 IP, 3.44 ERA, 161 K).
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Tanaka's xFIP (3.42) and SIERA (3.50) dropped 0.02 points apiece, but his ERA plunged nearly a full run from 4.74 to 3.75. That works just fine when paired with a 1.13 WHIP and 9.17 K/9. His elite skills support last season's approved ERA if he can avoid home-run catastrophe in Yankee Stadium. Just prepare to assume some added volatility when his splitter isn't clicking, and he's more likely to work 160 innings than 190. Those risks are all factored into his reasonable SP3 price.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros