Who Should I Draft?

Miles Mikolas or Robbie Ray (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
Expert
Recommendation
71%
Recommended by
42 of 59 experts
29%
Recommended by
17 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 33# 39
Best Rank# 16# 26
Worst Rank# 88# 118
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 98# 116
Best Rank# 90# 110
Worst Rank# 105# 133
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts149205
Wins1310
Saves00
ERA3.603.75
WHIP1.201.30
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 32# 36
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 23# 34
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 30# 39
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 34# 59
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 30# 41
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 28# 31
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 43# 73
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 27# 40
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 31# 37
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 27# 39
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 34# 51
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 26# 35
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 40
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 44# 118
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 33# 40
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 32# 48
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 20# 46
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 33# 38
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 39# 49
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 31# 38
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 35# 43
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 37# 44
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 32# 44
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 26# 38
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 29# 50
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 27# 39
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 26# 49
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 36# 40
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 16# 42
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 28# 34
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 40# 45
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 17# 35
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 57# 65
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 38# 46
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 32# 33
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 41# 47
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 30# 39
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 27# 68
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 38# 43
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 22# 50
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 30# 41
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 35# 37
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 34# 32
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 34# 29
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 35# 33
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 38# 35
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 39# 34
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 41# 31
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 41# 36
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 43# 42
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 43# 36
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 43# 26
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 46# 29
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 48# 28
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 51# 40
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 53# 50
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 59# 31
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 62# 41
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 88# 81
   
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3224
   
Games Started3224
   
Innings Pitched201.3124.1
   
Wins186
   
Losses42
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed18697
   
Earned Runs6354
   
Home Runs Allowed1619
   
Strikeouts146165
   
Walks2970
   
ERA2.833.93
   
WHIP1.071.35
   
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3129
   
Games Started3129
   
Innings Pitched191.7160.1
   
Wins1310
   
Losses98
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed192133
   
Earned Runs7767
   
Home Runs Allowed2121
   
Strikeouts149205
   
Walks3775
   
ERA3.603.75
   
WHIP1.201.30
   
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
News 
 Miles Mikolas allowed one run on three hits with four walks across five innings in a no-decision against the Pirates on Friday. He struck out seven.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 7th
Robbie Ray (blister) is scheduled to make his next start on Wednesday versus the Mets.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Sep 10th
 Miles Mikolas did not factor into the decision in the first game of Sunday's double header, allowing three runs on four hits and no walks over six innings. He struck out five.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 1st
Robbie Ray left his start Friday against the Reds with an undisclosed injury which appeared to be on his left hand.
Brad Camara
Fri, Sep 6th
 Miles Mikolas (8-13) earned the win Tuesday against the Brewers, allowing one run on four hits and no walks over six innings. He struck out 10.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Aug 28th
Robbie Ray picked up his 12th win of the year on Saturday against the Dodgers, allowing four runs over five innings while striking out six.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Aug 31st
 Miles Mikolas allowed five runs on eight hits and no walks while striking out five across six innings Thursday against the Rockies. He did not factor into the decision.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Aug 23rd
Robbie Ray improved to 11-7 on Sunday in Milwaukee, tossing five shutout innings while striking out six.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Aug 25th
 Miles Mikolas (7-13) allowed five runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out five over five innings in Saturday's 6-1 loss to the Reds. He took his 13th loss of the season.
Brad Camara
Sun, Aug 18th
Robbie Ray (back) will start Sunday against the Brewers.
Brad Camara
Sat, Aug 24th
Notes 
 Mikolas had an incredible season in his first year back from pitching in Japan, posting a 2.83 ERA and 1.07 WHIP while winning 18 games for the Cardinals. His weak strikeout rate is a bit of a detriment in roto leagues with low innings caps, but it isn't too big a deal in points leagues. That said, he's due for a bit of a correction in his BABIP and HRs allowed, which should cause his ERA to rise at least into the mid-3.00s. He can still be a useful fantasy pitcher in most formats, but could be overvalued.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Ray took a big step backward last year in the ratios but still racked up 165 Ks in just over 120 innings pitcher. There is still upside for an ace pitcher here and the floor may be about what we got last year which didn't kill anyone's championship hopes. He makes for a quality mid-round pick.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 It's easy to dismiss Mikolas' breakout as a fluke. In his first season back from a three-year stint in Japan, the righty registered 18 wins and a 2.83 ERA in 200.2 innings despite collecting just 146 strikeouts. The ERA will at least rise to his 3.28 FIP, if not higher, but the 30-year-old isn't necessarily a full-blown bust waiting to happen. No qualified starter submitted a lower walk rate (3.6%) than Mikolas, who limited hard contact and induced a 49.3% ground-ball rate. Also, he's not some mid-80s junkballer pitching solely to contact. A 9.6% swinging-strike rate finished right above David Price on the leaderboard, so there's at least a path to 160 punchouts. He throws harder, but Mikolas' final line could resemble Kyle Hendricks in 2018 (199 IP, 3.44 ERA, 161 K).
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Ray was an obvious regression candidate coming off his phenomenal 2017 season, and regress he did. While his strikeout rate remained elite, his walk rate ballooned to over 5.00 per nine innings, inflating his WHIP back up to 1.35. Ray is really hard to hit, so he's capable of keeping his ERA under 4.00, but the WHIP isn't likely to be pretty, which makes him hard to rely on as a weekly starter in standard mixed leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
  Everything went right for Ray in 2017, when he registered a 2.89 ERA despite a 3.94 BB/9 and 3.72 FIP. An oblique strain limited him to just 123.2 innings in 24 starts last season, and 70 walks led to a 3.93 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. He remained just as tough to hit with a .215 batting average against and 12.01 K/9, so he could bounce back to the 218 strikeouts procured in 2016 and 2017 even if again held below 175 frames. Yet the ballooning walk rate makes him a WHIP liability, and run support could be scarce from a ransacked Diamondbacks lineup.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros