Who Should I Draft?

Miles Mikolas or Robbie Ray (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
Expert
Recommendation
73%
Recommended by
41 of 56 experts
27%
Recommended by
15 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 33# 40
Best Rank# 16# 26
Worst Rank# 88# 118
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 98# 116
Best Rank# 90# 110
Worst Rank# 105# 133
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts149205
Wins1310
Saves00
ERA3.603.75
WHIP1.201.30
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 32# 36
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 23# 34
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 30# 39
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 34# 59
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 30# 41
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 28# 31
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 43# 73
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 27# 40
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 31# 37
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 27# 39
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 34# 51
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 26# 35
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 40
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 44# 118
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 33# 40
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 32# 48
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 20# 46
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 33# 38
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 39# 49
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 31# 38
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 35# 43
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 37# 44
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 36# 41
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 32# 44
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 26# 38
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 29# 50
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 27# 39
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 26# 49
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 36# 40
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 16# 42
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 28# 34
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 40# 45
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 17# 35
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 57# 65
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 38# 46
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 32# 33
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 41# 47
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 27# 68
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 22# 50
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 30# 41
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 35# 37
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 34# 32
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 34# 29
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 35# 33
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 39# 34
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 41# 31
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 41# 36
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 43# 42
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 43# 36
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 43# 26
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 46# 29
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 51# 40
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 53# 50
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 59# 31
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 62# 41
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 88# 81
   
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3224
   
Games Started3224
   
Innings Pitched201.3124.1
   
Wins186
   
Losses42
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed18697
   
Earned Runs6354
   
Home Runs Allowed1619
   
Strikeouts146165
   
Walks2970
   
ERA2.833.93
   
WHIP1.071.35
   
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3129
   
Games Started3129
   
Innings Pitched191.7160.1
   
Wins1310
   
Losses98
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed192133
   
Earned Runs7767
   
Home Runs Allowed2121
   
Strikeouts149205
   
Walks3775
   
ERA3.603.75
   
WHIP1.201.30
   
  Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
News 
 Miles Mikolas allowed five runs on eight hits and a walk over five innings on Wednesday against the Marlins. He struck out four and took the loss, falling to 4-7.
Dan Harris
Thu, Jun 13th
Robbie Ray fell to 5-4 on Friday versus the Nationals, giving up five runs on five hits in six innings of work.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 15th
 Mikolas was forced from Friday's game against the Chicago Cubs after pitching just four innings.
James Bisson
Fri, Jun 7th
Robbie Ray improved to 5-3 on Sunday in Toronto, throwing 6 2/3 innings of two-run ball while striking out 10.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 9th
 Miles Mikolas allowed one run on three hits over seven innings in the Cardinals' 2-1 win over the Cubs on Friday. He walked two and struck out three in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 1st
Robbie Ray fell to 4-3 on Monday versus the Dodgers, allowing three runs on six hits in seven innings of work.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 4th
 Miles Mikolas allowed three runs on seven hits over seven innings in the Cardinals' 5-2 loss to the Braves on Friday. He walked none and struck out nine while falling to 4-5.
Elliott Baas
Sat, May 25th
Robbie Ray fell to 4-2 on Wednesday in Colorado, giving up five runs (four earned) on eight hits in just 4 2/3 innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, May 30th
 Miles Mikolas allowed seven runs on nine hits over 1.1 innings in the Cardinals' 7-3 loss to the Rangers on Friday. He walked none and struck out two while falling to 4-4.
Elliott Baas
Sat, May 18th
Robbie Ray improved to 4-1 on Friday in San Francisco, striking out nine while allowing two runs on five hits over 5 1/3 innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, May 25th
Notes 
 Mikolas had an incredible season in his first year back from pitching in Japan, posting a 2.83 ERA and 1.07 WHIP while winning 18 games for the Cardinals. His weak strikeout rate is a bit of a detriment in roto leagues with low innings caps, but it isn't too big a deal in points leagues. That said, he's due for a bit of a correction in his BABIP and HRs allowed, which should cause his ERA to rise at least into the mid-3.00s. He can still be a useful fantasy pitcher in most formats, but could be overvalued.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Ray took a big step backward last year in the ratios but still racked up 165 Ks in just over 120 innings pitcher. There is still upside for an ace pitcher here and the floor may be about what we got last year which didn't kill anyone's championship hopes. He makes for a quality mid-round pick.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 It's easy to dismiss Mikolas' breakout as a fluke. In his first season back from a three-year stint in Japan, the righty registered 18 wins and a 2.83 ERA in 200.2 innings despite collecting just 146 strikeouts. The ERA will at least rise to his 3.28 FIP, if not higher, but the 30-year-old isn't necessarily a full-blown bust waiting to happen. No qualified starter submitted a lower walk rate (3.6%) than Mikolas, who limited hard contact and induced a 49.3% ground-ball rate. Also, he's not some mid-80s junkballer pitching solely to contact. A 9.6% swinging-strike rate finished right above David Price on the leaderboard, so there's at least a path to 160 punchouts. He throws harder, but Mikolas' final line could resemble Kyle Hendricks in 2018 (199 IP, 3.44 ERA, 161 K).
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Ray was an obvious regression candidate coming off his phenomenal 2017 season, and regress he did. While his strikeout rate remained elite, his walk rate ballooned to over 5.00 per nine innings, inflating his WHIP back up to 1.35. Ray is really hard to hit, so he's capable of keeping his ERA under 4.00, but the WHIP isn't likely to be pretty, which makes him hard to rely on as a weekly starter in standard mixed leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
  Everything went right for Ray in 2017, when he registered a 2.89 ERA despite a 3.94 BB/9 and 3.72 FIP. An oblique strain limited him to just 123.2 innings in 24 starts last season, and 70 walks led to a 3.93 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. He remained just as tough to hit with a .215 batting average against and 12.01 K/9, so he could bounce back to the 218 strikeouts procured in 2016 and 2017 even if again held below 175 frames. Yet the ballooning walk rate makes him a WHIP liability, and run support could be scarce from a ransacked Diamondbacks lineup.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros