Skip to main content

Who Should I Draft?

Mitch Keller or Will Smith (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Will Smith
RP - ATL
Will Smith
Mitch Keller
SP - PIT
Mitch Keller
Expert
Recommendation
94%
Recommended by
46 of 49 experts
6%
Recommended by
3 of 49 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 72# 134
Best Rank# 25# 89
Worst Rank# 112# 310
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 162# 426
Best Rank# 146# 311
Worst Rank# 193# 439
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts77126
Wins47
Saves190
ERA3.454.45
WHIP1.111.38
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-MiLB
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 92
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 66# 125
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 64
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 54# 161
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 70# 121
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 75# 172
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 50# 146
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 25
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 41
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 53
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 51# 129
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 82
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 96# 122
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 101# 135
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 53# 310
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 46# 141
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 65# 144
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 43
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 53
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 57
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 71# 175
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 56# 108
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 73# 141
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 75# 131
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 71# 102
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 85
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 54# 103
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 50# 105
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 80
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 69# 136
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 97# 117
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 51# 183
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 37# 169
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 111# 133
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 68
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 91
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 35# 180
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 81
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 67# 165
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 46
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 60
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 74
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 34# 264
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 99# 130
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 62
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 83
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 89
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 99
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 112# 106
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Will Smith
RP - ATL
Will Smith
Mitch Keller
SP - PIT
Mitch Keller
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played185
   
Games Started05
   
Innings Pitched16.122.1
   
Wins21
   
Losses21
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves10
   
Holds60
   
Hits Allowed119
   
Earned Runs87
   
Home Runs Allowed74
   
Strikeouts1816
   
Walks418
   
ERA4.502.91
   
WHIP0.941.25
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Will Smith
RP - ATL
Will Smith
Mitch Keller
SP - PIT
Mitch Keller
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played6225
   
Games Started025
   
Innings Pitched59.8126.8
   
Wins47
   
Losses38
   
Saves190
   
Blown Saves80
   
Holds80
   
Hits Allowed48122
   
Earned Runs2363
   
Home Runs Allowed918
   
Strikeouts77126
   
Walks1953
   
ERA3.454.45
   
WHIP1.111.38
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Will Smith
RP - ATL
Will Smith
Mitch Keller
SP - PIT
Mitch Keller
News 
 Will Smith pitched the ninth inning against the Marlins Sunday, striking one batter out while earning his 12th save of the year.
Steve Painter
Sun, Jun 13th
The Pirates optioned RHP Mitch Keller to Triple-A Indianapolis.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 12th
 Will Smith pitched the ninth inning or 2/3 of it, allowing one hit, two runs (both earned), and one walk while striking out one batter. He fell victim to a walk-off two-run homer that resulted in his 5th loss and first blown save of the season.
Steve Painter
Wed, Jun 9th
Mitch Keller (3-7) took the loss Thursday against the Dodgers, allowing four runs on five hits and three walks in 2.2 innings. He struck out three.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Jun 10th
 Will Smith pitched the ninth inning against the Dodgers Sunday, allowing a solo shot from Albert Pujols while striking another batter out. He preserved the lead, earning his 11th save of the season.
Steve Painter
Sun, Jun 6th
Pirates starting pitcher Mitch Keller lands on the COVID-19 injured list on Sunday. This comes a day or two after leaving for a heat-related illness.
Corbin Young
Sun, Jun 6th
 Will Smith pitched the ninth inning against the Dodgers Saturday, striking out all three batters he faced and preserving the Braves 6-4 win. It was his 10th save of the year.
Steve Painter
Sun, Jun 6th
Mitch Keller was removed from Friday's game with heat-related illness. He allowed two runs on two hits and three walks while striking out two in two innings.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Jun 5th
 Will Smith pitched the ninth inning against the Nationals Monday, recorded one strikeout, and earned his ninth save.
Steve Painter
Tue, Jun 1st
Mitch Keller (3-6) earned the win Saturday against the Rockies, tossing five scoreless innings while allowing two hits and two walks. He struck out six.
Connor Rooney
Sat, May 29th
Notes 
 Smith had a rough 2020 season, losing several weeks to a bout with COVID-19 and being far less effective than usual when he did pitch. His dominant slider just wasn't the same, as batters hit .263 (after never hitting better than .193) and tallied a .398 wOBA (after never totaling higher than .282) against it. But Brian Snitker appears to be willing to throw out Smith's poor season almost entirely. Although he hasn't named Smith the closer, he has professed his confidence in him, and there's been speculation from beat writers that Smith will ultimately win the role after a battle with Chris Martin and A.J. Minter. Draft Smith as the presumptive closer unless you hear otherwise from Braves camp.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
In his brief MLB career, Keller is the author of one of the unluckiest (2019) and luckiest (2020) seasons in recent memory. So, the best course of action is to essentially ignore his 69 major league innings and focus on his stuff and minor league career. If you do that, there's a lot to like. Keller has a mid-90s fastball to go along with an above average slider and curveball. Over more than 500 minor league innings, he had a 25.5% strikeout rate, a 3.12 ERA, and a 1.15 WHIP. He will likely struggle for wins on the Pirates, but he'll also get a long leash given the dearth of reliable options, and he should face mostly weak offenses in the NL Central. Keller likely won't be a star, but he'll probably outperform where you need to draft him.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros