Skip to main content

Who Should I Draft?

Nelson Cruz or Nick Castellanos (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Nelson Cruz
DH - MIN
Nelson Cruz
Nick Castellanos
LF,RF - CIN
Nick Castellanos
Expert
Recommendation
56%
Recommended by
28 of 50 experts
44%
Recommended by
22 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 43# 44
Best Rank# 25# 21
Worst Rank# 79# 64
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 85# 74
Best Rank# 64# 58
Worst Rank# 92# 86
   
Projections 
   
Runs7692
Home Runs3430
RBI8986
Stolen Bases12
Batting Average.269.269
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 56
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 40# 61
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 41# 46
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 40# 43
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 31# 46
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 36# 58
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 41# 51
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 43# 44
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 37# 56
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 39# 42
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 39# 48
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 44# 45
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 31# 54
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 43# 49
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 43# 50
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 33# 48
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 38# 58
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 45# 54
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 41# 49
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 44# 47
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 39# 47
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 42# 48
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 25# 61
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 36# 39
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 30# 64
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 43# 45
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 36# 40
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 35# 48
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 31# 30
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 35# 31
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 42# 30
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 43# 42
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 45# 38
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 47# 30
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 47# 41
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 48# 26
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 49# 44
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 51# 46
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 52# 39
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 52# 51
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 52# 39
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 56# 50
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 57# 37
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 60# 37
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 61# 31
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 65# 21
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 68# 60
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 70# 52
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 76# 52
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 79# 46
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Nelson Cruz
DH - MIN
Nelson Cruz
Nick Castellanos
LF,RF - CIN
Nick Castellanos
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats185218
   
Runs3337
   
Hits5649
   
Singles3422
   
Doubles611
   
Triples02
   
Home Runs1614
   
RBI3334
   
Stolen Bases00
   
Caught Stealing02
   
Walks2519
   
Strikeouts5869
   
Batting Average.303.225
   
On Base Pct.397.298
   
Slugging Pct.595.486
   
On-base Plus Slugging.992.784
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Nelson Cruz
DH - MIN
Nelson Cruz
Nick Castellanos
LF,RF - CIN
Nick Castellanos
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats495585
   
Runs7692
   
Hits132156
   
Singles7582
   
Doubles2241
   
Triples14
   
Home Runs3430
   
RBI8986
   
Stolen Bases12
   
Caught Stealing02
   
Walks5747
   
Strikeouts143158
   
Batting Average.269.269
   
On Base Pct.344.324
   
Slugging Pct.524.503
   
On-base Plus Slugging.868.827
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Nelson Cruz
DH - MIN
Nelson Cruz
Nick Castellanos
LF,RF - CIN
Nick Castellanos
News 
 Minnesota Twins DH Nelson Cruz went 2-for-4 in a 3-1 loss to the Rangers on Wednesday.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, May 6th
Reds outfielder Nick Castellanos was scratched from Wednesday's game due to back tightness. He left Tuesday's game for that reason.
Corbin Young
Wed, May 5th
 Minnesota Twins DH Nelson Cruz went 1-for-4 with a two-run homer in an 11-3 loss to the Royals on Saturday.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, May 1st
Nick Castellanos went 5-for-6 with two home runs, four RBI, and four runs scored in Sunday's win over the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Sun, May 2nd
 Minnesota DH Nelson Cruz went 0-for-2 with a run, an RBI, and two walks in a 9-1 win over the Royals on Friday.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, May 1st
Nick Castellanos went 1-for-5 with an RBI single in Saturday's loss to the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Sat, May 1st
 Minnesota Twins DH Nelson Cruz went 1-for-4 with a solo homer in a 6-2 loss to the Pirates on Sunday.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Apr 25th
Nick Castellanos went 2-for-3 with a double, two walks, an RBI, a run scored, and a stolen base in Monday's win over the Dodgers.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Apr 27th
 Minnesota DH Nelson Cruz went 2-for-5 with two homers and four RBI in a 13-12 loss to Oakland on Wednesday.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Apr 21st
Nick Castellanos went 1-for-5 with a solo home run in Friday's loss to the Cardinals.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Apr 24th
Notes 
 If you ascribe to the "I'd rather jump off a year too early than too late" philosophy, then you probably haven't been drafting Cruz for the last several years. But if not, then you've not only drafted one of the most underrated fantasy bats in recent memory, but you're probably going to do so again this year. Cruz is back on a one-year deal with the Twins, and he's coming off another utterly dominant season. Fine, his strikeout rate rose again a bit, he didn't hit the ball quite as hard, and he's eligible at utility only. But other than the fact that he will be 41 years old this season, there's nothing in his profile that should cause you to expect significant decline. Prepare to be having the same debate next year, after Crus puts up another 35-homer season this year.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Castellanos hit for plenty of power last season with the Reds, but it was far from the full breakout season many expected. His strikeout rate jumped to 28.5%, his batting average cratered to a career-low .225, and his wOBA was his worst mark since 2015. But Castellanos was also the victim of some pretty terrible luck, given that he had an expected batting average of .273 and a strong 46.7% hard-hit rate. With a full year in Great American Ballpark, Castellanos should fully live up to the hype he had coming into the 2020 season if he can just have even normal luck. Draft him with confidence as a likely strong four-category contributor.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Castellanos posted a career-high ISO in 2020, but it hardly mattered due to a career-worst .257 BABIP. His previous career-low was .294 back in 2013. That number was above .300 in every other season of his career. We saw a glimpse of what he looked like when everything was clicking, and Castellanos appeared to be one of the best hitters in baseball early on in 2020. The expected stats still look great, which makes him someone to invest in come draft day.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros