Who Should I Draft?

Nelson Cruz or Tommy Pham (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Tommy Pham
LF,CF - TB
Tommy Pham
Nelson Cruz
DH - MIN
Nelson Cruz
Expert
Recommendation
51%
Recommended by
30 of 59 experts
49%
Recommended by
29 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 42# 40
Best Rank# 24# 4
Worst Rank# 82# 71
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 72# 91
Best Rank# 60# 82
Worst Rank# 73# 105
   
Projections 
   
Runs9182
Home Runs2236
RBI71102
Stolen Bases171
Batting Average.272.274
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 44# 53
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 39# 47
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 46# 58
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 34# 36
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 30# 45
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 36# 44
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 24# 35
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 36# 44
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 49# 62
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 45# 51
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 26# 56
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 42# 49
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 41# 43
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 36# 47
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 36# 43
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 38# 51
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 41# 45
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 34# 44
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 36# 38
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 36# 43
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 40# 58
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 37# 65
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 31# 45
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 34# 42
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 34# 43
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 34# 43
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 40# 71
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 36# 48
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 60# 65
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 40# 55
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 51# 4
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 57# 19
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 38# 20
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 77# 21
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 72# 27
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 45# 34
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 39# 35
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 39# 35
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 54# 36
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 42# 37
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 50# 38
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 47# 39
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 41# 39
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 62# 39
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 55# 40
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 46# 40
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 51# 40
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 44# 41
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 58# 41
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 45# 43
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 47# 43
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 44# 43
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 49# 43
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 47# 44
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 82# 44
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 81# 45
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 53# 45
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 73# 48
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 53# 52
   
  Tommy Pham
LF,CF - TB
Tommy Pham
Nelson Cruz
DH - MIN
Nelson Cruz
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats494519
   
Runs10270
   
Hits136133
   
Singles9177
   
Doubles1818
   
Triples61
   
Home Runs2137
   
RBI6397
   
Stolen Bases151
   
Caught Stealing70
   
Walks6755
   
Strikeouts140122
   
Batting Average.275.256
   
On Base Pct.367.342
   
Slugging Pct.464.509
   
On-base Plus Slugging.830.851
   
  Tommy Pham
LF,CF - TB
Tommy Pham
Nelson Cruz
DH - MIN
Nelson Cruz
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats508525
   
Runs9182
   
Hits138144
   
Singles9083
   
Doubles2223
   
Triples41
   
Home Runs2236
   
RBI71102
   
Stolen Bases171
   
Caught Stealing60
   
Walks6956
   
Strikeouts146126
   
Batting Average.272.274
   
On Base Pct.359.343
   
Slugging Pct.462.526
   
On-base Plus Slugging.820.870
   
  Tommy Pham
LF,CF - TB
Tommy Pham
Nelson Cruz
DH - MIN
Nelson Cruz
News 
 Tommy Pham went 5-for-6 with a two-run double, a stolen base and three runs scored to lead the Rays to an 8-7 victory over the Dodgers in extra innings on Wednesday.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 19th
Minnesota Twins DH Nelson Cruz went 2-for-3 with a homer, two walks, four runs, and an RBI in a 12-8 win over the Royals on Sunday.
Matthew Terelle
Mon, Sep 23rd
 Tommy Pham went 1-for-3 with a walk, an RBI and scored two runs as the Rays beat the Angels by an 11-4 score on Friday.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 14th
Minnesota Twins DH Nelson Cruz went 2-for-4 with two homers and five RBI in an 8-5 win over the Royals on Thursday.
Matthew Terelle
Fri, Sep 20th
 Tommy Pham went 1-for-4 with a walk and scored a run while also driving in a run on Wednesday as the Rays lost to the Rangers by a 10-9 score.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 12th
Minnesota Twins DH Nelson Cruz went 0-for-2 with two walks in a 3-1 loss to the White Sox on Wednesday.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Sep 19th
 Tommy Pham left Thursday's game with right forearm tightness, Juan Toribio of MLB.com reports.
John Aubin
Fri, Sep 6th
Minnesota Twins DH Nelson Cruz went 1-for-3 with a homer, two runs, two RBI, and a walk in a 9-5 win over the Indians in the second game of a Saturday doubleheader.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Sep 14th
 Tommy Pham went 3-for-4 with a double, three RBI and a stolen base in Monday's win against Baltimore.
John Aubin
Tue, Sep 3rd
Minnesota Twins DH Nelson Cruz went 2-for-5 with a homer and two RBI in a 12-6 loss to the Nationals on Thursday.
Matthew Terelle
Fri, Sep 13th
Notes 
 Despite playing 34 fewer games than Andrew Benintendi over the last two seasons, Pham has outplayed him from a fantasy perspective. Pham is being drafted four rounds later and is coming off one of the best second-halfs in the MLB
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Forget the groundhog seeing his shadow; there's no better sign of spring's arrival than seeing Cruz get drafted criminally late. After merely clobbering 37 homers-his lowest tally since 2013-the stud DH has a consensus ADP outside of the top 100. That's an absurdly low price for a dependably elite slugger who finished in the 98th percentile of hard-hit rate, exit velocity, xwOBA, and xSLG. Despite logging a .282 xBA for the third straight year, his actual average dropped from .287 and .288 to .256. Even if he merely splits the difference and reverts to .270, he'd be a better version of Rhys Hoskins going multiple rounds later. So what if he doesn't have a position? Were you planning on leaving a utility spot empty?
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 After breaking out in 2017 with a .306 average, 23 HRs, and 25 SBs, Pham's numbers were down through nearly 100 games in 2018 before he was traded to Tampa, where he finished with a flurry. The end result was a perfectly respectable .275/102/21/63/15 roto line that was good enough to rank 16th among outfielders. Pham may strike out a bit too much to be a true .300 hitter, but he isn't a batting average liability, and there is no reason he can't again go 20-20 as long as the Rays continue to give him the green light on the base paths. He is a bit of an injury risk, but has shown he can make a big impact in 130-140 games.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Cruz has seen his batting average fall from .302 slowly down to .256 over the last four seasons, but the homers and RBIs are still firmly among the top of the league even despite his advanced again. You can rely on his durability and power in 2019 so don't hesitate to grab him in the 6th or 7th round.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Despite batting .248/.331/.399 with a .323 wOBA prior to the Cardinals trading him, Pham's .283 xBA and .364 xwOBA called for a rebound. He did just that and more, going .343/.448/.622 In 39 games with the Rays. Put it all together, and he was one of eight hitters to hit at least .275 with 20 homers and 15 steals. There's room for more across the board, as he recorded MLB's third-best hard-hit rate (48.5%) last season and poached 25 bags in 2017.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros