Who Should I Draft?

Nicholas Castellanos or David Dahl (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Nicholas Castellanos
RF - DET
Nicholas Castellanos
David Dahl
LF,CF,RF - COL
David Dahl
Expert
Recommendation
57%
Recommended by
32 of 56 experts
43%
Recommended by
24 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 53# 58
Best Rank# 35# 37
Worst Rank# 88# 104
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 90# 95
Best Rank# 53# 70
Worst Rank# 100# 104
   
Projections 
   
Runs8274
Home Runs2526
RBI9084
Stolen Bases311
Batting Average.283.276
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 66# 67
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 50# 68
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 51# 59
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 51# 79
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 56# 67
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 52# 96
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 47# 58
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 65# 81
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 86# 104
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 41# 55
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 51# 58
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 55# 59
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 54# 70
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 48# 62
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 46# 63
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 39# 52
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 47# 60
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 48# 73
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 57# 67
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 59# 70
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 48# 76
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 49# 55
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 60# 86
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 58# 79
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 47# 56
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 44# 54
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 50# 72
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 56# 74
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 62# 71
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 35# 41
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 45# 72
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 58# 71
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 39# 37
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 47# 46
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 48# 42
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 48# 41
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 49# 40
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 51# 48
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 51# 49
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 53# 52
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 53# 46
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 55# 39
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 56# 55
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 63# 51
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 64# 43
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 64# 54
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 65# 50
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 65# 59
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 67# 37
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 69# 52
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 69# 43
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 69# 55
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 78# 71
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 79# 54
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 80# 67
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 88# 85
   
  Nicholas Castellanos
RF - DET
Nicholas Castellanos
David Dahl
LF,CF,RF - COL
David Dahl
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats620249
   
Runs8831
   
Hits18568
   
Singles11138
   
Doubles4611
   
Triples53
   
Home Runs2316
   
RBI8948
   
Stolen Bases25
   
Caught Stealing13
   
Walks4919
   
Strikeouts15168
   
Batting Average.298.273
   
On Base Pct.354.325
   
Slugging Pct.500.534
   
On-base Plus Slugging.854.859
   
  Nicholas Castellanos
RF - DET
Nicholas Castellanos
David Dahl
LF,CF,RF - COL
David Dahl
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats592518
   
Runs8274
   
Hits168143
   
Singles9783
   
Doubles3928
   
Triples66
   
Home Runs2526
   
RBI9084
   
Stolen Bases311
   
Caught Stealing25
   
Walks4738
   
Strikeouts141135
   
Batting Average.283.276
   
On Base Pct.336.326
   
Slugging Pct.498.505
   
On-base Plus Slugging.834.830
   
  Nicholas Castellanos
RF - DET
Nicholas Castellanos
David Dahl
LF,CF,RF - COL
David Dahl
News 
 Detroit Tigers outfielder Nicholas Castellanos went 1-for-3 with a double in an 8-3 loss to the Indians on Sunday.
Matthew Terelle
Mon, Jun 24th
David Dahl went 1-for-4 with a home run and two RBI on Monday against the Giants.
Dan Harris
Tue, Jun 25th
 Detroit Tigers outfielder Nicholas Castellanos went 1-for-2 with a double, a steal, two walks, two runs, and an RBI in a 5-4 win over the Pirates on Tuesday.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Jun 19th
David Dahl went 2-for-4 with a double and two runs scored as the Rockies beat the Diamondbacks 6-4 on Wednesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Jun 20th
 Detroit Tigers outfielder Nicholas Castellanos went 1-for-4 in an 8-0 loss to the Indians on Sunday.
Matthew Terelle
Mon, Jun 17th
David Dahl went 3-for-4 with a triple, three RBI, and three runs scored in the Rockies' 14-8 win over the Padres on Saturday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 16th
 Detroit Tigers outfielder Nicholas Castellanos went 1-for-4 with a solo homer in a 3-2 loss to the Royals on Tuesday.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Jun 12th
David Dahl went 1-for-4 with a single, a walk, and a run scored in Colorado's 9-6 win over the Padres on Thursday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jun 14th
 Detroit Tigers outfielder Nicholas Castellanos went 1-for-4 with a double in a 4-0 loss to the Rays on Wednesday.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Jun 6th
David Dahl went 1-for-4 with a double and an RBI in Sunday's loss to the Mets.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 9th
Notes 
 There's no doubt that Castellanos is a solid fantasy option, but last season's .298 batting average looks due for quite a bit of regression, he doesn't run, and his run production numbers could also take a hit as the Tigers enter into a full-on rebuild. There are better outfielders available at his late-seventh round ADP.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
There is plenty of reason to be excited about David Dahl, as his upside is a true five-category contributor. With that said, he has been among the most injury-prone players in baseball so even 400 plate appearances is no guarantee.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 After showing solid contact in 2016 and power in 2017, Castellanos put it all together to hit .298/.354/.500 with 23 homers. Even playing every day in a desolate Detroit lineup led him to 88 runs and 89 RBI, so he's a high-floor option entering his age-27 season. The ceiling, however, is also limited. While he continues to make more hard contact, he'll struggle to maintain such a high average with the third-highest swinging-strike rate (15.8%) of all qualified hitters. Pay for a steady hand rather than a burgeoning star with more room for growth.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Dahl displayed an enticing combination of power, speed, and batting average in the minor leagues, but he has found it hard to nail down regular playing time in Colorado over the last couple seasons. Thankfully, that will no longer be an issue in 2019, as he's slated to be the Rockies' everyday left fielder. Dahl will need to keep his strikeout rate in check if he wants to be a true asset in batting average, but he should be able to contribute 25+ HRs and 10+ SBs this season while calling Coors Field home. There's always a little bit of risk when investing an early pick in a player who has never played a full Major League season, but Dahl's upside outweighs the risk once you get outside of the first five or six rounds of fantasy drafts.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Castellanos was a disappointment for so long that it may still be hanging over his stock. The fact of the matter, however, is that he has been great the past two season, hitting .285 with 49 homers and 190 RBIs. He only qualifies as an outfielder now, but should be regarded every bit as high as someone like Justin Upton or Mitch Haniger.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
*In best Jerry Seinfeld voice* What's the Dahl with David's rising ADP? He's a top-100 choice in most spots after popping nine homers in September. Although he could easily offer 25 homers and 15 steals with a Coors-inflated batting average, investors must be willing to absorb some additional matchup homework. He recorded a .378 wOBA against righties and a .296 wOBA versus lefties, and even those steep splits are nothing compared to his .435 wOBA at home compared to a .254 wOBA on the road. This could make him trickier to own in leagues with weekly lineups.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros