Who Should I Draft?

Nicholas Castellanos or Jesus Aguilar (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Nicholas Castellanos
RF - CHC
Nicholas Castellanos
Jesus Aguilar
1B - TB
Jesus Aguilar
Expert
Recommendation
54%
Recommended by
32 of 59 experts
46%
Recommended by
27 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 53# 54
Best Rank# 35# 28
Worst Rank# 88# 192
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 90# 78
Best Rank# 53# 75
Worst Rank# 100# 85
   
Projections 
   
Runs8277
Home Runs2531
RBI9095
Stolen Bases30
Batting Average.283.260
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 65# 68
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 50# 54
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 51# 66
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 56# 61
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 47# 52
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 52# 132
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 47# 71
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 41# 76
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 51# 65
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 55# 56
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 54# 60
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 48# 89
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 46# 58
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 39# 88
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 51# 53
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 47# 73
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 48# 53
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 56# 66
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 39# 192
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 57# 61
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 59# 63
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 48# 60
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 49# 75
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 58# 59
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 47# 59
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 44# 65
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 50# 65
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 53# 75
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 49# 79
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 65# 67
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 35# 61
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 45# 52
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 42# 38
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 48# 29
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 48# 35
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 51# 43
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 51# 42
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 53# 39
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 53# 41
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 55# 51
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 56# 55
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 58# 56
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 60# 54
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 62# 57
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 63# 44
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 64# 57
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 64# 60
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 65# 36
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 65# 28
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 66# 44
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 67# 65
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 69# 60
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 69# 66
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 69# 45
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 78# 44
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 79# 68
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 80# 52
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 86# 35
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 88# 66
   
  Nicholas Castellanos
RF - CHC
Nicholas Castellanos
Jesus Aguilar
1B - TB
Jesus Aguilar
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats620492
   
Runs8880
   
Hits185135
   
Singles11175
   
Doubles4625
   
Triples50
   
Home Runs2335
   
RBI89108
   
Stolen Bases20
   
Caught Stealing10
   
Walks4958
   
Strikeouts151143
   
Batting Average.298.274
   
On Base Pct.354.352
   
Slugging Pct.500.539
   
On-base Plus Slugging.854.890
   
  Nicholas Castellanos
RF - CHC
Nicholas Castellanos
Jesus Aguilar
1B - TB
Jesus Aguilar
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats592520
   
Runs8277
   
Hits168135
   
Singles9778
   
Doubles3925
   
Triples61
   
Home Runs2531
   
RBI9095
   
Stolen Bases30
   
Caught Stealing20
   
Walks4755
   
Strikeouts141147
   
Batting Average.283.260
   
On Base Pct.336.330
   
Slugging Pct.498.492
   
On-base Plus Slugging.834.822
   
  Nicholas Castellanos
RF - CHC
Nicholas Castellanos
Jesus Aguilar
1B - TB
Jesus Aguilar
News 
 Nicholas Castellanos went 3-for-5 with a solo home run in Tuesday's win over the Giants.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Aug 21st
Jesus Aguilar went 2-for-4 with a solo home run, two total RBI and two runs scored in Sunday's win over the Marlins.
John Aubin
Sun, Aug 4th
 Nicholas Castellanos went 2-for-4 with a home run as the Cubs defeated the Pirates 7-1.
Brandon Plutner
Mon, Aug 19th
Jesus Aguilar went 2-for-3 and scored two runs against the Red Sox in his first game as a Ray on Thursday.
John Aubin
Fri, Aug 2nd
 Nicholas Castellanos went 0-for-4 in Friday's 3-2 loss to the Pirates.
Brad Camara
Sat, Aug 17th
Brewers first baseman Jesus Aguilar has been traded to the Tampa Bay Rays in exchange for pitcher Jake Faria, according to MLB insider Jeff Passan on Twitter
Mike Maher
Wed, Jul 31st
 Nicholas Castellanos went 1-for-4 with a walk and a solo home run in Friday's loss to the Reds.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Aug 9th
Jesus Aguilar went 2-for-4 with a walk, a run scored, and a double Monday against the Reds.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Jul 23rd
 Nicholas Castellanos went 3-for-4 with a walk, two solo home runs, and three runs scored in Thursday's win over the Reds.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Aug 9th
Jesus Aguilar went 2-for-5 with an RBI double and a run scored in Saturday's win over the Giants.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Jul 14th
Notes 
 There's no doubt that Castellanos is a solid fantasy option, but last season's .298 batting average looks due for quite a bit of regression, he doesn't run, and his run production numbers could also take a hit as the Tigers enter into a full-on rebuild. There are better outfielders available at his late-seventh round ADP.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
After hitting .265 with 16 HRs in 279 at-bats in 2017, Aguilar got the chance to be a full-time player in 2018, and took advantage to the sweet tune of a .274/80/35/108 line that made him a top-three first baseman in standard 5x5 roto leagues. Aguilar is a zero on the base paths and he strikes out too much to be of much help in batting average, either, but the power is very real and his run production numbers should continue to be excellent in a loaded lineup and great home park. Call Aguilar a HR/RBI specialist if you must, but at least recognize that he is one of the better HR/RBI specialists in the game.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 After showing solid contact in 2016 and power in 2017, Castellanos put it all together to hit .298/.354/.500 with 23 homers. Even playing every day in a desolate Detroit lineup led him to 88 runs and 89 RBI, so he's a high-floor option entering his age-27 season. The ceiling, however, is also limited. While he continues to make more hard contact, he'll struggle to maintain such a high average with the third-highest swinging-strike rate (15.8%) of all qualified hitters. Pay for a steady hand rather than a burgeoning star with more room for growth.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Aguilar is currently being drafted ahead of players like Scooter Gennett, Eddie Rosario, Justin Upton, Josh Donaldson, and A.J. Pollock. He may have put together a great first half, but once pitchers built a book on him, his last 60 games saw him hit just .245 with 27 homers. His consensus projections aren't much higher, at 30 homers and a .258 batting average. You can find production like that off the waiver wire at first base, and while there is a chance he returns to first-half form, you may be better off waiting 170 picks and grabbing a similar player like C.J. Cron.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Castellanos was a disappointment for so long that it may still be hanging over his stock. The fact of the matter, however, is that he has been great the past two season, hitting .285 with 49 homers and 190 RBIs. He only qualifies as an outfielder now, but should be regarded every bit as high as someone like Justin Upton or Mitch Haniger.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Aguilar's breakout may have seemed to come out of nowhere, but it was only the playing time that was particularly surprising. After slugging .505 in a short-end platoon role in 2017, he supplanted Eric Thames to pop 35 homers with a 134 wRC+ in a full-time role. All the hard hits and a high launch angle say the power is legit, but his contract skills don't support a .274 hitter. Drafters are naturally dubious of playing for a late bloomer's career year, but Milwaukee's starting first baseman shouldn't fall off a cliff entirely. He should at least remain good for a .250, 30-homer campaign.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros