Who Should I Draft?

Nicholas Castellanos or Justin Upton (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Nicholas Castellanos
RF - CHC
Nicholas Castellanos
Justin Upton
LF,DH - LAA
Justin Upton
Expert
Recommendation
54%
Recommended by
32 of 59 experts
46%
Recommended by
27 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 53# 60
Best Rank# 35# 33
Worst Rank# 88# 121
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 90# 94
Best Rank# 53# 77
Worst Rank# 100# 132
   
Projections 
   
Runs8282
Home Runs2529
RBI9088
Stolen Bases38
Batting Average.283.253
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 65# 73
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 50# 96
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 48# 65
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 51# 78
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 47# 61
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 55# 56
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 47# 65
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 86# 87
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 64# 67
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 41# 62
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 69# 95
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 51# 64
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 54# 67
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 48# 55
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 39# 71
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 51# 54
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 47# 61
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 48# 52
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 51# 118
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 53# 106
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 49# 62
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 47# 61
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 44# 67
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 63# 108
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 88# 121
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 53# 55
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 42# 73
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 49# 63
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 53# 69
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 65# 66
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 35# 55
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 58# 72
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 39# 38
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 45# 44
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 46# 42
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 48# 35
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 48# 43
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 49# 37
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 50# 33
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 51# 46
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 52# 49
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 55# 51
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 56# 55
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 56# 46
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 56# 43
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 58# 53
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 59# 58
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 60# 48
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 62# 46
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 64# 56
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 65# 48
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 65# 40
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 66# 43
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 67# 44
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 69# 49
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 69# 54
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 78# 54
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 79# 60
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 80# 77
   
  Nicholas Castellanos
RF - CHC
Nicholas Castellanos
Justin Upton
LF,DH - LAA
Justin Upton
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats620533
   
Runs8880
   
Hits185137
   
Singles11188
   
Doubles4618
   
Triples51
   
Home Runs2330
   
RBI8985
   
Stolen Bases28
   
Caught Stealing12
   
Walks4964
   
Strikeouts151176
   
Batting Average.298.257
   
On Base Pct.354.344
   
Slugging Pct.500.463
   
On-base Plus Slugging.854.808
   
  Nicholas Castellanos
RF - CHC
Nicholas Castellanos
Justin Upton
LF,DH - LAA
Justin Upton
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats592535
   
Runs8282
   
Hits168135
   
Singles9780
   
Doubles3925
   
Triples61
   
Home Runs2529
   
RBI9088
   
Stolen Bases38
   
Caught Stealing23
   
Walks4763
   
Strikeouts141171
   
Batting Average.283.253
   
On Base Pct.336.332
   
Slugging Pct.498.469
   
On-base Plus Slugging.834.802
   
  Nicholas Castellanos
RF - CHC
Nicholas Castellanos
Justin Upton
LF,DH - LAA
Justin Upton
News 
 Nicholas Castellanos went 2-for-4 with a solo home run and an additional run scored in Sunday's loss to the Cardinals.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 22nd
Justin Upton (knee) received a PRP injection Friday and will be on crutches for two or three weeks.
Brad Camara
Sun, Sep 22nd
 Nicholas Castellanos went 2-for-3 with two doubles, three RBI, and two runs scored Saturday against the Pirates.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 14th
Justin Upton (knee) will not play again this season.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 14th
 Nicholas Castellanos went 2-for-4 with a double, a home run, three RBI, and a walk Friday against the Pirates.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 14th
Justin Upton underwent an MRI on his right knee Wednesday.
Brad Camara
Thu, Sep 12th
 Nicholas Castellanos went 3-for-5 with a two-run home run and three runs scored in Monday's win over the Padres.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Sep 10th
Justin Upton went 0-for-2 with a walk in Tuesday's 8-0 loss to the Indians.
Brad Camara
Wed, Sep 11th
 Nicholas Castellanos went 2-for-4 with a solo home run and a double in Friday's loss to the Brewers.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 7th
Justin Upton went 2-for-4 with a double and three RBI in Thursday's 10-6 loss to the Athletics.
Brad Camara
Thu, Sep 5th
Notes 
 There's no doubt that Castellanos is a solid fantasy option, but last season's .298 batting average looks due for quite a bit of regression, he doesn't run, and his run production numbers could also take a hit as the Tigers enter into a full-on rebuild. There are better outfielders available at his late-seventh round ADP.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Erratic over the course of a season, Upton is consistent on a year-to-year basis. Even if he never lived out Ken Griffey Jr. comparisons, the outfielder has logged over 600 plate appearances in each of the last eight seasons with at least 30 homers in the last three. A rise in ground balls and fall in fly balls, however, puts that streak in jeopardy. So does a toe injury that will likely send him to the IL to start 2019. That's a big blow since stability was a major driving force in drafting Upton.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 After showing solid contact in 2016 and power in 2017, Castellanos put it all together to hit .298/.354/.500 with 23 homers. Even playing every day in a desolate Detroit lineup led him to 88 runs and 89 RBI, so he's a high-floor option entering his age-27 season. The ceiling, however, is also limited. While he continues to make more hard contact, he'll struggle to maintain such a high average with the third-highest swinging-strike rate (15.8%) of all qualified hitters. Pay for a steady hand rather than a burgeoning star with more room for growth.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Upton is the definition of a boring-but-reliable fantasy producer, with six straight seasons of at least 26 HRs, eight stolen bases, solid run production, and a middling batting average. In a good year, he might hit 35 HRs, bat .280, or swipe 20 bags, but the safe expectation is that he will go around .250-30-10, which is still quite useful in fantasy leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Castellanos was a disappointment for so long that it may still be hanging over his stock. The fact of the matter, however, is that he has been great the past two season, hitting .285 with 49 homers and 190 RBIs. He only qualifies as an outfielder now, but should be regarded every bit as high as someone like Justin Upton or Mitch Haniger.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Upton is one of the only players with at least 30 homers in each of the last three seasons. You can also bank on 80+ RBIs and runs, and while his stolen bases have come down over the years, 10 is a good bet once again. Upton's batting average won't help you, but it should be enough to warrant a sixth round pick in standard leagues.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros