Who Should I Draft?

Nicholas Castellanos or Justin Upton (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Nicholas Castellanos
RF - DET
Nicholas Castellanos
Justin Upton
LF,DH - LAA
Justin Upton
Expert
Recommendation
52%
Recommended by
29 of 56 experts
48%
Recommended by
27 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 53# 60
Best Rank# 35# 33
Worst Rank# 88# 121
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 90# 94
Best Rank# 53# 77
Worst Rank# 100# 132
   
Projections 
   
Runs8282
Home Runs2529
RBI9088
Stolen Bases38
Batting Average.283.253
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 65# 73
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 50# 96
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 48# 65
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 51# 78
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 47# 61
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 55# 56
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 47# 65
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 86# 87
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 64# 67
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 41# 62
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 69# 95
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 51# 64
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 54# 67
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 48# 55
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 39# 71
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 51# 54
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 47# 61
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 48# 52
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 51# 118
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 53# 106
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 49# 62
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 47# 61
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 44# 67
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 63# 108
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 88# 121
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 53# 55
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 49# 63
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 35# 55
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 58# 72
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 39# 38
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 45# 44
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 46# 42
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 48# 35
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 48# 43
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 50# 33
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 51# 46
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 52# 49
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 55# 51
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 56# 55
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 56# 46
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 56# 43
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 57# 50
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 58# 53
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 59# 58
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 60# 48
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 62# 46
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 64# 56
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 65# 48
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 65# 40
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 66# 43
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 67# 44
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 69# 49
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 69# 54
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 78# 54
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 79# 60
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 80# 77
   
  Nicholas Castellanos
RF - DET
Nicholas Castellanos
Justin Upton
LF,DH - LAA
Justin Upton
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats620533
   
Runs8880
   
Hits185137
   
Singles11188
   
Doubles4618
   
Triples51
   
Home Runs2330
   
RBI8985
   
Stolen Bases28
   
Caught Stealing12
   
Walks4964
   
Strikeouts151176
   
Batting Average.298.257
   
On Base Pct.354.344
   
Slugging Pct.500.463
   
On-base Plus Slugging.854.808
   
  Nicholas Castellanos
RF - DET
Nicholas Castellanos
Justin Upton
LF,DH - LAA
Justin Upton
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats592535
   
Runs8282
   
Hits168135
   
Singles9780
   
Doubles3925
   
Triples61
   
Home Runs2529
   
RBI9088
   
Stolen Bases38
   
Caught Stealing23
   
Walks4763
   
Strikeouts141171
   
Batting Average.283.253
   
On Base Pct.336.332
   
Slugging Pct.498.469
   
On-base Plus Slugging.834.802
   
  Nicholas Castellanos
RF - DET
Nicholas Castellanos
Justin Upton
LF,DH - LAA
Justin Upton
News 
 Detroit Tigers outfielder Nicholas Castellanos went 1-for-3 with a double in an 8-3 loss to the Indians on Sunday.
Matthew Terelle
Mon, Jun 24th
Justin Upton went 1-for-4 with a solo home run on Saturday against the Cardinals.
Kamran Hoda
Sun, Jun 23rd
 Detroit Tigers outfielder Nicholas Castellanos went 1-for-2 with a double, a steal, two walks, two runs, and an RBI in a 5-4 win over the Pirates on Tuesday.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Jun 19th
Justin Upton went 1-for-4 with a solo home run on Wednesday against the Blue Jays.
Dan Harris
Thu, Jun 20th
 Detroit Tigers outfielder Nicholas Castellanos went 1-for-4 in an 8-0 loss to the Indians on Sunday.
Matthew Terelle
Mon, Jun 17th
Justin Upton went 2-for-4 with a walk, single, home run, one RBI, and one run scored on Monday against Toronto.
Kamran Hoda
Tue, Jun 18th
 Detroit Tigers outfielder Nicholas Castellanos went 1-for-4 with a solo homer in a 3-2 loss to the Royals on Tuesday.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Jun 12th
The Angels have activated Justin Upton (toe) off the injured list prior to Monday's game.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jun 17th
 Detroit Tigers outfielder Nicholas Castellanos went 1-for-4 with a double in a 4-0 loss to the Rays on Wednesday.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Jun 6th
Justin Upton will be activated for Monday's game against the Blue Jays, according to Brad Ausmus.
Dan Harris
Sun, Jun 16th
Notes 
 There's no doubt that Castellanos is a solid fantasy option, but last season's .298 batting average looks due for quite a bit of regression, he doesn't run, and his run production numbers could also take a hit as the Tigers enter into a full-on rebuild. There are better outfielders available at his late-seventh round ADP.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Erratic over the course of a season, Upton is consistent on a year-to-year basis. Even if he never lived out Ken Griffey Jr. comparisons, the outfielder has logged over 600 plate appearances in each of the last eight seasons with at least 30 homers in the last three. A rise in ground balls and fall in fly balls, however, puts that streak in jeopardy. So does a toe injury that will likely send him to the IL to start 2019. That's a big blow since stability was a major driving force in drafting Upton.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 After showing solid contact in 2016 and power in 2017, Castellanos put it all together to hit .298/.354/.500 with 23 homers. Even playing every day in a desolate Detroit lineup led him to 88 runs and 89 RBI, so he's a high-floor option entering his age-27 season. The ceiling, however, is also limited. While he continues to make more hard contact, he'll struggle to maintain such a high average with the third-highest swinging-strike rate (15.8%) of all qualified hitters. Pay for a steady hand rather than a burgeoning star with more room for growth.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Upton is the definition of a boring-but-reliable fantasy producer, with six straight seasons of at least 26 HRs, eight stolen bases, solid run production, and a middling batting average. In a good year, he might hit 35 HRs, bat .280, or swipe 20 bags, but the safe expectation is that he will go around .250-30-10, which is still quite useful in fantasy leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Castellanos was a disappointment for so long that it may still be hanging over his stock. The fact of the matter, however, is that he has been great the past two season, hitting .285 with 49 homers and 190 RBIs. He only qualifies as an outfielder now, but should be regarded every bit as high as someone like Justin Upton or Mitch Haniger.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Upton is one of the only players with at least 30 homers in each of the last three seasons. You can also bank on 80+ RBIs and runs, and while his stolen bases have come down over the years, 10 is a good bet once again. Upton's batting average won't help you, but it should be enough to warrant a sixth round pick in standard leagues.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros