Who Should I Draft?

Nick Pivetta or J.A. Happ (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Nick Pivetta
SP - PHI
Nick Pivetta
J.A. Happ
SP - NYY
J.A. Happ
Expert
Recommendation
59%
Recommended by
33 of 56 experts
41%
Recommended by
23 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 50# 52
Best Rank# 31# 27
Worst Rank# 247# 111
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 151# 131
Best Rank# 147# 118
Worst Rank# 168# 139
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts177168
Wins1013
Saves00
ERA4.153.85
WHIP1.291.23
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 53# 74
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 52# 57
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 31# 52
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 51# 58
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 49# 72
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 51# 64
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 41# 43
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 50# 94
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 37# 60
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 103# 110
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 38# 43
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 46# 57
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 54# 56
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 59# 65
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 42# 50
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 55# 56
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 55# 67
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 52# 59
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 41# 52
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 53# 56
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 35# 53
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 40# 48
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 57# 69
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 54# 67
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 43# 58
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 62# 82
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 44# 69
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 42# 58
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 53# 54
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 39# 62
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 49# 64
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 44# 111
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 46# 64
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 47# 44
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 49# 41
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 51# 37
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 51# 44
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 52# 51
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 52# 45
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 52# 43
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 53# 48
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 54# 46
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 55# 47
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 56# 53
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 58# 45
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 60# 46
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 62# 27
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 62# 47
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 63# 54
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 64# 45
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 66# 52
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 78# 67
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 103# 49
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 107# 52
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 122# 42
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 247# 40
   
  Nick Pivetta
SP - PHI
Nick Pivetta
J.A. Happ
SP - NYY
J.A. Happ
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3331
   
Games Started3231
   
Innings Pitched164.2178.1
   
Wins717
   
Losses146
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed163150
   
Earned Runs8772
   
Home Runs Allowed2427
   
Strikeouts188193
   
Walks5151
   
ERA4.773.65
   
WHIP1.301.13
   
  Nick Pivetta
SP - PHI
Nick Pivetta
J.A. Happ
SP - NYY
J.A. Happ
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3029
   
Games Started3029
   
Innings Pitched162.2167.6
   
Wins1013
   
Losses108
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed154153
   
Earned Runs7572
   
Home Runs Allowed2324
   
Strikeouts177168
   
Walks5552
   
ERA4.153.85
   
WHIP1.291.23
   
  Nick Pivetta
SP - PHI
Nick Pivetta
J.A. Happ
SP - NYY
J.A. Happ
News 
 Phillies starter Nick Pivetta allowed six earned runs on seven hits and three walks while striking out two over 5 1/3 innings in a loss to the Washington Nationals on Thursday. The loss drops him to 4-2 on the season.
Mike Maher
Fri, Jun 21st
J.A. Happ gave up eight runs on 11 hits with two walks and three strikeouts on Sunday as the Yankees lost to the Astros by a 9-4 score.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 23rd
 Phillies starter Nick Pivetta allowed four earned runs on eight hits and two walks while striking out six over 6 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Atlanta Braves on Friday.
Mike Maher
Sat, Jun 15th
J.A. Happ (7-3) allowed two runs on seven hits with three strikeouts and no walks across five innings while earning a victory against the Rays on Tuesday.
John Aubin
Wed, Jun 19th
 Phillies starter Nick Pivetta allowed one earned run on six hits and no walks while striking out six over nine innings in a complete game win over the Cincinnati Reds on Saturday. The win brings him to 4-1 on the season.
Mike Maher
Sun, Jun 9th
J.A. Happ did not factor into the decision in Thursday's loss to the White Sox, allowing four runs on four hits and four walks while striking out two through five innings.
John Aubin
Fri, Jun 14th
 Phillies starter Nick Pivetta tossed six shutout innings on Sunday, allowing three hits and no walks while striking out nine.
Mike Maher
Sun, Jun 2nd
J.A. Happ gave up just one run on four hits and struck out four batters in seven innings and earned a win over the Blue Jays on Thursday.
John Aubin
Fri, Jun 7th
 Phillies starter Nick Pivetta allowed three earned runs on three hits and two walks while striking out six over five innings in Tuesday’s win over the St. Louis Cardinals.
Mike Maher
Wed, May 29th
J.A. Happ (5-3) allowed one run on three hits with five strikeouts and two walks across five innings to earn a victory against the Red Sox on Friday.
John Aubin
Sat, Jun 1st
Notes 
 Pivetta's peripherals say that his ERA should have been much better than 4.77 last year, but he was victimized by a high BABIP, low strand rate, and lots and lots of home runs. This is an elite bat misser who has thrown fewer than 300 innings at the Major League level, so there is some breakout potential here. We'll learn this season whether Pivetta is ready to take a step forward or if he's the next in a line of pitchers who don't quite live up to their peripherals.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
The undervalued Happ massively out-performed his 2018 draft pick despite posting his highest ERA (3.65) since 2014. He now owns a 3.49 ERA and 8.45 K/9 over those past four seasons, and yet many drafters have scoffed at him going around the pick-150 range. Seems like a reasonable price for someone who accompanied his career-high 193 strikeouts with a career-high 10.3% swinging-strike rate and career-low 78.3% contact rate. He looked comfortable in pinstripes (2.69 ERA, 1.05 WHIP) and could once again reap the rewards of run support to a crooked wins tally. Don't run away just because the southpaw is 36.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Most metrics paint Pivetta as the perfect breakout pick. On the strength of a stellar 19.7 K-BB%, he posted a 3.80 FIP and 3.51 SIERA despite a bloated 4.77 ERA. He possesses an excellent curveball and slider combination that each induced swinging-strike rates above 15.0%. Before going all in on a Cy Young Award dark horse, beware an abysmal fastball that surrendered a .302/.385/.516 slash line. His ups and downs also weren't predictable, as he went from silencing the Red Sox to getting stuffed by the Mets in consecutive August outings. There's enough upside to draft him as a top-40 hurler. Just don't assume he's a sure thing to slice his ERA by at least a full run.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros