Who Should I Draft?

Nick Pivetta or Kenta Maeda (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Nick Pivetta
SP - PHI
Nick Pivetta
Kenta Maeda
SP - LAD
Kenta Maeda
Expert
Recommendation
77%
Recommended by
43 of 56 experts
23%
Recommended by
13 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 50# 58
Best Rank# 31# 30
Worst Rank# 247# 101
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 151# 175
Best Rank# 147# 154
Worst Rank# 168# 219
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts177149
Wins1010
Saves00
ERA4.153.67
WHIP1.291.21
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 53# 68
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 58# 78
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 52# 75
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 31# 76
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 51# 66
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 62# 80
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 52# 95
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 49# 78
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 52# 66
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 51# 53
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 41# 67
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 50# 69
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 55# 60
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 37# 59
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 38# 50
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 46# 65
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 47# 66
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 54# 59
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 49# 66
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 59# 78
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 53# 80
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 42# 66
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 56# 62
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 55# 65
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 55# 70
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 52# 68
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 52# 58
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 41# 47
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 51# 77
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 54# 58
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 53# 55
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 35# 56
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 40# 63
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 57# 78
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 60# 101
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 54# 63
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 43# 86
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 44# 58
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 42# 63
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 53# 59
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 39# 70
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 44# 50
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 46# 95
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 49# 37
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 51# 48
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 62# 47
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 62# 60
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 63# 55
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 64# 50
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 66# 59
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 78# 75
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 103# 101
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 103# 64
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 107# 53
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 122# 81
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 247# 30
   
  Nick Pivetta
SP - PHI
Nick Pivetta
Kenta Maeda
SP - LAD
Kenta Maeda
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3339
   
Games Started3220
   
Innings Pitched164.2125.2
   
Wins78
   
Losses1410
   
Saves02
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds05
   
Hits Allowed163115
   
Earned Runs8753
   
Home Runs Allowed2413
   
Strikeouts188153
   
Walks5143
   
ERA4.773.81
   
WHIP1.301.26
   
  Nick Pivetta
SP - PHI
Nick Pivetta
Kenta Maeda
SP - LAD
Kenta Maeda
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3029
   
Games Started3023
   
Innings Pitched162.2138.1
   
Wins1010
   
Losses107
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds01
   
Hits Allowed154124
   
Earned Runs7556
   
Home Runs Allowed2317
   
Strikeouts177149
   
Walks5542
   
ERA4.153.67
   
WHIP1.291.21
   
  Nick Pivetta
SP - PHI
Nick Pivetta
Kenta Maeda
SP - LAD
Kenta Maeda
News 
 Phillies starter Nick Pivetta allowed six earned runs on seven hits and three walks while striking out two over 5 1/3 innings in a loss to the Washington Nationals on Thursday. The loss drops him to 4-2 on the season.
Mike Maher
Fri, Jun 21st
Kenta Maeda received a no-decision on Sunday versus Colorado, spinning seven innings of two-run ball while striking out six.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 23rd
 Phillies starter Nick Pivetta allowed four earned runs on eight hits and two walks while striking out six over 6 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Atlanta Braves on Friday.
Mike Maher
Sat, Jun 15th
Kenta Maeda fell to 7-4 on Monday versus the Giants, giving up two runs on three hits in five innings while striking out four.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 18th
 Phillies starter Nick Pivetta allowed one earned run on six hits and no walks while striking out six over nine innings in a complete game win over the Cincinnati Reds on Saturday. The win brings him to 4-1 on the season.
Mike Maher
Sun, Jun 9th
Kenta Maeda fell to 7-3 on Tuesday versus the Angels, giving up five runs in three innings over just 4 1/3 innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 12th
 Phillies starter Nick Pivetta tossed six shutout innings on Sunday, allowing three hits and no walks while striking out nine.
Mike Maher
Sun, Jun 2nd
Kenta Maeda received a no-decision on Wednesday in Arizona, tossing five innings of one-run ball while striking out seven.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 5th
 Phillies starter Nick Pivetta allowed three earned runs on three hits and two walks while striking out six over five innings in Tuesday’s win over the St. Louis Cardinals.
Mike Maher
Wed, May 29th
Kenta Maeda improved to 7-2 on Friday versus the Phillies, tossing six innings of two-run ball while allowing three hits, no walks, and striking out six.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 1st
Notes 
 Pivetta's peripherals say that his ERA should have been much better than 4.77 last year, but he was victimized by a high BABIP, low strand rate, and lots and lots of home runs. This is an elite bat misser who has thrown fewer than 300 innings at the Major League level, so there is some breakout potential here. We'll learn this season whether Pivetta is ready to take a step forward or if he's the next in a line of pitchers who don't quite live up to their peripherals.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Over his first three seasons with the Dodgers, Maeda has finished as the SP19, SP33, and SP49 in standard 5x5 rotisserie leagues, despite averaging just 145 innings pitched per season. He is a good bet to again produce an ERA around 3.80, WHIP around 1.20, and better than a strikeout per inning. While it would be unwise to expect more than around 130 innings from Maeda this season, given how the Dodgers have handled Maeda and the rest of their pitching staff over the last couple years, he's proven he can be a solid mixed league asset even with a limited workload. He's particularly valuable in shallower leagues (10/12 team leagues with short benches) and leagues with multiple DL spots, since there will be decent fill-ins available for the starts he misses in those formats.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Most metrics paint Pivetta as the perfect breakout pick. On the strength of a stellar 19.7 K-BB%, he posted a 3.80 FIP and 3.51 SIERA despite a bloated 4.77 ERA. He possesses an excellent curveball and slider combination that each induced swinging-strike rates above 15.0%. Before going all in on a Cy Young Award dark horse, beware an abysmal fastball that surrendered a .302/.385/.516 slash line. His ups and downs also weren't predictable, as he went from silencing the Red Sox to getting stuffed by the Mets in consecutive August outings. There's enough upside to draft him as a top-40 hurler. Just don't assume he's a sure thing to slice his ERA by at least a full run.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Maeda recorded a 3.30 FIP and 27.7 K% as a starter before getting moved to the bullpen with a case of Dodgeritis. The Dodgers indicated that he will open with a rotation spot in lieu of Ross Stripling and Julio Urias, but he remains reasonably priced around the pick-200 range. That's a fair cost to pay for 130 innings with ample strikeouts and ratios close to his career 3.80 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. Ride him out of the gate, but consider trading Maeda before another bullpen move if he starts strong.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros