Who Should I Draft?

Nick Pivetta or Kenta Maeda (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Nick Pivetta
SP - PHI
Nick Pivetta
Kenta Maeda
SP - LAD
Kenta Maeda
Expert
Recommendation
78%
Recommended by
46 of 59 experts
22%
Recommended by
13 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 50# 58
Best Rank# 31# 30
Worst Rank# 247# 101
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 151# 175
Best Rank# 147# 154
Worst Rank# 168# 219
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts177149
Wins1010
Saves00
ERA4.153.67
WHIP1.291.21
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 53# 68
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 58# 78
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 52# 75
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 31# 76
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 51# 66
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 62# 80
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 52# 95
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 49# 78
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 52# 66
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 51# 53
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 41# 67
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 50# 69
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 55# 60
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 37# 59
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 38# 50
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 46# 65
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 47# 66
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 54# 59
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 49# 66
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 59# 78
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 53# 80
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 42# 66
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 56# 62
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 55# 65
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 55# 70
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 52# 58
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 41# 47
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 51# 77
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 54# 58
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 53# 55
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 35# 56
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 40# 63
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 57# 78
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 60# 101
   
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FantasyPros
# 54# 63
   
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RotoBaller
# 43# 86
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 44# 58
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 42# 63
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 53# 59
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 60# 73
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 39# 70
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 61# 79
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 49# 52
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 36# 69
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 44# 50
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 46# 95
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 49# 37
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 51# 48
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 62# 47
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 62# 60
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 63# 55
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 64# 50
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 66# 59
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 78# 75
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 103# 101
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 103# 64
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 107# 53
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 122# 81
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 247# 30
   
  Nick Pivetta
SP - PHI
Nick Pivetta
Kenta Maeda
SP - LAD
Kenta Maeda
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3339
   
Games Started3220
   
Innings Pitched164.2125.2
   
Wins78
   
Losses1410
   
Saves02
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds05
   
Hits Allowed163115
   
Earned Runs8753
   
Home Runs Allowed2413
   
Strikeouts188153
   
Walks5143
   
ERA4.773.81
   
WHIP1.301.26
   
  Nick Pivetta
SP - PHI
Nick Pivetta
Kenta Maeda
SP - LAD
Kenta Maeda
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3029
   
Games Started3023
   
Innings Pitched162.2138.1
   
Wins1010
   
Losses107
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds01
   
Hits Allowed154124
   
Earned Runs7556
   
Home Runs Allowed2317
   
Strikeouts177149
   
Walks5542
   
ERA4.153.67
   
WHIP1.291.21
   
  Nick Pivetta
SP - PHI
Nick Pivetta
Kenta Maeda
SP - LAD
Kenta Maeda
News 
 Nick Pivetta was optioned to Triple-A Lehigh Valley on Saturday.
Brad Camara
Sat, Aug 24th
Kenta Maeda struck out two in a scoreless ninth to pick up the save on Thursday versus the Padres.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 27th
 Phillies pitcher Nick Pivetta allowed two hits and struck out four over two scoreless innings to earn his first save in Saturday's win over the White Sox.
Mike Maher
Sun, Aug 4th
Kenta Maeda received a no-decision on Wednesday in San Diego, allowing two runs on two hits over five innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Aug 29th
 Pivetta will reportedly move to the bullpen once the Phillies' signing of Drew Smyly is official.
James Bisson
Fri, Jul 19th
Kenta Maeda received a no-decision on Friday night in Atlanta, giving up three runs on five hits over 4 2/3 innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Aug 17th
 Phillies starter Nick Pivetta allowed one earned run on no hits and four walks while striking out four over 2 1/3 innings in a rain-shortened no-decision against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Wednesday.
Mike Maher
Thu, Jul 18th
Kenta Maeda earned the win on Saturday versus the D'Backs, twirling seven scoreless innings and allowing just three hits.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Aug 11th
 Phillies starter Nick Pivetta allowed three earned runs on six hits and two walks while striking out two over five innings in a loss to the Nationals on Friday. The loss drops him to 4-4 on the season.
Mike Maher
Fri, Jul 12th
Kenta Maeda was charged for five runs on five hits over just 2 2/3 innings in Sunday's no-decision versus the Padres.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Aug 5th
Notes 
 Pivetta's peripherals say that his ERA should have been much better than 4.77 last year, but he was victimized by a high BABIP, low strand rate, and lots and lots of home runs. This is an elite bat misser who has thrown fewer than 300 innings at the Major League level, so there is some breakout potential here. We'll learn this season whether Pivetta is ready to take a step forward or if he's the next in a line of pitchers who don't quite live up to their peripherals.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Over his first three seasons with the Dodgers, Maeda has finished as the SP19, SP33, and SP49 in standard 5x5 rotisserie leagues, despite averaging just 145 innings pitched per season. He is a good bet to again produce an ERA around 3.80, WHIP around 1.20, and better than a strikeout per inning. While it would be unwise to expect more than around 130 innings from Maeda this season, given how the Dodgers have handled Maeda and the rest of their pitching staff over the last couple years, he's proven he can be a solid mixed league asset even with a limited workload. He's particularly valuable in shallower leagues (10/12 team leagues with short benches) and leagues with multiple DL spots, since there will be decent fill-ins available for the starts he misses in those formats.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Most metrics paint Pivetta as the perfect breakout pick. On the strength of a stellar 19.7 K-BB%, he posted a 3.80 FIP and 3.51 SIERA despite a bloated 4.77 ERA. He possesses an excellent curveball and slider combination that each induced swinging-strike rates above 15.0%. Before going all in on a Cy Young Award dark horse, beware an abysmal fastball that surrendered a .302/.385/.516 slash line. His ups and downs also weren't predictable, as he went from silencing the Red Sox to getting stuffed by the Mets in consecutive August outings. There's enough upside to draft him as a top-40 hurler. Just don't assume he's a sure thing to slice his ERA by at least a full run.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Maeda recorded a 3.30 FIP and 27.7 K% as a starter before getting moved to the bullpen with a case of Dodgeritis. The Dodgers indicated that he will open with a rotation spot in lieu of Ross Stripling and Julio Urias, but he remains reasonably priced around the pick-200 range. That's a fair cost to pay for 130 innings with ample strikeouts and ratios close to his career 3.80 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. Ride him out of the gate, but consider trading Maeda before another bullpen move if he starts strong.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros