Who Should I Draft?

Nick Pivetta or Rich Hill (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Nick Pivetta
SP - PHI
Nick Pivetta
Rich Hill
SP - LAD
Rich Hill
Expert
Recommendation
52%
Recommended by
29 of 56 experts
48%
Recommended by
27 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 50# 51
Best Rank# 31# 16
Worst Rank# 247# 110
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 151# 174
Best Rank# 147# 154
Worst Rank# 168# 187
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts177150
Wins1010
Saves00
ERA4.153.51
WHIP1.291.15
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 53# 54
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 58# 67
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 62# 69
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 31# 46
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 49# 58
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 52# 53
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 55# 65
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 37# 79
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 64
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 38# 48
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 46# 52
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 47# 56
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 42# 54
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 55# 80
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 55# 56
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 52# 110
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 41# 79
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 51# 55
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 35# 94
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 40# 52
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 60# 73
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 54# 64
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 43# 71
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 44# 61
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 42# 44
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 39# 50
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 49# 60
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 44# 90
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 46# 86
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 41# 32
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 49# 47
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 50# 47
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 51# 41
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 51# 36
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 51# 45
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 52# 46
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 52# 50
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 52# 49
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 53# 42
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 53# 45
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 53# 52
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 54# 45
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 54# 48
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 56# 50
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 57# 56
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 59# 52
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 62# 37
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 62# 59
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 63# 46
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 66# 43
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 78# 59
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 103# 16
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 103# 47
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 107# 34
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 122# 50
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 247# 41
   
  Nick Pivetta
SP - PHI
Nick Pivetta
Rich Hill
SP - LAD
Rich Hill
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3325
   
Games Started3224
   
Innings Pitched164.2133.1
   
Wins711
   
Losses145
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed163108
   
Earned Runs8754
   
Home Runs Allowed2420
   
Strikeouts188150
   
Walks5141
   
ERA4.773.66
   
WHIP1.301.12
   
  Nick Pivetta
SP - PHI
Nick Pivetta
Rich Hill
SP - LAD
Rich Hill
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3024
   
Games Started3024
   
Innings Pitched162.2136.1
   
Wins1010
   
Losses107
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed154112
   
Earned Runs7553
   
Home Runs Allowed2318
   
Strikeouts177150
   
Walks5545
   
ERA4.153.51
   
WHIP1.291.15
   
  Nick Pivetta
SP - PHI
Nick Pivetta
Rich Hill
SP - LAD
Rich Hill
News 
 Phillies starter Nick Pivetta allowed four earned runs on eight hits and two walks while striking out six over 6 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Atlanta Braves on Friday.
Mike Maher
Sat, Jun 15th
Rich Hill improved to 4-1 on Friday versus the Cubs, spinning seven innings of three-run ball while striking out seven.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 15th
 Phillies starter Nick Pivetta allowed one earned run on six hits and no walks while striking out six over nine innings in a complete game win over the Cincinnati Reds on Saturday. The win brings him to 4-1 on the season.
Mike Maher
Sun, Jun 9th
Rich Hill improved to 3-1 on Saturday in San Francisco, striking out six while allowing two runs in five innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 9th
 Phillies starter Nick Pivetta tossed six shutout innings on Sunday, allowing three hits and no walks while striking out nine.
Mike Maher
Sun, Jun 2nd
Rich Hill improved to 2-1 on Sunday versus the Phillies, striking out nine while tossing seven shutout innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 2nd
 Phillies starter Nick Pivetta allowed three earned runs on three hits and two walks while striking out six over five innings in Tuesday’s win over the St. Louis Cardinals.
Mike Maher
Wed, May 29th
Rich Hill received a no-decision on Tuesday’s loss to the Mets, striking out six while allowing two earned runs over six innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, May 29th
 The Phillies announced Nick Pivetta will start on Tuesday versus the Cardinals.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, May 26th
Rich Hill received a no-decision on Wednesday in Tampa Bay, striking out seven while throwing six innings of one-run ball.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, May 23rd
Notes 
 Pivetta's peripherals say that his ERA should have been much better than 4.77 last year, but he was victimized by a high BABIP, low strand rate, and lots and lots of home runs. This is an elite bat misser who has thrown fewer than 300 innings at the Major League level, so there is some breakout potential here. We'll learn this season whether Pivetta is ready to take a step forward or if he's the next in a line of pitchers who don't quite live up to their peripherals.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
It's a bit surprising how much the ECR favors Hill over Kenta Maeda, Hyun-Jin Ryu, and Ross Stripling. All are superb options when healthy, but none should be trusted to work any more than 135 innings. So why such a heavy preference for Hill? The unlikely reclamation project turns 39 before starting the season, and he wasn't as elite (3.66 ERA, 3.97 FIP, 3.57 SIERA) in 2018's 132.2 innings. Drafters must exude patience, as he has struggled out of the gate in each of the last two seasons. In what should come as a surprise to nobody, he's already dealing with a short-term MCL injury that will delay his scheduled Opening Day start. He's a strong SP2 or 3 in the starts he makes, but it wouldn't be shocking to see him run out of steam. Just don't drop him much for this injury; such issues were already expected and factored into his draft cost.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Most metrics paint Pivetta as the perfect breakout pick. On the strength of a stellar 19.7 K-BB%, he posted a 3.80 FIP and 3.51 SIERA despite a bloated 4.77 ERA. He possesses an excellent curveball and slider combination that each induced swinging-strike rates above 15.0%. Before going all in on a Cy Young Award dark horse, beware an abysmal fastball that surrendered a .302/.385/.516 slash line. His ups and downs also weren't predictable, as he went from silencing the Red Sox to getting stuffed by the Mets in consecutive August outings. There's enough upside to draft him as a top-40 hurler. Just don't assume he's a sure thing to slice his ERA by at least a full run.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Hill has developed into a high-end fantasy starter in his mid-30s, posting no worse than a 3.66 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, and 10.18 K/9 over each of the last three seasons. Of course, he's never thrown more than 136 innings in any of those seasons, and we can't expect him to do it this year, either. But he's proven he can be a very valuable fantasy commodity in limited innings, particularly in leagues with a low innings cap.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros