Who Should I Draft?

Nick Pivetta or Rich Hill (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Nick Pivetta
SP - PHI
Nick Pivetta
Rich Hill
SP - LAD
Rich Hill
Expert
Recommendation
54%
Recommended by
32 of 59 experts
46%
Recommended by
27 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 50# 53
Best Rank# 31# 16
Worst Rank# 247# 110
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 151# 174
Best Rank# 147# 154
Worst Rank# 168# 187
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts177150
Wins1010
Saves00
ERA4.153.51
WHIP1.291.15
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 53# 54
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 58# 67
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 62# 69
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 31# 46
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 49# 58
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 52# 53
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 55# 65
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 37# 79
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 64
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 38# 48
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 46# 52
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 47# 56
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 42# 54
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 55# 80
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 55# 56
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 52# 110
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 41# 79
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 51# 55
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 35# 94
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 40# 52
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 60# 73
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 54# 64
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 43# 71
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 44# 61
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 42# 44
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 39# 50
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 61# 67
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 49# 60
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 49# 61
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 36# 59
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 44# 90
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 46# 86
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 41# 32
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 49# 47
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 50# 47
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 51# 41
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 51# 36
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 51# 45
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 52# 46
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 52# 50
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 53# 42
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 53# 45
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 53# 52
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 54# 45
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 54# 48
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 56# 50
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 57# 56
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 59# 52
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 60# 57
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 62# 37
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 62# 59
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 63# 46
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 66# 43
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 78# 59
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 103# 16
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 103# 47
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 107# 34
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 122# 50
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 247# 41
   
  Nick Pivetta
SP - PHI
Nick Pivetta
Rich Hill
SP - LAD
Rich Hill
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3325
   
Games Started3224
   
Innings Pitched164.2133.1
   
Wins711
   
Losses145
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed163108
   
Earned Runs8754
   
Home Runs Allowed2420
   
Strikeouts188150
   
Walks5141
   
ERA4.773.66
   
WHIP1.301.12
   
  Nick Pivetta
SP - PHI
Nick Pivetta
Rich Hill
SP - LAD
Rich Hill
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3024
   
Games Started3024
   
Innings Pitched162.2136.1
   
Wins1010
   
Losses107
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed154112
   
Earned Runs7553
   
Home Runs Allowed2318
   
Strikeouts177150
   
Walks5545
   
ERA4.153.51
   
WHIP1.291.15
   
  Nick Pivetta
SP - PHI
Nick Pivetta
Rich Hill
SP - LAD
Rich Hill
News 
 Nick Pivetta was optioned to Triple-A Lehigh Valley on Saturday.
Brad Camara
Sat, Aug 24th
Rich Hill has been diagnosed with a sprained MCL in his left knee.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 13th
 Phillies pitcher Nick Pivetta allowed two hits and struck out four over two scoreless innings to earn his first save in Saturday's win over the White Sox.
Mike Maher
Sun, Aug 4th
Rich Hill was pulled after 2/3 of an inning in Thursday’s contest against the Orioles due to a left knee injury.
Brad Camara
Thu, Sep 12th
 Pivetta will reportedly move to the bullpen once the Phillies' signing of Drew Smyly is official.
James Bisson
Fri, Jul 19th
Dodgers manager Dave Roberts says Rich Hill (elbow) will pitch out of the bullpen when he returns to the team.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Aug 12th
 Phillies starter Nick Pivetta allowed one earned run on no hits and four walks while striking out four over 2 1/3 innings in a rain-shortened no-decision against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Wednesday.
Mike Maher
Thu, Jul 18th
Rich Hill (elbow) threw from 75 feet and aims to progress to a bullpen session in the next few weeks.
Chris Chen
Thu, Aug 8th
 Phillies starter Nick Pivetta allowed three earned runs on six hits and two walks while striking out two over five innings in a loss to the Nationals on Friday. The loss drops him to 4-4 on the season.
Mike Maher
Fri, Jul 12th
Rich Hill has been diagnosed with a flexor strain. Early reports indicate that he'll have to wait three-to-four weeks before he's able to pick up a baseball. Hill is hopeful that he'll be able to return this season.
Blaine Blontz
Thu, Jun 20th
Notes 
 Pivetta's peripherals say that his ERA should have been much better than 4.77 last year, but he was victimized by a high BABIP, low strand rate, and lots and lots of home runs. This is an elite bat misser who has thrown fewer than 300 innings at the Major League level, so there is some breakout potential here. We'll learn this season whether Pivetta is ready to take a step forward or if he's the next in a line of pitchers who don't quite live up to their peripherals.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
It's a bit surprising how much the ECR favors Hill over Kenta Maeda, Hyun-Jin Ryu, and Ross Stripling. All are superb options when healthy, but none should be trusted to work any more than 135 innings. So why such a heavy preference for Hill? The unlikely reclamation project turns 39 before starting the season, and he wasn't as elite (3.66 ERA, 3.97 FIP, 3.57 SIERA) in 2018's 132.2 innings. Drafters must exude patience, as he has struggled out of the gate in each of the last two seasons. In what should come as a surprise to nobody, he's already dealing with a short-term MCL injury that will delay his scheduled Opening Day start. He's a strong SP2 or 3 in the starts he makes, but it wouldn't be shocking to see him run out of steam. Just don't drop him much for this injury; such issues were already expected and factored into his draft cost.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Most metrics paint Pivetta as the perfect breakout pick. On the strength of a stellar 19.7 K-BB%, he posted a 3.80 FIP and 3.51 SIERA despite a bloated 4.77 ERA. He possesses an excellent curveball and slider combination that each induced swinging-strike rates above 15.0%. Before going all in on a Cy Young Award dark horse, beware an abysmal fastball that surrendered a .302/.385/.516 slash line. His ups and downs also weren't predictable, as he went from silencing the Red Sox to getting stuffed by the Mets in consecutive August outings. There's enough upside to draft him as a top-40 hurler. Just don't assume he's a sure thing to slice his ERA by at least a full run.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Hill has developed into a high-end fantasy starter in his mid-30s, posting no worse than a 3.66 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, and 10.18 K/9 over each of the last three seasons. Of course, he's never thrown more than 136 innings in any of those seasons, and we can't expect him to do it this year, either. But he's proven he can be a very valuable fantasy commodity in limited innings, particularly in leagues with a low innings cap.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros