Who Should I Draft?

Noah Syndergaard or James Paxton (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Noah Syndergaard
SP - NYM
Noah Syndergaard
James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
Expert
Recommendation
89%
Recommended by
50 of 56 experts
11%
Recommended by
6 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 11# 14
Best Rank# 2# 11
Worst Rank# 27# 31
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 35# 49
Best Rank# 33# 47
Worst Rank# 38# 55
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts182196
Wins1213
Saves00
ERA3.223.46
WHIP1.161.14
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL10-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 8# 19
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 22
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 12# 28
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 9# 15
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 11# 15
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 12# 16
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 9# 12
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 10# 15
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 10# 15
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 9# 15
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 11# 16
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 10# 12
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 7# 24
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 10# 16
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 9# 13
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 15
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 2# 27
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 11# 15
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 12# 14
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 11# 14
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 6# 16
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 11# 12
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 12# 15
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 13# 17
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 11# 21
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 18# 31
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 10# 13
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 7# 12
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 12# 14
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 5# 19
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 9# 17
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 13# 16
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 9# 13
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 13# 19
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 11# 17
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 14# 15
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 11# 14
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 15# 18
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 10# 14
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 6# 28
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 10# 20
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 14# 16
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 11# 12
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 9# 13
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 14# 15
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 10# 16
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 7# 19
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 11# 13
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 12# 18
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 10# 13
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 14# 11
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 12
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 19# 16
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 20# 16
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 21# 18
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 27# 22
   
  Noah Syndergaard
SP - NYM
Noah Syndergaard
James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2528
   
Games Started2528
   
Innings Pitched154.1160.1
   
Wins1311
   
Losses46
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed148134
   
Earned Runs5267
   
Home Runs Allowed923
   
Strikeouts155208
   
Walks3942
   
ERA3.033.76
   
WHIP1.211.10
   
  Noah Syndergaard
SP - NYM
Noah Syndergaard
James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2828
   
Games Started2828
   
Innings Pitched174.1166.2
   
Wins1213
   
Losses87
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed158144
   
Earned Runs6264
   
Home Runs Allowed1521
   
Strikeouts182196
   
Walks4545
   
ERA3.223.46
   
WHIP1.161.14
   
  Noah Syndergaard
SP - NYM
Noah Syndergaard
James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
News 
 Noah Syndergaard (hamstring) was placed on the 10-day injured list Sunday.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Jun 16th
James Paxton (5-3) earned the win after allowing one run on five hits and three walks while striking out seven over five innings Friday night against the Astros.
John Aubin
Sat, Jun 22nd
 Mets starter Noah Syndergaard left Saturday's start against the St. Louis Cardinals in the seventh inning with what appears to be a hamstring injury.
Mike Maher
Sat, Jun 15th
James Paxton gave up two runs on eight hits with one walk and struck out seven batters over six innings to pick up a win against the White Sox on Sunday.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 16th
 Noah Syndergaard (illness) is expected to make his regularly scheduled start this Saturday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Jun 13th
James Paxton was handed the loss after surrendering six runs on seven hits over 2 2/3 innings during Game 2 of Tuesday's doubleheader against the Mets. He struck out one and walked two.
John Aubin
Wed, Jun 12th
 Mets starter Noah Syndergaard tossed seven scoreless innings in a win over the Colorado Rockies on Sunday, allowing just one hit and two walks while striking out seven.
Mike Maher
Mon, Jun 10th
James Paxton pitched 4 2/3 innings against the Blue Jays on Wednesday and allowed four runs (three earned) on four hits and three walks. He struck out four and did not factor in the decision.
John Aubin
Thu, Jun 6th
 Mets starter Noah Syndergaard allowed three earned runs on five hits and three walks while striking out four over 6 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the San Francisco Giants on Tuesday.
Mike Maher
Wed, Jun 5th
James Paxton gave up no runs and no hits while walking two and striking out seven over four innings on Wednesday as the Yankees beat the Padres.
John Aubin
Wed, May 29th
Notes 
 Thor has elite stuff without a doubt, but the numbers haven't quite made it to the top tier of pitchers. Rather, he has just one season with 170 strikeouts and has yet to win 15 games. You may argue that a Cy Young is right around the corner, but we've been saying that for three years now and it is starting to look like we have another Strasburg on our hands
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Paxton has posted back-to-back seasons with an excellent strikeout rate and WHIP, but his ERA grew by nearly a run last year thanks to a spike in his home run rate. Under normal circumstances that could be chalked up to an outlier season, but Paxton is moving to a much more homer-friendly home park this season so it is possible the long ball issue could linger. Last season's 160 1/3 innings also represented a career-high for Paxton, who is not exactly known for his durability. Expect him to be quite good when he's on the mound, but don't expect more than about 150 innings and an ERA in the mid-3.00s.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 There is little doubt that Thor is a fantastic pitcher when healthy -- he has a 2.93 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, and 9.95 K/9 rate through 518 1/3 career innings. The issue, of course, is that Syndergaard has yet to reach 200 innings in a season, and has managed less than 155 innings in three of his four seasons in the Majors. As such, his value is very much format-dependent. He is significantly more valuable in a roto league with a low innings cap than he is in a points or categories league, and he's better suited to shallower leagues, where the replacement pitchers available on the waiver wire are better.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Paxton has posted the fifth-best K% (30.4) and FIP (2.95) among all starters with at least 200 IP in the past two seasons. Yet last season's 160.1 IP comfortably set a personal high. He holds a career 3.87 ERA away from Safeco Field, so pitching in Yankee Stadium could offset the potential wins boost. Know your league before deciding whether to sacrifice quantity for quantity from a top-20 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 The SP1 ceiling remains for Syndergaard, who registered a 3.03 ERA over 154.1 innings last year. Baseball's hardest-throwing starter submitted the lowest hard-hit rate (21.9%) and barrels per plate appearance (1.4%). His K/9 dropped nearly a run despite maintaining an elite 13.6% swinging-strike rate, so he could return to upper-echelon strikeout dominance. Although elite on a per-inning basis, he has never exceeded 183.1 frames in a single season. He's not durable enough to trust as a top-10 ace, but Thor could easily invade that territory by staying healthy.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Paxton was excellent last year with a whopping 208 Ks in just 160 innings, but this is also the first time he ever pitched above 140 innings. While the ceiling is clearly exciting with Paxton, re-injury is a significant risk, but he is moving from one of the best pitching parks in Seattle to one of the worst at Yankee Stadium.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros