Who Should I Draft?

Noah Syndergaard or James Paxton (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Noah Syndergaard
SP - NYM
Noah Syndergaard
James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
Expert
Recommendation
90%
Recommended by
53 of 59 experts
10%
Recommended by
6 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 11# 14
Best Rank# 2# 11
Worst Rank# 27# 31
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 35# 49
Best Rank# 33# 47
Worst Rank# 38# 55
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts182196
Wins1213
Saves00
ERA3.223.46
WHIP1.161.14
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 8# 19
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 22
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 12# 28
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 9# 15
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 11# 15
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 12# 16
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 9# 12
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 10# 15
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 10# 15
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 9# 15
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 11# 16
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 10# 12
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 7# 24
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 10# 16
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 9# 13
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 15
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 2# 27
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 11# 15
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 12# 14
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 11# 14
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 6# 16
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 11# 12
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 12# 15
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 13# 17
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 11# 21
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 18# 31
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 10# 13
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 7# 12
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 5# 19
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 9# 17
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 13# 16
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 9# 13
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 13# 19
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 11# 17
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 14# 15
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 11# 14
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 15# 18
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 10# 14
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 6# 28
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 10# 20
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 14# 16
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 11# 12
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 9# 13
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 18
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 14# 15
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 6# 15
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 10# 16
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 10# 16
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 8# 21
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 7# 19
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 11# 13
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 12# 18
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 10# 13
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 14# 11
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 12
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 19# 16
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 20# 16
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 21# 18
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 27# 22
   
  Noah Syndergaard
SP - NYM
Noah Syndergaard
James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2528
   
Games Started2528
   
Innings Pitched154.1160.1
   
Wins1311
   
Losses46
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed148134
   
Earned Runs5267
   
Home Runs Allowed923
   
Strikeouts155208
   
Walks3942
   
ERA3.033.76
   
WHIP1.211.10
   
  Noah Syndergaard
SP - NYM
Noah Syndergaard
James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2828
   
Games Started2828
   
Innings Pitched174.1166.2
   
Wins1213
   
Losses87
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed158144
   
Earned Runs6264
   
Home Runs Allowed1521
   
Strikeouts182196
   
Walks4545
   
ERA3.223.46
   
WHIP1.161.14
   
  Noah Syndergaard
SP - NYM
Noah Syndergaard
James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
News 
 Mets starter Noah Syndergaard allowed four earned runs on 10 hits and two walks while striking out six in a no-decision against the Rockies on Wednesday.
Mike Maher
Thu, Sep 19th
James Paxton struck out seven and allowed one run (none earned) on three hits and zero walks across six innings while earning a victory in a 7-2 win over the Blue Jays on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 22nd
 Mets starter Noah Syndergaard allowed four earned runs on five hits and two walks while striking out four over five innings in Friday's loss to the Dodgers.
Mike Maher
Sat, Sep 14th
James Paxton allowed one run on three hits with two walks and three strikeouts across five innings while earning a win against the Blue Jays on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 15th
 Mets starter Noah Syndergaard allowed four earned runs on six hits and one walk while striking out five over five innings in a no-decision against the Phillies on Sunday.
Mike Maher
Mon, Sep 9th
James Paxton gave up four hits and three walks while striking out seven through 6 2/3 scoreless innings to take the win over the Red Sox on Monday.
John Aubin
Tue, Sep 10th
 Mets starter Noah Syndergaard tossed seven scoreless innings in Monday's win over the Washington Nationals, allowing three hits while striking out 10.
Mike Maher
Tue, Sep 3rd
James Paxton pitched seven shutout innings, allowing only one hit and one walk, while striking out 12 as the Yankees defeated the Rangers 10-1.
Brandon Plutner
Tue, Sep 3rd
 Mets starter Noah Syndergaard allowed nine earned runs on nine hits and one walk while striking out five over three innings in Wednesday's loss to the Cubs. The loss drops him to 9-7 on the season.
Mike Maher
Thu, Aug 29th
James Paxton allowed two earned runs in five innings and improved to 11-6 on the year as the Yankees defeated the Mariners 7-3.
Brandon Plutner
Wed, Aug 28th
Notes 
 Thor has elite stuff without a doubt, but the numbers haven't quite made it to the top tier of pitchers. Rather, he has just one season with 170 strikeouts and has yet to win 15 games. You may argue that a Cy Young is right around the corner, but we've been saying that for three years now and it is starting to look like we have another Strasburg on our hands
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Paxton has posted back-to-back seasons with an excellent strikeout rate and WHIP, but his ERA grew by nearly a run last year thanks to a spike in his home run rate. Under normal circumstances that could be chalked up to an outlier season, but Paxton is moving to a much more homer-friendly home park this season so it is possible the long ball issue could linger. Last season's 160 1/3 innings also represented a career-high for Paxton, who is not exactly known for his durability. Expect him to be quite good when he's on the mound, but don't expect more than about 150 innings and an ERA in the mid-3.00s.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 There is little doubt that Thor is a fantastic pitcher when healthy -- he has a 2.93 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, and 9.95 K/9 rate through 518 1/3 career innings. The issue, of course, is that Syndergaard has yet to reach 200 innings in a season, and has managed less than 155 innings in three of his four seasons in the Majors. As such, his value is very much format-dependent. He is significantly more valuable in a roto league with a low innings cap than he is in a points or categories league, and he's better suited to shallower leagues, where the replacement pitchers available on the waiver wire are better.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Paxton has posted the fifth-best K% (30.4) and FIP (2.95) among all starters with at least 200 IP in the past two seasons. Yet last season's 160.1 IP comfortably set a personal high. He holds a career 3.87 ERA away from Safeco Field, so pitching in Yankee Stadium could offset the potential wins boost. Know your league before deciding whether to sacrifice quantity for quantity from a top-20 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 The SP1 ceiling remains for Syndergaard, who registered a 3.03 ERA over 154.1 innings last year. Baseball's hardest-throwing starter submitted the lowest hard-hit rate (21.9%) and barrels per plate appearance (1.4%). His K/9 dropped nearly a run despite maintaining an elite 13.6% swinging-strike rate, so he could return to upper-echelon strikeout dominance. Although elite on a per-inning basis, he has never exceeded 183.1 frames in a single season. He's not durable enough to trust as a top-10 ace, but Thor could easily invade that territory by staying healthy.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Paxton was excellent last year with a whopping 208 Ks in just 160 innings, but this is also the first time he ever pitched above 140 innings. While the ceiling is clearly exciting with Paxton, re-injury is a significant risk, but he is moving from one of the best pitching parks in Seattle to one of the worst at Yankee Stadium.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros