Skip to main content

Who Should I Draft?

Nolan Arenado or Adalberto Mondesi (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Adalberto Mondesi
3B,DH,SS - KC
Adalberto Mondesi
Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
Expert
Recommendation
59%
Recommended by
30 of 51 experts
41%
Recommended by
21 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 31# 30
Best Rank# 11# 9
Worst Rank# 138# 60
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 29# 33
Best Rank# 24# 30
Worst Rank# 65# 42
   
Projections 
   
Runs7685
Home Runs1731
RBI6497
Stolen Bases492
Batting Average.254.274
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 26# 29
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 24# 37
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 16# 31
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 36
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 24# 39
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 17# 41
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 18# 29
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 18# 30
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 35# 60
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 16# 20
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 35# 41
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 26# 33
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 31# 37
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 17# 19
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 16# 24
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 26# 47
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 20# 36
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 15# 41
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 26# 29
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 21# 38
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 17# 41
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 31# 53
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 18# 20
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 11# 31
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 26# 40
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 28# 37
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 18# 31
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 33# 51
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 25# 33
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 25# 42
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 25# 9
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 72# 14
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 15
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 21# 17
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 19# 18
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 52# 19
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 107# 26
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 138# 26
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 42# 28
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 55# 29
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 95# 29
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 33# 29
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 33# 29
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 30# 29
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 54# 31
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 38# 31
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 41# 32
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 62# 32
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 45# 32
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 43# 34
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 69# 45
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Adalberto Mondesi
3B,DH,SS - KC
Adalberto Mondesi
Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats219182
   
Runs3323
   
Hits5646
   
Singles3629
   
Doubles119
   
Triples30
   
Home Runs68
   
RBI2226
   
Stolen Bases240
   
Caught Stealing80
   
Walks1115
   
Strikeouts7020
   
Batting Average.256.253
   
On Base Pct.294.304
   
Slugging Pct.416.434
   
On-base Plus Slugging.710.738
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Adalberto Mondesi
3B,DH,SS - KC
Adalberto Mondesi
Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats526571
   
Runs7685
   
Hits133155
   
Singles8393
   
Doubles2529
   
Triples82
   
Home Runs1731
   
RBI6497
   
Stolen Bases492
   
Caught Stealing121
   
Walks2961
   
Strikeouts16295
   
Batting Average.254.274
   
On Base Pct.293.345
   
Slugging Pct.428.494
   
On-base Plus Slugging.721.839
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Adalberto Mondesi
3B,DH,SS - KC
Adalberto Mondesi
Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
News 
 Adalberto Mondesi went 2-for-4 with a walk, two doubles and a RBI during Friday's 11-6 win over the Twins.
Andy Zimmerman
Sat, Oct 2nd
Nolan Arenado went 1-for-3 with a solo homer and two RBI in a 6-2 win over the Brewers on Tuesday as St. Louis clinched a playoff berth in the National League.
Lucas Spence
Tue, Sep 28th
 Adalberto Mondesi went 2-for-5 with a RBI and a stolen base during Saturday's 8-1 win over the Mariners.
Andy Zimmerman
Sun, Sep 19th
Nolan Arenado went 2-for-3 with a walk and a two-run home run in a 5-2 win over the Brewers on Monday night.
Lucas Spence
Mon, Sep 20th
 Adalberto Mondesi (rest) is absent from Thursday's lineup for the Royals' matchup with Cleveland.
Jack Mannis
Thu, Sep 2nd
Nolan Arenado went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run in an 11-4 rout over the Mets on Wednesday.
Lucas Spence
Wed, Sep 15th
 Adalberto Mondesi went 2-for-5 with a home run, two runs scored and a stolen base during Wednesday's extra-inning loss to Cleveland.
Andy Zimmerman
Thu, Sep 2nd
Nolan Arenado went 1-for-3 with a two-run home run in a 2-0 win over the Reds on Sunday.
Lucas Spence
Sun, Sep 12th
 Adalberto Mondesi has been reinstated from the IL, and will start at designated hitter for the Royals on Wednesday.
Dan Harris
Wed, Sep 1st
Nolan Arenado went 2-for-3 with a triple, two runs scored, three RBI, and the go-ahead, two-run home run in the bottom of the eighth inning to give the Cardinals a 6-4 win over the Reds on Saturday.
Lucas Spence
Sat, Sep 11th
Notes 
 Mondesi will begin the year on the 10-day IL with a strained oblique. When healthy, however, there's no reason to doubt his performance. Even in a shortened year, it was a tale of two seasons for Mondesi. In 35 games in July and August, he batted just .186 with 11 runs, two RBI, no home runs, and eight steals. In his final 24 games, he batted .356 with six home runs, 22 runs scored, 20 RBI, and 16 steals. In the end, Mondesi delivered exactly the type of season that fantasy managers have come to expect, and his 24 steals were eight more than the next highest total. Mondesi won't help in batting average and offers minimal power, but he's an unmatched source of steals. And given that much of his lackluster first month can probably be written off to offseason shoulder surgery, fantasy managers should be able to expect closer to the second-half version of Mondesi rather than the first this year.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
On the bright side, Arenado struck out just 10% of the time, a career-best. On the down side, there was everything else. Arenado batted just .253 and put up a 162-game pace of 27 home runs, 78 runs, 88 RBI, and zero steals. Those numbers won't kill your fantasy team, but considering Arenado's worst numbers over the previous five seasons were 37 home runs, 97 runs scored, and 110 RBI, they were a disaster. The good news, at least from the standpoint of projecting Arenado into the future, is that he was dealing with an injured AC joint in his shoulder for most of the season. In other words, fantasy managers can largely ignore Arenado's poor 2020 numbers, and focus instead on how he will perform now that he's been traded to the Cardinals. Although there's likely to be some dip in his numbers, we've seen hitters leave the Rockies and largely retain their value (or, in the case of DJ LeMahieu, increase their value), The best part is you won't have to pay that first-round price anymore, and if his ADP drops after the trade to St. Louis, it should be easy to turn a profit.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Overall the final three weeks of the 2020 season, Mondesi was the hottest hitter in baseball. After failing to live up to his preseason expectations for most of the year, Mondesi hit .376 with 16 (!!) stolen bases over his final 93 plate appearances. It would be easy to argue that he won fantasy leagues down the stretch if it wasn't for such a brutal showing at the plate leading up to it. Still, this is the type of monstrous stolen base upside that'll keep us invested entering 2021. It goes without saying that Mondesi's value increases in roto leagues. He should be viewed as a wildly volatile player to draft.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
The concern around Arenado leaving Coors may seem a bit overstated, but it is a legitimate concern. He has always been a superior hitter playing in Colorado and his statcast data has been on a steady decline for several years now. He is not someone I have been targeting in drafts.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
  Arenado suffered a shoulder injury in his fifth game of the year in 2020. He played through it, and it clearly affected his power stroke. Instead of crushing doubles and homers over the heads of opposing outfielders, Arenado was weakly flying out. He was later shut down with a week left in the year, and I think it's fair to attribute his poor production to playing through injury. However, there will always be analysts knocking down Arenado for his move away from Coors Field. Yet savvy fantasy managers know by now that playing half your games in Coors hurts your road numbers more than any other park, so we can't simply view Arenado's road numbers as "who he truly is." For example, Matt Holliday's road OPS while with the Rockies was .803. While with the Cardinals? .853. I'm aggressively targeting Arenado anytime he lasts until Round 3 of drafts this spring, and I'll be sure to get some shares late in the second as well.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros