Who Should I Draft?

Nolan Arenado or Alex Bregman (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Nolan Arenado
3B - COL
Nolan Arenado
Alex Bregman
3B,SS - HOU
Alex Bregman
Expert
Recommendation
95%
Recommended by
56 of 59 experts
5%
Recommended by
3 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 3# 12
Best Rank# 3# 4
Worst Rank# 10# 22
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 6# 13
Best Rank# 3# 10
Worst Rank# 7# 15
   
Projections 
   
Runs10099
Home Runs3827
RBI11394
Stolen Bases311
Batting Average.292.287
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 3# 9
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 3# 12
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 3# 11
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 3# 12
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 8# 19
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 3# 6
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 5# 17
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 4# 17
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 5# 18
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 4# 8
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 4# 14
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 5# 12
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 3# 22
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 5# 20
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 4# 7
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 5# 10
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 15
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 6# 18
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 6# 15
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 5# 16
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 4# 12
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 5# 12
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 8# 16
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 4# 20
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 4# 21
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 4# 9
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 4# 10
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 3# 12
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 6# 9
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 5# 17
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 4# 17
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 3# 19
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 3# 20
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 4# 9
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 6# 8
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 3# 11
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 3# 10
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 5# 13
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 5# 10
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 6# 13
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 7# 10
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 4# 11
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 4# 11
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 3# 16
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 7# 16
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 9# 10
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 3# 5
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 5# 12
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 4# 12
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 3# 15
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 5# 11
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 6# 10
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 3# 7
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 4# 17
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 5# 8
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 3# 9
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 8# 7
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 8# 7
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 10# 4
   
  Nolan Arenado
3B - COL
Nolan Arenado
Alex Bregman
3B,SS - HOU
Alex Bregman
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats590594
   
Runs104105
   
Hits175170
   
Singles9787
   
Doubles3851
   
Triples21
   
Home Runs3831
   
RBI110103
   
Stolen Bases210
   
Caught Stealing24
   
Walks7396
   
Strikeouts12285
   
Batting Average.297.286
   
On Base Pct.374.394
   
Slugging Pct.561.532
   
On-base Plus Slugging.935.926
   
  Nolan Arenado
3B - COL
Nolan Arenado
Alex Bregman
3B,SS - HOU
Alex Bregman
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats587572
   
Runs10099
   
Hits172164
   
Singles9192
   
Doubles3842
   
Triples43
   
Home Runs3827
   
RBI11394
   
Stolen Bases311
   
Caught Stealing24
   
Walks6677
   
Strikeouts11388
   
Batting Average.292.287
   
On Base Pct.363.372
   
Slugging Pct.561.514
   
On-base Plus Slugging.924.885
   
  Nolan Arenado
3B - COL
Nolan Arenado
Alex Bregman
3B,SS - HOU
Alex Bregman
News 
 Nolan Arenado went 2-for-4 with a homer, a double, a walk, and two RBI as the Rockies fell to the Cardinals 10-3 on Thursday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 13th
Alex Bregman went 1-for-3 with a solo home run and a walk in Tuesday's 4-1 win over the Rangers.
Brad Camara
Wed, Sep 18th
 Nolan Arenado went 2-for-4 with a homer and two RBI as the Rockies beat the Cardinals 2-1 on Tuesday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 11th
Alex Bregman went 1-for-2 with a home run, three walks and an additional run scored in Saturday's 6-1 win over the Royals.
Brad Camara
Sun, Sep 15th
 Nolan Arenado hit his 37th homer of the year as the Rockies fell to the Dodgers 5-3 on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 4th
Alex Bregman went 1-for-2 with a three-run home run and a walk in Monday's 15-0 win over the Athletics.
Brad Camara
Tue, Sep 10th
 Nolan Arenado went 2-for-4 with two singles as the Rockies fell to the Pirates 9-4 on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Aug 31st
Alex Bregman went 1-for-3 with a solo home run and a walk in Saturday's 2-1 win over the Mariners.
Brad Camara
Sun, Sep 8th
 Nolan Arenado went 3-for-5 with a homer, a double, and two runs scored in the Rockies' 11-4 loss to the Cardinals on Sunday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Aug 26th
Alex Bregman went 2-for-4 with a home run in Tuesday's 4-2 loss to the Brewers.
Brad Camara
Wed, Sep 4th
Notes 
 Drafters know what they're getting in Arenado, who has batted no lower than .287 with at least 37 homers and 110 RBI in the last four years. He has played all but 16 games in those four seasons, making him a durable beacon of consistency worthy of a first-round selection. He signed an extension during the offseason, so investors no longer need to worry about a midseason trade removing him from Coors Field. A lack of steals is an unfortunate, but acceptable tradeoff for locking in bankable production at every other category.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Bregman had 83 extra-base hits last season to go with 105 runs and 103 RBIs despite being just 24 years old. Chances are high that his fantasy value continues to trend north. With that said, he is currently recovering from elbow surgery so be sure to keep an eye on his progress before picking him up in the 1st round this spring.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Arenado might not feel like the sexiest pick at this stage because he isn't the hot new name, nor is he a five-category star, but there is nothing wrong with boring old reliability. He has averaged 40 homers, 125 RBIs and 100 runs while batting .297 over the last four seasons. Don't let him slip past this 5th pick in your drafts.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
With great plate discipline and a great supporting cast, Bregman is a very safe, high-floor selection on draft day. He's an excellent bet to produce a .280 average, 25-30 HRs, and around 10 stolen bases, with big run and RBI totals thanks to the Astros' stacked lineup.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 When it comes to elite production that you can bank on year in and year out, look no further than Arenado. Some people will quibble that his lack of steals makes him a four-category player, but that hasn't stopped Arenado from producing four straight seasons as a top-10 overall hitter in standard 5x5 leagues. The only other knock on Arenado is that he is much better in the thin air of Coors Field, but fresh off a record-breaking contract extension, fantasy owners no longer need to worry about the possibility of a mid-season trade out of Colorado. You can write it down in marker that he will provide around 40 home runs, 100 runs, 110 RBIs, and a batting average in the .290 range, making Arenado a nice bargain at his average draft position (ADP) of 6.8.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Bregman's superstar ascension featured a stellar .286/.394/.532 slash line, 32 homers, and more walks (96) than strikeouts (85). He finished among the top five in contact, outside-swing, and swinging-strike rates, so the elite plate approach could feasibly net a .300 average in 2019. Yet a .463 xSLG suggests he hit his power ceiling, which is concerning considering the drop in steals (10). Drafters now must also monitor his progress from offseason arthroscopic surgery on his elbow, making Bregman a dicey proposition in the first round.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros