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Who Should I Draft?

Nolan Arenado or Alex Bregman (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Alex Bregman
3B,SS - HOU
Alex Bregman
Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
Expert
Recommendation
64%
Recommended by
14 of 22 experts
36%
Recommended by
8 of 22 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 23# 30
Best Rank# 15# 14
Worst Rank# 44# 51
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 36# 28
Best Rank# 30# 21
Worst Rank# 42# 38
   
Projections 
   
Runs9787
Home Runs2932
RBI9699
Stolen Bases52
Batting Average.281.277
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 21# 26
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 28
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 27# 32
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 32
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 18# 32
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 31# 51
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 31# 33
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 19# 26
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 31# 35
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 20# 25
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 44# 51
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 16# 17
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 26# 33
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 15# 29
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 17# 14
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 32# 14
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 27# 17
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 20# 17
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 27# 18
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 21# 19
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 35# 27
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 43# 42
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Alex Bregman
3B,SS - HOU
Alex Bregman
Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats153182
   
Runs1923
   
Hits3746
   
Singles1829
   
Doubles129
   
Triples10
   
Home Runs68
   
RBI2226
   
Stolen Bases00
   
Caught Stealing00
   
Walks2415
   
Strikeouts2620
   
Batting Average.242.253
   
On Base Pct.350.304
   
Slugging Pct.451.434
   
On-base Plus Slugging.801.738
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Alex Bregman
3B,SS - HOU
Alex Bregman
Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats546577
   
Runs9787
   
Hits151158
   
Singles8294
   
Doubles3730
   
Triples22
   
Home Runs2932
   
RBI9699
   
Stolen Bases52
   
Caught Stealing21
   
Walks9261
   
Strikeouts8795
   
Batting Average.281.277
   
On Base Pct.382.344
   
Slugging Pct.518.499
   
On-base Plus Slugging.899.843
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Alex Bregman
3B,SS - HOU
Alex Bregman
Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
News 
 Alex Bregman (hamstring) took batting practice on the field on Thursday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Feb 25th
According to Mark Feinsand, the trade between the Rockies and Cardinals is official. The Cardinals officially acquired Nolan Arenado plus cash considerations for Austin Gomber, Elehuris Montero, Tony Locey, Mateo Gil, and Jake Sommers.
Corbin Young
Mon, Feb 1st
 Astros 3B Alex Bregman is dealing with a "slight tweak" in his hamstring.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Feb 24th
The Rockies have traded 3B Nolan Arenado to the Cardinals on Friday.
Brad Camara
Fri, Jan 29th
  According to Ken Rosenthal, the Cardinals and Rockies are discussing a trade involving Nolan Arenado. At this point, it's mostly speculation, but the trade rumors involving Arenado have been happening.
Corbin Young
Fri, Jan 29th
Notes 
 2020 was just a bad season for Bregman, plain and simple. He missed time with a hamstring injury, and generally regressed in every major statistical category. Considering that Bregman will be just 27 years old on Opening Day and had batted .291 with 72 home runs combined over the previous two seasons, fantasy managers can probably just throw out most of what they saw from him in 2020. He'll continue to be an upper echelon option at third base and considering his strong walk and strikeout rates, an even better one in points leagues.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
On the bright side, Arenado struck out just 10% of the time, a career-best. On the down side, there was everything else. Arenado batted just .253 and put up a 162-game pace of 27 home runs, 78 runs, 88 RBI, and zero steals. Those numbers won't kill your fantasy team, but considering Arenado's worst numbers over the previous five seasons were 37 home runs, 97 runs scored, and 110 RBI, they were a disaster. The good news, at least from the standpoint of projecting Arenado into the future, is that he was dealing with an injured AC joint in his shoulder for most of the season. In other words, fantasy managers can largely ignore Arenado's poor 2020 numbers, and focus instead on how he will perform now that he's been traded to the Cardinals. Although there's likely to be some dip in his numbers, we've seen hitters leave the Rockies and largely retain their value (or, in the case of DJ LeMahieu, increase their value), The best part is you won't have to pay that first-round price anymore, and if his ADP drops after the trade to St. Louis, it should be easy to turn a profit.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Arenado suffered a shoulder injury in his fifth game of the year in 2020. He played through it, and it clearly affected his power stroke. Instead of crushing doubles and homers over the heads of opposing outfielders, Arenado was weakly flying out. He was later shut down with a week left in the year, and I think it's fair to attribute his poor production to playing through injury. However, there will always be analysts knocking down Arenado for his move away from Coors Field. Yet savvy fantasy managers know by now that playing half your games in Coors hurts your road numbers more than any other park, so we can't simply view Arenado's road numbers as "who he truly is." For example, Matt Holliday's road OPS while with the Rockies was .803. While with the Cardinals? .853. I'm aggressively targeting Arenado anytime he lasts until Round 3 of drafts this spring, and I'll be sure to get some shares late in the second as well.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros