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Who Should I Draft?

Nolan Arenado or Eugenio Suarez (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
Eugenio Suarez
3B,SS - CIN
Eugenio Suarez
Expert
Recommendation
73%
Recommended by
37 of 51 experts
27%
Recommended by
14 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 30# 41
Best Rank# 9# 22
Worst Rank# 60# 69
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 33# 61
Best Rank# 30# 59
Worst Rank# 42# 69
   
Projections 
   
Runs8586
Home Runs3138
RBI97103
Stolen Bases23
Batting Average.274.253
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertDTD-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 32# 44
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 46
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 31# 53
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 29# 43
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 34# 51
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 31# 38
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 9# 64
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 29# 34
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 29# 45
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 30# 43
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 20# 69
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 33# 37
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 26# 46
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 37# 45
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 19# 49
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 31# 53
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 24# 53
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 32# 42
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 26# 51
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 29# 40
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 29# 36
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 32# 42
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 38# 48
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 18# 49
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 45
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 29# 38
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 45# 46
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 29# 46
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 20# 42
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 17# 43
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 31# 57
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 40# 59
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 19# 47
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 14# 56
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 31# 41
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 33# 50
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 29# 54
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 36# 33
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 22
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 37# 35
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 37# 30
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 39# 33
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 41# 36
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 41# 39
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 41# 38
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 41# 31
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 42# 34
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 47# 32
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 51# 30
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 53# 29
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 60# 55
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
Eugenio Suarez
3B,SS - CIN
Eugenio Suarez
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats182198
   
Runs2329
   
Hits4640
   
Singles2917
   
Doubles98
   
Triples00
   
Home Runs815
   
RBI2638
   
Stolen Bases02
   
Caught Stealing00
   
Walks1530
   
Strikeouts2067
   
Batting Average.253.202
   
On Base Pct.304.312
   
Slugging Pct.434.470
   
On-base Plus Slugging.738.781
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
Eugenio Suarez
3B,SS - CIN
Eugenio Suarez
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats571551
   
Runs8586
   
Hits155138
   
Singles9374
   
Doubles2924
   
Triples22
   
Home Runs3138
   
RBI97103
   
Stolen Bases23
   
Caught Stealing11
   
Walks6173
   
Strikeouts95174
   
Batting Average.274.253
   
On Base Pct.345.341
   
Slugging Pct.494.507
   
On-base Plus Slugging.839.848
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
Eugenio Suarez
3B,SS - CIN
Eugenio Suarez
News 
 Nolan Arenado went 2-for-3 with a walk and a two-run home run in a 5-2 win over the Brewers on Monday night.
Lucas Spence
Mon, Sep 20th
Eugenio Suarez went 2-for-5 with a solo home runs Monday against the Pirates.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Sep 21st
 Nolan Arenado went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run in an 11-4 rout over the Mets on Wednesday.
Lucas Spence
Wed, Sep 15th
Eugenio Suarez went 2-for-3 with a walk and a solo home run Friday against the Cardinals.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 11th
 Nolan Arenado went 1-for-3 with a two-run home run in a 2-0 win over the Reds on Sunday.
Lucas Spence
Sun, Sep 12th
Eugenio Suarez went 1-for-2 with a walk and a solo home run Friday against the Tigers.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 4th
 Nolan Arenado went 2-for-3 with a triple, two runs scored, three RBI, and the go-ahead, two-run home run in the bottom of the eighth inning to give the Cardinals a 6-4 win over the Reds on Saturday.
Lucas Spence
Sat, Sep 11th
Eugenio Suarez went 2-for-4 with a double and a solo home run Wednesday against the Cardinals.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 1st
 Nolan Arenado went 1-for-3 with a pair of RBI in a loss to the Dodgers on Tuesday.
Lucas Spence
Tue, Sep 7th
Eugenio Suarez went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run Friday against the Phillies.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Aug 14th
Notes 
 On the bright side, Arenado struck out just 10% of the time, a career-best. On the down side, there was everything else. Arenado batted just .253 and put up a 162-game pace of 27 home runs, 78 runs, 88 RBI, and zero steals. Those numbers won't kill your fantasy team, but considering Arenado's worst numbers over the previous five seasons were 37 home runs, 97 runs scored, and 110 RBI, they were a disaster. The good news, at least from the standpoint of projecting Arenado into the future, is that he was dealing with an injured AC joint in his shoulder for most of the season. In other words, fantasy managers can largely ignore Arenado's poor 2020 numbers, and focus instead on how he will perform now that he's been traded to the Cardinals. Although there's likely to be some dip in his numbers, we've seen hitters leave the Rockies and largely retain their value (or, in the case of DJ LeMahieu, increase their value), The best part is you won't have to pay that first-round price anymore, and if his ADP drops after the trade to St. Louis, it should be easy to turn a profit.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Suarez's power numbers were again strong in last year's shortened season, but his batting average plummeted to just .202. He hit the ball as hard as ever, however, and ranked in the top 9% of the league in average exit velocity. Suarez's BABIP was just .214 (he has a .310 mark), and although he hit more fly balls than usual, there's nothing to suggest that his batting average should have fallen off a cliff. In other words, there's plenty of reason to expect Suarez to hit closer to his .261 career batting average this year. Add to that his potential for 40 home runs and 200 combined runs and RBI, and he'll likely be a value in this year's draft.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 The concern around Arenado leaving Coors may seem a bit overstated, but it is a legitimate concern. He has always been a superior hitter playing in Colorado and his statcast data has been on a steady decline for several years now. He is not someone I have been targeting in drafts.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
 
 Arenado suffered a shoulder injury in his fifth game of the year in 2020. He played through it, and it clearly affected his power stroke. Instead of crushing doubles and homers over the heads of opposing outfielders, Arenado was weakly flying out. He was later shut down with a week left in the year, and I think it's fair to attribute his poor production to playing through injury. However, there will always be analysts knocking down Arenado for his move away from Coors Field. Yet savvy fantasy managers know by now that playing half your games in Coors hurts your road numbers more than any other park, so we can't simply view Arenado's road numbers as "who he truly is." For example, Matt Holliday's road OPS while with the Rockies was .803. While with the Cardinals? .853. I'm aggressively targeting Arenado anytime he lasts until Round 3 of drafts this spring, and I'll be sure to get some shares late in the second as well.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros