Skip to main content

Who Should I Draft?

Nolan Arenado or George Springer (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
George Springer
CF,DH,RF - TOR
George Springer
Expert
Recommendation
65%
Recommended by
33 of 51 experts
35%
Recommended by
18 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 30# 35
Best Rank# 9# 19
Worst Rank# 60# 58
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 33# 50
Best Rank# 30# 44
Worst Rank# 42# 52
   
Projections 
   
Runs85100
Home Runs3134
RBI9791
Stolen Bases26
Batting Average.274.275
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 32# 34
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 40
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 31# 35
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 34# 39
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 31# 32
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 9# 54
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 41
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 29# 37
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 29# 38
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 30# 31
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 20# 33
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 26# 48
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 19# 31
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 31# 40
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 24# 58
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 36# 38
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 32# 34
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 26# 40
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 41# 42
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 29# 34
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 29# 52
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 32# 37
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 18# 35
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 35
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 29# 32
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 29# 35
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 20# 40
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 17# 31
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 19# 34
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 14# 35
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 31# 32
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 51# 57
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 33# 58
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 29# 25
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 29# 26
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 31# 28
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 33# 32
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 37# 32
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 37# 33
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 37# 33
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 38# 34
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 39# 21
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 40# 29
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 41# 31
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 41# 30
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 41# 30
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 42# 32
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 45# 30
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 47# 36
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 53# 19
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 60# 32
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
George Springer
CF,DH,RF - TOR
George Springer
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats182189
   
Runs2337
   
Hits4649
   
Singles2927
   
Doubles96
   
Triples02
   
Home Runs814
   
RBI2632
   
Stolen Bases01
   
Caught Stealing02
   
Walks1524
   
Strikeouts2038
   
Batting Average.253.259
   
On Base Pct.304.355
   
Slugging Pct.434.534
   
On-base Plus Slugging.738.889
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
George Springer
CF,DH,RF - TOR
George Springer
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats571534
   
Runs85100
   
Hits155145
   
Singles9385
   
Doubles2924
   
Triples22
   
Home Runs3134
   
RBI9791
   
Stolen Bases26
   
Caught Stealing13
   
Walks6167
   
Strikeouts95122
   
Batting Average.274.275
   
On Base Pct.345.357
   
Slugging Pct.494.517
   
On-base Plus Slugging.839.874
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
George Springer
CF,DH,RF - TOR
George Springer
News 
 Nolan Arenado went 1-for-3 with a solo homer and two RBI in a 6-2 win over the Brewers on Tuesday as St. Louis clinched a playoff berth in the National League.
Lucas Spence
Tue, Sep 28th
George Springer went 4-for-5 with a double, a three-run home run, and a second run scored in Saturday's 10-1 win over the Orioles.
John Aubin
Sun, Oct 3rd
 Nolan Arenado went 2-for-3 with a walk and a two-run home run in a 5-2 win over the Brewers on Monday night.
Lucas Spence
Mon, Sep 20th
George Springer went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run and a walk in the Blue Jay's 6-1 win over the Twins on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 26th
 Nolan Arenado went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run in an 11-4 rout over the Mets on Wednesday.
Lucas Spence
Wed, Sep 15th
George Springer went 1-for-3 with a walk and scored a run in the win against the Rays by a 4-2 score.
John Aubin
Wed, Sep 22nd
 Nolan Arenado went 1-for-3 with a two-run home run in a 2-0 win over the Reds on Sunday.
Lucas Spence
Sun, Sep 12th
George Springer went 3-for-8 with a home run, a walk, two RBI, and two runs scored across both games of Saturday's doubleheader versus Baltimore.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 12th
 Nolan Arenado went 2-for-3 with a triple, two runs scored, three RBI, and the go-ahead, two-run home run in the bottom of the eighth inning to give the Cardinals a 6-4 win over the Reds on Saturday.
Lucas Spence
Sat, Sep 11th
George Springer (knee) went 1-for-5 with a strikeouts in his return to the lineup on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 11th
Notes 
 On the bright side, Arenado struck out just 10% of the time, a career-best. On the down side, there was everything else. Arenado batted just .253 and put up a 162-game pace of 27 home runs, 78 runs, 88 RBI, and zero steals. Those numbers won't kill your fantasy team, but considering Arenado's worst numbers over the previous five seasons were 37 home runs, 97 runs scored, and 110 RBI, they were a disaster. The good news, at least from the standpoint of projecting Arenado into the future, is that he was dealing with an injured AC joint in his shoulder for most of the season. In other words, fantasy managers can largely ignore Arenado's poor 2020 numbers, and focus instead on how he will perform now that he's been traded to the Cardinals. Although there's likely to be some dip in his numbers, we've seen hitters leave the Rockies and largely retain their value (or, in the case of DJ LeMahieu, increase their value), The best part is you won't have to pay that first-round price anymore, and if his ADP drops after the trade to St. Louis, it should be easy to turn a profit.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Springer is dealing with a grade-2 oblique strain, and his status is in doubt for Opening Day, though the injury is not expected to keep him out for very long. When healthy, he's a dynamic player. Springer's batting average fell off a tad last year, but once he was past his wrist injury, he was explosive, batting .316 with a 1.033 OPS over the final month of the season. His expected statistics were excellent, as he ranked in the top eight percent of the league in xBA, xSLG, and xWOBA. Now with the Blue Jays and an extreme hitter's park (wherever the Blue Jay play this year), he should once again be in line for a stellar year. Home runs and runs scored should again be plentiful, making Springer a rock solid second outfielder in mixed leagues.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 The concern around Arenado leaving Coors may seem a bit overstated, but it is a legitimate concern. He has always been a superior hitter playing in Colorado and his statcast data has been on a steady decline for several years now. He is not someone I have been targeting in drafts.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
 
 Arenado suffered a shoulder injury in his fifth game of the year in 2020. He played through it, and it clearly affected his power stroke. Instead of crushing doubles and homers over the heads of opposing outfielders, Arenado was weakly flying out. He was later shut down with a week left in the year, and I think it's fair to attribute his poor production to playing through injury. However, there will always be analysts knocking down Arenado for his move away from Coors Field. Yet savvy fantasy managers know by now that playing half your games in Coors hurts your road numbers more than any other park, so we can't simply view Arenado's road numbers as "who he truly is." For example, Matt Holliday's road OPS while with the Rockies was .803. While with the Cardinals? .853. I'm aggressively targeting Arenado anytime he lasts until Round 3 of drafts this spring, and I'll be sure to get some shares late in the second as well.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros