Who Should I Draft?

Nolan Arenado or Manny Machado (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Nolan Arenado
3B - COL
Nolan Arenado
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Expert
Recommendation
98%
Recommended by
58 of 59 experts
2%
Recommended by
1 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 3# 13
Best Rank# 3# 7
Worst Rank# 10# 160
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 6# 17
Best Rank# 3# 13
Worst Rank# 7# 21
   
Projections 
   
Runs10088
Home Runs3832
RBI11395
Stolen Bases310
Batting Average.292.284
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 3# 14
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 3# 23
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 3# 17
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 3# 31
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 8# 25
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 3# 13
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 5# 12
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 4# 15
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 5# 19
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 8# 9
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 4# 9
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 8# 21
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 4# 15
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 5# 10
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 3# 11
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 5# 12
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 4# 11
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 5# 11
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 18
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 6# 15
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 6# 10
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 5# 13
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 4# 13
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 5# 11
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 8# 14
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 4# 13
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 4# 22
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 4# 14
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 4# 11
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 3# 14
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 6# 14
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 5# 160
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 4# 9
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 3# 10
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 3# 13
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 4# 12
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 6# 7
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 3# 14
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 3# 14
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 5# 14
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 5# 8
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 6# 14
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 7# 9
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 4# 10
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 4# 14
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 3# 10
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 7# 10
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 3# 22
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 5# 9
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 4# 8
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 3# 13
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 5# 15
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 6# 20
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 3# 16
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 10# 14
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 4# 16
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 5# 7
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 3# 11
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 9# 7
   
  Nolan Arenado
3B - COL
Nolan Arenado
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats590632
   
Runs10484
   
Hits175188
   
Singles97113
   
Doubles3835
   
Triples23
   
Home Runs3837
   
RBI110107
   
Stolen Bases214
   
Caught Stealing22
   
Walks7370
   
Strikeouts122104
   
Batting Average.297.298
   
On Base Pct.374.367
   
Slugging Pct.561.538
   
On-base Plus Slugging.935.905
   
  Nolan Arenado
3B - COL
Nolan Arenado
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats587595
   
Runs10088
   
Hits172169
   
Singles91101
   
Doubles3832
   
Triples43
   
Home Runs3832
   
RBI11395
   
Stolen Bases310
   
Caught Stealing23
   
Walks6660
   
Strikeouts113104
   
Batting Average.292.284
   
On Base Pct.363.349
   
Slugging Pct.561.510
   
On-base Plus Slugging.924.859
   
  Nolan Arenado
3B - COL
Nolan Arenado
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
News 
 Nolan Arenado hit his 41st homer of the year in the Rockies' 12-5 loss to the Dodgers on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 21st
Manny Machado hit his 30th homer of the year in the Padres' 11-10 loss to the Rockies on Saturday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Sep 15th
 Nolan Arenado went 2-for-4 with a homer, a double, a walk, and two RBI as the Rockies fell to the Cardinals 10-3 on Thursday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 13th
Manny Machado went 0-for-5 with a strikeout as the Padres beat the Cubs 9-8 on Tuesday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 11th
 Nolan Arenado went 2-for-4 with a homer and two RBI as the Rockies beat the Cardinals 2-1 on Tuesday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 11th
Manny Machado went 1-for-3 with a walk in the Padres' 4-1 loss to the Diamondbacks on Wednesday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Sep 5th
 Nolan Arenado hit his 37th homer of the year as the Rockies fell to the Dodgers 5-3 on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 4th
Manny Machado went 2-for-4 with a homer, a double, and two runs scored in the Padres' 8-3 loss to the Giants on Friday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Aug 31st
 Nolan Arenado went 2-for-4 with two singles as the Rockies fell to the Pirates 9-4 on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Aug 31st
Manny Machado went 1-for-3 with a double and a stolen base in the Padres' 9-0 loss to the Dodgers on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Aug 28th
Notes 
 Drafters know what they're getting in Arenado, who has batted no lower than .287 with at least 37 homers and 110 RBI in the last four years. He has played all but 16 games in those four seasons, making him a durable beacon of consistency worthy of a first-round selection. He signed an extension during the offseason, so investors no longer need to worry about a midseason trade removing him from Coors Field. A lack of steals is an unfortunate, but acceptable tradeoff for locking in bankable production at every other category.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Regardless of what you think about Machado, he has been a reliable force of nature the last few years and likely hasn't even come into his prime yet. The landing spot in San Diego isn't quite what you would think, as it has actually been a top half of the league ballpark for right-handed hitters since they moved their fences in. So don't hesitate to snag him at the end of the first round, as he seems destined for another 35+ homer, 90+ RBI, 90+ run season
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Arenado might not feel like the sexiest pick at this stage because he isn't the hot new name, nor is he a five-category star, but there is nothing wrong with boring old reliability. He has averaged 40 homers, 125 RBIs and 100 runs while batting .297 over the last four seasons. Don't let him slip past this 5th pick in your drafts.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Machado has four straight seasons with at least 33 home runs, and has finished as a top-20 hitter in standard 5x5 leagues in three of the last four years (he finished a still solid 42nd in 2017). The move to San Diego isn't ideal for his fantasy value, but Petco Park isn't nearly as much of a problem for hitters as it once was, particularly when it comes to right-handed power hitters like Machado. Padres manager Andy Green also sends runners much more frequently than the Orioles or Dodgers do, which could help Machado's stolen base totals.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 When it comes to elite production that you can bank on year in and year out, look no further than Arenado. Some people will quibble that his lack of steals makes him a four-category player, but that hasn't stopped Arenado from producing four straight seasons as a top-10 overall hitter in standard 5x5 leagues. The only other knock on Arenado is that he is much better in the thin air of Coors Field, but fresh off a record-breaking contract extension, fantasy owners no longer need to worry about the possibility of a mid-season trade out of Colorado. You can write it down in marker that he will provide around 40 home runs, 100 runs, 110 RBIs, and a batting average in the .290 range, making Arenado a nice bargain at his average draft position (ADP) of 6.8.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Along with setting personal highs in each element of his .297/.367/.538 slash line, Machado bashed 37 homers and stole 14 bases, a significant development since he stole none in 2016. He has hit 33 homers in at least 690 plate appearances in each of the last four seasons, so he'd probably be considered a first-round lock if not for remaining unsigned. Now that he established 2017's funk as the clear outlier, Machado is a trustworthy stud eligible for shortstop and third (16 games) in most formats. Signing the Padres doesn't kill his worth, but he's someone to target near the Round ½ turn rather than inside the top 10.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros