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Who Should I Draft?

Nolan Arenado or Ozzie Albies (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Ozzie Albies
2B - ATL
Ozzie Albies
Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
Expert
Recommendation
60%
Recommended by
12 of 20 experts
40%
Recommended by
8 of 20 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 20# 25
Best Rank# 15# 13
Worst Rank# 46# 51
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 31# 28
Best Rank# 28# 21
Worst Rank# 38# 37
   
Projections 
   
Runs9386
Home Runs2432
RBI8399
Stolen Bases152
Batting Average.283.275
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 23# 26
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 21# 28
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 16# 17
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 21
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 20# 32
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 15# 51
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 24# 33
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 29# 35
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 19# 25
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 16# 27
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 29# 42
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 21# 29
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 31# 13
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 18# 14
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 21# 14
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 23# 17
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 46# 17
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 20# 18
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 20# 19
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 33# 32
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Ozzie Albies
2B - ATL
Ozzie Albies
Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats118182
   
Runs2123
   
Hits3246
   
Singles2129
   
Doubles59
   
Triples00
   
Home Runs68
   
RBI1926
   
Stolen Bases30
   
Caught Stealing10
   
Walks515
   
Strikeouts3020
   
Batting Average.271.253
   
On Base Pct.307.304
   
Slugging Pct.466.434
   
On-base Plus Slugging.773.738
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Ozzie Albies
2B - ATL
Ozzie Albies
Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats587575
   
Runs9386
   
Hits165157
   
Singles10193
   
Doubles3529
   
Triples52
   
Home Runs2432
   
RBI8399
   
Stolen Bases152
   
Caught Stealing41
   
Walks4461
   
Strikeouts11295
   
Batting Average.283.275
   
On Base Pct.331.343
   
Slugging Pct.480.499
   
On-base Plus Slugging.811.842
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Ozzie Albies
2B - ATL
Ozzie Albies
Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
News 
  According to Mark Feinsand, the trade between the Rockies and Cardinals is official. The Cardinals officially acquired Nolan Arenado plus cash considerations for Austin Gomber, Elehuris Montero, Tony Locey, Mateo Gil, and Jake Sommers.
Corbin Young
Mon, Feb 1st
  The Rockies have traded 3B Nolan Arenado to the Cardinals on Friday.
Brad Camara
Fri, Jan 29th
  According to Ken Rosenthal, the Cardinals and Rockies are discussing a trade involving Nolan Arenado. At this point, it's mostly speculation, but the trade rumors involving Arenado have been happening.
Corbin Young
Fri, Jan 29th
Notes 
 A wrist injury limited Albies to just 29 games last season, and affected his performance early in the year before he went on the IL. In other words, there's little reason to draw conclusions from anything he did last year, including his drop in walk rate and increase in strikeout rate. Albies had established a rough 24-15 baseline from 2018-2019, and at 24 years old, there's no reason to expect that floor to decrease. With his power and speed combination, and his locked in strong RBI and runs scored numbers batting near the top of the Braves' lineup, Albies should be either the first second baseman drafted or the second behind DJ LeMahieu, depending on how you want to build your team.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
On the bright side, Arenado struck out just 10% of the time, a career-best. On the down side, there was everything else. Arenado batted just .253 and put up a 162-game pace of 27 home runs, 78 runs, 88 RBI, and zero steals. Those numbers won't kill your fantasy team, but considering Arenado's worst numbers over the previous five seasons were 37 home runs, 97 runs scored, and 110 RBI, they were a disaster. The good news, at least from the standpoint of projecting Arenado into the future, is that he was dealing with an injured AC joint in his shoulder for most of the season. In other words, fantasy managers can largely ignore Arenado's poor 2020 numbers, and focus instead on how he will perform now that he's been traded to the Cardinals. Although there's likely to be some dip in his numbers, we've seen hitters leave the Rockies and largely retain their value (or, in the case of DJ LeMahieu, increase their value), The best part is you won't have to pay that first-round price anymore, and if his ADP drops after the trade to St. Louis, it should be easy to turn a profit.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Arenado suffered a shoulder injury in his fifth game of the year in 2020. He played through it, and it clearly affected his power stroke. Instead of crushing doubles and homers over the heads of opposing outfielders, Arenado was weakly flying out. He was later shut down with a week left in the year, and I think it's fair to attribute his poor production to playing through injury. However, there will always be analysts knocking down Arenado for his move away from Coors Field. Yet savvy fantasy managers know by now that playing half your games in Coors hurts your road numbers more than any other park, so we can't simply view Arenado's road numbers as "who he truly is." For example, Matt Holliday's road OPS while with the Rockies was .803. While with the Cardinals? .853. I'm aggressively targeting Arenado anytime he lasts until Round 3 of drafts this spring, and I'll be sure to get some shares late in the second as well.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros