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Who Should I Draft?

Ozzie Albies or Ketel Marte (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Ozzie Albies
2B - ATL
Ozzie Albies
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Expert
Recommendation
71%
Recommended by
32 of 45 experts
29%
Recommended by
13 of 45 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 27# 31
Best Rank# 19# 20
Worst Rank# 54# 79
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 37# 40
Best Rank# 31# 34
Worst Rank# 39# 44
   
Projections 
   
Runs3331
Home Runs89
RBI2829
Stolen Bases53
Batting Average.288.303
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 29
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 23# 38
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 26# 34
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 33# 41
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 24# 75
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 22# 26
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 24# 29
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 27# 38
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 30# 34
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 22# 30
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 26# 30
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 22# 30
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 20# 26
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 20# 26
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 43# 65
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 27# 30
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 29# 38
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 25# 30
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 23# 28
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 19# 32
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 19# 30
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 22# 39
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 22# 39
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 24# 42
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 33# 36
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 23# 25
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 41# 54
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 21# 29
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 31# 33
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 26# 28
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 20# 79
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 22# 23
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 26# 25
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 27# 20
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 29# 28
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 30# 22
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 30# 22
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 32# 29
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 32# 27
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 34# 32
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 36# 33
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 41# 37
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 44# 33
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 46# 45
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 54# 36
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Ozzie Albies
2B - ATL
Ozzie Albies
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats640569
   
Runs10297
   
Hits189187
   
Singles114110
   
Doubles4336
   
Triples89
   
Home Runs2432
   
RBI8692
   
Stolen Bases1510
   
Caught Stealing42
   
Walks5453
   
Strikeouts11286
   
Batting Average.295.329
   
On Base Pct.352.389
   
Slugging Pct.500.592
   
On-base Plus Slugging.852.981
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Ozzie Albies
2B - ATL
Ozzie Albies
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats219209
   
Runs3331
   
Hits6363
   
Singles3838
   
Doubles1413
   
Triples23
   
Home Runs89
   
RBI2829
   
Stolen Bases53
   
Caught Stealing11
   
Walks1720
   
Strikeouts3833
   
Batting Average.288.303
   
On Base Pct.340.365
   
Slugging Pct.487.516
   
On-base Plus Slugging.827.881
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Ozzie Albies
2B - ATL
Ozzie Albies
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
News 
 Ozzie Albies went 1-for-3 with an RBI in Wednesday's game against the Twins.
Steve Painter
Wed, Mar 11th
 
 Ozzie Albies went 2-for-3 Tuesday against the Rays. So far this spring he is hitting .444.
Steve Painter
Tue, Mar 3rd
 
Notes 
 Even with youth on Albies' side, he's a rather boring pick here, but boring can be good - especially at the position. But, at a third-round cost, he doesn't really stand out in any category. You're banking on the .295 average being more legitimate than the .261 average in 2018 and hoping that he steals mid-teens bases again."
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
With second base being as weak as it is, it's kind of shocking that Ketel Marte is going this low in drafts. Sure, the breakout was out of nowhere - despite being a popular breakout pick for three years in a row - but he actually was stronger down the stretch than he was in the first half, and there are very few concerns with his underlying numbers. A change to the baseball could see his home runs come down, but not enough so that he won't return draft-day value.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Albies was remarkable last year with a .295 batting average to go with 24 homers, 15 steals and over 100 runs. He did all of that as a 22-year-old so you'd have to think there is room for even more growth in 2020. He is well worth a fourth-round pick at this point.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Marte suddenly went from being a career .263 hitter with 22 home runs in 1,548 plate appearances to batting .329 with 32 home runs in 628 plate appearances. And while he made many overall gains, such as a massive increase in launch angle, his expected batting average was just .299 and that .030 difference was 10th-highest in MLB. He also upped his pull percentage by a significant amount, and pulled all but one of his home runs, which should be something that pitchers can exploit in 2020. Buy some of the gains, but consider Marte closer to a .290-25 type of hitter.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  There is no one who will deny the likelihood that Marte's .329 batting average drops this year but we are still talking about a kid who hit 32 homers with 10 steals last year. As we've seen with Jose Ramirez and J.D. Martinez, these breakout stars can sometimes even further improve.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
  In the Era of the Juiced ball (and I am sure some juiced bodies too) I am not buying Marte's 2019 power surge and he doesn't run as much as you might think he does. I am not paying for 30 home runs and 10 stolen bases when regression suggests 15-20 HRs and five SBs. Marte won't fall this far and I am fine with that. I will be owning ZERO shares of the 2019 shocker of the year in Fantasy baseball.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
  Marte earned every bit of his 32 HRs last year. His average is almost certain to come down a bit, but his breakout was real, and similar numbers are certainly not out of reach. He is being discounted out of fear for massive regression. I am happy to take the discount.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy