Who Should I Draft?

Ozzie Albies or Matt Carpenter (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Ozzie Albies
2B - ATL
Ozzie Albies
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Expert
Recommendation
69%
Recommended by
41 of 59 experts
31%
Recommended by
18 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 38# 49
Best Rank# 27# 12
Worst Rank# 68# 100
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 57# 65
Best Rank# 46# 58
Worst Rank# 63# 72
   
Projections 
   
Runs8897
Home Runs2028
RBI7476
Stolen Bases163
Batting Average.273.256
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 36# 51
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 40
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 35# 46
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 27# 78
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 34# 83
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 63# 68
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 41# 50
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 31# 36
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 57# 65
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 35# 70
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 33# 71
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 31# 100
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 34# 59
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 41# 48
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 46# 76
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 34# 37
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 34# 78
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 38# 47
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 46# 53
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 37# 47
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 29# 58
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 43# 66
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 35# 48
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 48# 50
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 46# 56
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 42# 49
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 38# 51
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 46# 72
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 50# 62
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 43# 51
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 38# 54
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 35# 81
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 59# 64
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 40# 61
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 32# 42
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 32# 55
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 29# 45
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 46# 64
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 33# 58
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 37# 39
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 51# 70
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 40# 29
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 42# 38
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 42# 24
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 43# 40
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 43# 37
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 44# 36
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 46# 37
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 47# 33
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 48# 38
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 49# 36
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 49# 12
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 52# 50
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 53# 35
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 57# 39
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 59# 57
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 59# 26
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 59# 47
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 68# 65
   
  Ozzie Albies
2B - ATL
Ozzie Albies
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats639564
   
Runs105111
   
Hits167145
   
Singles9867
   
Doubles4042
   
Triples50
   
Home Runs2436
   
RBI7281
   
Stolen Bases144
   
Caught Stealing31
   
Walks36102
   
Strikeouts116158
   
Batting Average.261.257
   
On Base Pct.305.374
   
Slugging Pct.452.523
   
On-base Plus Slugging.757.897
   
  Ozzie Albies
2B - ATL
Ozzie Albies
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats595529
   
Runs8897
   
Hits162135
   
Singles10171
   
Doubles3435
   
Triples62
   
Home Runs2028
   
RBI7476
   
Stolen Bases163
   
Caught Stealing42
   
Walks4095
   
Strikeouts107140
   
Batting Average.273.256
   
On Base Pct.319.369
   
Slugging Pct.456.486
   
On-base Plus Slugging.775.855
   
  Ozzie Albies
2B - ATL
Ozzie Albies
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
News 
 Braves second baseman Ozzie Albies went 2-for-4 with an RBI in Friday's win over the Giants.
Mike Maher
Sat, Sep 21st
Matt Carpenter went 1-for-2 with a go-ahead solo home run in Thursday's win over the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Sep 20th
 Braves second baseman Ozzie Albies 3-for-4 with a solo home run and a walk in Friday's win over the Nationals. The homer was his 23rd home run of the season.
Mike Maher
Sat, Sep 14th
Matt Carpenter did not start Tuesday's game against the Nationals, and went 0-for-1 as a pinch hitter.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 18th
 Braves second baseman Ozzie Albies went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run, a double, and a walk in Thursday's loss to the Phillies. The homer was his 22nd of the season.
Mike Maher
Fri, Sep 13th
Matt Carpenter went 2-for-3 with two walks, two singles, an RBI, and a run scored in Thursday's win over the Giants.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Sep 5th
 Braves second baseman Ozzie Albies went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Saturday's win over the Nationals. The homer was his 21st of the season.
Mike Maher
Sun, Sep 8th
Matt Carpenter went 3-for-4 with a home run, three runs scored, two RBI, and a walk in Sunday's win over the Rockies.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Aug 26th
 Braves second baseman Ozzie Albies went 2-for-4 with a double and a home run in Friday's win over the Nationals. The homer was his 20th of the season.
Mike Maher
Sat, Sep 7th
Matt Carpenter went 1-for-3 with a walk as the Cardinals defeated the Royals 2-0.
Brandon Plutner
Tue, Aug 13th
Notes 
 Albies got off to a torrid start in his first full season in the Big Leagues, hitting nine home runs in April and heading into the All Star break with 20 HRs and nine steals. He struggled mightily in the second half of the season, but still finished as a top-three second basemen in standard 5x5 formats. There are some concerns that the Braves' acquisition of Josh Donaldson could push Albies down towards the bottom half of the lineup, hurting his counting stats and ability to steal bases, but it's also possible he'll stick in one of the first two lineup spots. Regardless, Albies has already proven he has 20-20 potential and should even be able to improve a bit on last season's .261 batting average.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Over the last five years, Carpenter has a remarkable 468 walks, which obviously has contributed to his 483 runs. In that time, his power has steadily improved, all the way to 36 homers last year, and while that total may not be repeatable, 30 homers with 100 runs makes him well worth a sixth round pick in 2019 fantasy leagues
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Anyone who drafted Albies was already miles into a victory lap by the time his performance plummeted. After already validating an investment with 20 homers and nine steals in the first half, he hit a gruesome .226/.282/.342 with four homers and five steals after the All-Star break. His hard-hit rate dipped from 38.5 to 27.0%. He procured 16 homers in 1,744 minor league plate appearances, so drafters should be dubious of a full power repeat regardless of the steep splits. The bigger concern is whether he can fix his late contact woes, particularly his 39.6% outside-swing rate. If maintaining last year's .305 OBP, the Braves will eliminate any chance of another 105-run campaign by hitting their youngster sixth or seventh more often than first or second. There's too much upside to fade Albies entirely, but a top-50 pick is too rich.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Carpenter blew away his previous career high by hitting 36 home runs in 2018, but that was fueled by a 19.1 percent HR/FB rate that was far higher than he's ever had before. To be fair, he did have the highest hard contact rate in MLB, so it's not like the home run spike was a total fluke, but fantasy owners should generally be cautious when a player has an outlier season this late in their career. The odds are against Carpenter hitting 35+ home runs again, and while he regularly produces an excellent OBP, he is a bit of a drag in batting average and has little speed to speak of. He's a much better pick in points leagues and leagues that reward OBP than he is in traditional 5x5 roto/categories leagues, where he could be overvalued.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Albies is dripping with potential and there is no denying that after his 20 homer first half with 9 steals. With that said, his second half was dreadful, batting .226 with just 4 bombs. There is a chance he returns first round value, but the downside would torch your team if he returns to second half form.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Despite entering the season with health woes and batting .155 in April, Carpenter then went scorched earth to hit .257/.374/.523 with a career-high 36 homers. It's dicey to bet on a 33-year-old coming off a career year, but he simply punishes baseball too severely to discredit. He led qualified hitters in hard-hit rate (49.0%) with the fifth-highest fly-ball rate (46.9%) and fourth-lowest popup rate (2.1%). Given his elite blend of hitting the ball hard, high, and far, Statcast's .535 XSLG and .386 xwOBA even offer room for growth. Expect more elite power in 2019.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros